NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	109		Excitement	7.0 [388]		MVP	Nick Van Exel (LAL): +22.7%
Charlotte Hornets	100		Comeback	2.2 [248]		LVP	David Wesley (CHH): -21.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Van Exel	0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.11,0.2,0.23	0.09	0.17	0.03	17	60%	0.23	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Eddie Jones	0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.13	0.07	-0.03	11	79%	0.25	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Rick Fox	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.03	0.03	8	85%	0.14	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.02
Robert Horry	0.11	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.11,0.11	-0.01	0.11	-0.01	5	50%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	69%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	6	56%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.07
Kobe Bryant	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	14	43%	0.02	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Elden Campbell	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.16	-0.05	-0.02	8	45%	-0.04	6	-0.14	6	33%	-0.08

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.06	-0.00	11	68%	0.16	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	80%	0.10	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Phills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	10	58%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.02	0.04	20	67%	0.13	4	-0.11	8	75%	0.03
Travis Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	12	57%	0.04	4	-0.08	6	50%	-0.03
B.J. Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0	75%	0.00	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22	-0.22	-0.12	-0.08	0.01	7	39%	-0.07	4	-0.15	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.5	26.1	15.5	28.3	1.8	34.0	131.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +63.5%

CHH -36.5%

CHH -1.4%

LAL +23.2%

LAL +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CHH	NBA	LAL	CHH	NBA
this game	15.3	15.5	15.6	117.2	106.4	102.5
season	14.8	15.7		110.0	104.0
opponent	15.9	15.6		102.6	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.2	14.6	16.2	15.2	15.3
CHH	16.1	13.7	17.3	15.5	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	53	53	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.11	12	-3	15	15.4	15.0	0.37	14.5	17.0	-2.50
Rick Fox	68	69	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.14	6	3	3	15.2	15.5	-0.30	15.9	14.6	1.28
Elden Campbell	52	54	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.26	1	8	-7	14.4	16.3	-1.89	15.7	15.3	0.34
Nick Van Exel	72	75	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.21	2	7	-5	14.9	16.5	-1.63	15.9	14.2	1.67
Corie Blount	43	44	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.03	10	-1	11	16.1	14.6	1.51	14.6	16.4	-1.75
Robert Horry	50	50	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.27	-1	10	-11	14.6	16.1	-1.51	16.4	14.6	1.75
Derek Fisher	21	19	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.03	7	2	5	16.5	14.9	1.63	14.2	15.9	-1.67
Eddie Jones	65	66	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.23	0	9	-9	15.2	15.4	-0.14	16.1	14.3	1.74
Sean Rooks	41	40	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.03	8	1	7	16.3	14.4	1.89	15.3	15.7	-0.34

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Williams	5	6	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.09	-2	-7	5	16.6	15.5	1.12	21.7	14.8	6.85
Matt Geiger	18	19	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	-3	-3	15.0	15.7	-0.67	19.1	14.3	4.77
Dell Curry	28	27	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.02	-8	-1	-7	15.3	15.7	-0.37	14.5	15.6	-1.09
Anthony Mason	78	77	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.21	-1	-8	7	15.2	17.2	-1.98	14.5	19.1	-4.67
David Wesley	78	76	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.25	0	-9	9	15.5	15.9	-0.40	15.1	15.8	-0.62
B.J. Armstrong	16	17	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	0	-9	15.9	15.5	0.40	15.8	15.1	0.62
Vlade Divac	74	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.28	0	-9	9	15.8	14.5	1.32	14.1	19.3	-5.26
J.R. Reid	18	18	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.05	-11	2	-13	16.4	15.3	1.05	19.4	14.3	5.19
Bobby Phills	50	48	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.18	-5	-4	-1	14.8	16.3	-1.50	15.2	15.3	-0.10
Glen Rice	82	82	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.22	-7	-2	-5	15.8	13.5	2.34	15.1	16.5	-1.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.32,0.41,0.28,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.17,0.31,0.21,0.22,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 78, DET 76	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.14,0.06,0.13,0.14,0.22,0.15,0.04,0	94.4%
OKC 95, DAL 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.11,0.27,0.13,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.15,0.43,0.05,0	93.3%
NJN 86, LAC 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.31,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.36,0.06,0.13,0	92.8%