NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	62		Excitement	3.7 [1026]		MVP	Toni Kukoc (CHI): +15.6%
Chicago Bulls	84		Comeback	1.0 [1141]		LVP	Rusty LaRue (CHI): -14.3%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Armen Gilliam	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	-0.01	-0.03	11	64%	0.05	2	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Ricky Pierce	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	6	63%	0.03	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.01
Jamie Feick	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerald Honeycutt	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Lang	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Michael Curry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	3	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Elliot Perry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	6	29%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Terrell Brandon	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	-0.00	-0.04	9	22%	-0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.16	-0.03	-0.07	16	29%	-0.04	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.02	0.01	9	36%	-0.06	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toni Kukoc	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.07	-0.01	12	66%	0.16	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.06	6	36%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	0.00	0.06	4	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bill Wennington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Kleine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	5	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Luc Longley	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	17	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.16	0.00	-0.11	10	33%	-0.06	2	0.00	10	60%	0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	3	42%	-0.02	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.02
Michael Jordan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	0.00	-0.02	16	34%	-0.09	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.01
Rusty LaRue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	6	0%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.4	23.8	15.8	28.4	2.3	26.7	125.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +5.6%

CHI +1.0%

CHI +15.5%

CHI +27.5%

CHI +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CHI	NBA	MIL	CHI	NBA
this game	16.8	16.3	15.6	71.3	96.6	102.5
season	16.0	16.2		101.1	105.8
opponent	15.8	15.1		97.9	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	16.9	17.7	16.1	16.5	16.8
CHI	13.7	21.2	18.1	13.5	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Lang	27	28	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.12	9	-31	40	17.3	16.5	0.78	18.2	15.5	2.70
Michael Curry	37	38	0.13	-0.63	0.77	0.02	4	-26	30	17.5	16.2	1.31	18.2	14.9	3.36
Ricky Pierce	38	38	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-25	28	14.1	18.9	-4.80	15.8	16.7	-0.89
Jamie Feick	13	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-21	20	13.3	17.4	-4.06	11.6	17.2	-5.60
Jerald Honeycutt	15	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-21	20	13.5	17.4	-3.98	12.4	17.2	-4.77
Elliot Perry	30	32	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.08	2	-24	26	14.7	17.8	-3.14	15.1	17.1	-2.03
Armen Gilliam	79	79	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.07	-18	-4	-14	17.1	13.0	4.14	16.3	17.1	-0.86
Ray Allen	58	57	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.25	-25	3	-28	17.9	14.5	3.41	17.3	14.6	2.66
Ervin Johnson	29	28	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.10	-23	1	-24	17.6	16.3	1.29	16.6	16.2	0.33
Terrell Brandon	50	48	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	0.28	-30	8	-38	18.1	14.9	3.25	16.2	16.6	-0.40
Glenn Robinson	59	58	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	0.22	-30	8	-38	17.2	15.8	1.38	16.7	15.7	0.93

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ron Harper	44	45	0.68	-0.18	0.86	-0.05	25	-3	28	15.8	16.9	-1.11	16.6	17.0	-0.42
Dennis Rodman	53	52	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.04	17	5	12	17.6	14.4	3.27	17.4	15.8	1.65
Toni Kukoc	48	48	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.03	17	5	12	17.6	14.8	2.72	17.2	16.2	1.10
Luc Longley	42	43	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.01	14	8	6	17.2	15.6	1.59	18.0	15.5	2.50
Michael Jordan	58	58	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.09	15	7	8	18.5	12.1	6.41	18.0	14.2	3.83
Randy Brown	42	44	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.16	11	11	0	15.5	17.2	-1.73	16.1	17.4	-1.26
Jud Buechler	33	32	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.25	11	11	0	14.1	17.7	-3.58	15.6	17.4	-1.84
Scott Burrell	39	39	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.12	5	17	-12	14.8	17.6	-2.72	16.2	17.2	-1.10
Jason Caffey	34	35	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.13	5	17	-12	14.4	17.6	-3.27	15.8	17.4	-1.65
Joe Kleine	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	21	-20	11.6	17.2	-5.60	13.3	17.4	-4.06
Bill Wennington	12	12	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	25	-28	19.6	15.8	3.76	15.3	17.0	-1.65
Rusty LaRue	16	14	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.05	-8	30	-38	16.6	16.3	0.27	17.3	16.7	0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 82, ORL 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
SAS 104, HOU 125	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.54,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
HOU 73, SAS 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.59,0.59,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%