NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	114		Excitement	9.9 [32]		MVP	Ja Morant (MEM): +27.1%
Phoenix Suns	113		Comeback	3.4 [131]		LVP	Jaren Jackson Jr. (MEM): -13.5%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ja Morant	0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.08,0.27	0.05	0.22	-0.00	19	65%	0.46	6	-0.19	5	100%	0.04
Cedric Coward	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.07,0.11,0.11	0.02	0.11	0.02	10	64%	0.20	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Cam Spencer	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	5	60%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Santi Aldama	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.00	12	58%	0.13	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
John Konchar	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	83%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Wells	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	9	45%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	12	46%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Javon Small	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jock Landale	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	-0.14	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.14	0.00	-0.13	0.01	14	56%	0.07	3	-0.20	4	50%	-0.07

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.21	0.21	0.11	0.12	0.02	12	77%	0.31	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	-0.02	-0.00	12	75%	0.26	2	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Collin Gillespie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.02	10	64%	0.09	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Nigel Hayes-Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Oso Ighodaro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Livers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.16,0.32,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.06	0.00	26	52%	0.07	3	-0.10	9	89%	0.05
Ryan Dunn	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	9	50%	0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Nick Richards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Grayson Allen	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	10	58%	0.09	5	-0.19	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	0.0	22.9	0.0	35.4	0.0	36.2	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.8	14.6	29.4	2.3	32.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +32.2%

PHX -7.6%

MEM +10.3%

MEM +13.7%

MEM +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	PHX	NBA	MEM	PHX	NBA
this game	13.4	13.1	14.1	104.6	104.6	113.7
season	13.7	13.9		110.5	112.6
opponent	14.5	14.4		112.9	112.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.2	13.9	11.9	13.1	13.4
PHX	12.9	14.4	13.4	11.7	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cedric Coward	95	95	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.47	3	-2	5	13.4	13.6	-0.22	13.1	13.1	-0.01
Jaren Jackson Jr.	106	105	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.55	0	1	-1	13.4	13.7	-0.22	13.2	8.3	4.87
Ja Morant	109	108	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.47	1	0	1	13.4	0.0	13.45	13.1	0.0	13.06
Santi Aldama	108	106	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.51	-2	3	-5	13.4	23.0	-9.64	13.2	7.5	5.67
Cam Spencer	56	56	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.17	8	-7	15	13.4	13.5	-0.15	13.0	13.1	-0.06
Jock Landale	92	92	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.23	5	-4	9	14.0	10.4	3.67	13.2	12.5	0.66
Jaylen Wells	91	91	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.48	-7	8	-15	13.5	12.9	0.61	13.0	13.2	-0.20
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	80	79	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	-2	5	13.6	13.1	0.47	13.6	11.7	1.83
John Konchar	71	70	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	4	-7	13.5	13.3	0.16	13.6	12.0	1.64
Javon Small	53	53	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.01	-10	11	-21	13.6	13.3	0.30	14.2	12.0	2.24

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Dunn	79	81	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.21	5	-6	11	13.3	12.4	0.84	13.5	13.2	0.36
Isaiah Livers	72	73	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.18	3	-4	7	13.6	12.1	1.47	13.2	14.0	-0.86
Nick Richards	48	50	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.02	-5	4	-9	13.7	12.5	1.23	12.7	14.1	-1.42
Nigel Hayes-Davis	85	87	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.08	-3	2	-5	13.3	12.3	0.97	13.5	13.2	0.34
Mark Williams	86	85	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.42	8	-9	17	13.2	12.4	0.88	13.4	13.7	-0.39
Royce O'Neale	92	93	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.50	11	-12	23	13.2	12.2	0.96	13.3	14.6	-1.30
Oso Ighodaro	59	58	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	5	-11	12.9	13.2	-0.29	13.4	13.5	-0.04
Grayson Allen	91	92	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.49	2	-3	5	13.2	12.1	1.12	13.3	14.4	-1.14
Devin Booker	108	109	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.46	-1	0	-1	13.1	0.0	13.06	13.4	0.0	13.45
Collin Gillespie	108	109	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	0	-1	13.1	0.0	13.06	13.4	0.0	13.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.44,0.26,0.18,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.42,0.23,0.08,0.24,0.07,0.19,0.16,0.45,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 105, UTA 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.48,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.41,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.43,0.18,0.23,0.28,0.21,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.16,0.24,0.26,0	91.3%
LAL 100, GSW 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.27,0.21,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.11,0.22,0.42,0	91.0%
CLE 94, MIA 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.23,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.14,0.16,0.24,0.08,0	90.4%