NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	105		Excitement	7.8 [117]		MVP	Anthony Davis (LAL): +28.4%
Utah Jazz	104		Comeback	1.9 [255]		LVP	Dalton Knecht (LAL): -8.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.28	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.28,0.28	0.15	0.13	-0.00	25	59%	0.31	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Gabe Vincent	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.01	0.01	5	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.06,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.09	-0.04	0.08	-0.05	28	46%	0.16	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Rui Hachimura	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.05	0.01	11	54%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Max Christie	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	6	55%	0.05	0	0.00	10	80%	0.00
Jalen Hood-Schifino	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Christian Koloko	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Armel Traore	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalton Knecht	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	10	27%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.10	0.09	-0.03	17	61%	0.25	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Walker Kessler	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.09	0.02	6	100%	0.23	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.01	0.00	14	60%	0.12	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.03
Johnny Juzang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	10	48%	0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	14	54%	0.10	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Brice Sensabaugh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Micah Potter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Collier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keyonte George	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.02,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	10	61%	0.14	6	-0.21	3	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.4	24.7	14.4	27.8	2.5	30.6	129.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA -30.1%

LAL +8.8%

LAL +2.6%

LAL +37.5%

LAL +31.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	UTA	NBA	LAL	UTA	NBA
this game	16.1	14.7	14.3	112.9	110.6	111.7
season	14.7	15.0		110.9	109.5
opponent	13.6	14.1		118.7	113.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.6	14.3	15.8	20.8	16.1
UTA	13.7	15.1	14.2	16.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Max Christie	58	58	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.47	10	-9	19	15.8	16.6	-0.87	14.5	15.1	-0.58
Anthony Davis	75	75	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.40	6	-5	11	16.2	15.6	0.66	14.8	14.3	0.51
Rui Hachimura	79	77	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.55	-2	3	-5	16.1	15.9	0.27	15.1	13.2	1.89
LeBron James	70	70	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.39	0	1	-1	16.3	15.3	0.98	15.1	13.5	1.59
Jalen Hood-Schifino	26	28	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.08	12	-11	23	13.4	17.1	-3.70	13.6	15.2	-1.64
Christian Koloko	18	19	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.39	-5	6	-11	15.6	16.2	-0.66	14.3	14.8	-0.51
Armel Traore	21	24	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.09	11	-10	21	14.1	16.7	-2.51	14.0	15.0	-1.03
Gabe Vincent	62	62	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.13	-8	9	-17	16.2	15.9	0.32	15.2	13.8	1.43
Dalton Knecht	56	57	-0.36	0.86	-1.23	0.19	-19	20	-39	17.9	13.3	4.59	14.4	15.3	-0.95

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Micah Potter	30	30	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.08	7	-8	15	14.7	14.7	0.01	16.1	16.1	0.07
Drew Eubanks	23	22	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	2	-5	12.6	15.4	-2.86	15.0	16.4	-1.48
Johnny Juzang	35	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	2	-5	14.0	15.2	-1.15	14.5	16.9	-2.39
Walker Kessler	64	65	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	0	-1	15.9	12.3	3.56	16.6	14.9	1.76
Collin Sexton	56	55	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.46	10	-11	21	15.0	14.3	0.77	17.2	14.5	2.64
Lauri Markkanen	74	73	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.32	4	-5	9	14.4	15.8	-1.43	16.2	15.6	0.62
Isaiah Collier	26	25	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	6	-13	13.0	15.4	-2.38	15.4	16.3	-0.94
Keyonte George	59	60	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.43	2	-3	5	15.2	14.0	1.15	16.9	14.5	2.39
John Collins	69	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.49	2	-3	5	14.7	14.8	-0.16	16.4	15.2	1.21
Brice Sensabaugh	34	34	-0.83	0.33	-1.17	-0.36	-16	15	-31	15.6	14.2	1.35	13.6	17.5	-3.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.48,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.41,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.43,0.18,0.23,0.28,0.21,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.16,0.24,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 89, BOS 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.02,0	92.2%
LAL 109, CHH 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.32,0.41,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.17,0.31,0.21,0.22,0.09,0	92.2%
LAL 100, GSW 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.27,0.21,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.11,0.22,0.42,0	92.1%