NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	113		Excitement	5.0 [350]		MVP	Matas Buzelis (CHI): +17.5%
Chicago Bulls	126		Comeback	3.6 [243]		LVP	Dennis Schr�der (SAC): -9.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach LaVine	0.11	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.17	0.01	0.06	19	71%	0.15	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.05	0.02	10	63%	0.13	2	-0.04	10	90%	0.04
Keon Ellis	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.02	-0.04	6	57%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Malik Monk	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	-0.00	0.00	10	75%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Russell Westbrook	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	-0.01	-0.03	9	55%	0.04	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Isaac Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.03	0.02	14	60%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Devin Carter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schr�der	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	9	28%	-0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matas Buzelis	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.02	-0.01	18	73%	0.24	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	0.00	0.04	8	90%	0.14	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Patrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	6	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	8	47%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Nikola Vu?evi?	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	12	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Tre Jones	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	6	92%	0.09	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	9	53%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	9	50%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Giddey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	14	57%	0.09	5	-0.08	7	71%	-0.01
Julian Phillips	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	27.3	14.3	31.0	1.6	29.2	128.2
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.9	14.5	29.5	2.3	32.7	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +30.5%

SAC -0.1%

CHI +24.7%

SAC -7.8%

CHI +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	CHI	NBA	SAC	CHI	NBA
this game	14.1	14.4	14.1	111.9	124.8	113.8
season	14.1	13.5		106.8	112.2
opponent	14.2	14.1		116.4	118.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.2	15.4	14.6	12.9	14.1
CHI	14.4	12.8	13.1	17.6	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaac Jones	23	24	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.04	-3	-10	7	12.9	14.4	-1.50	17.6	13.4	4.20
Russell Westbrook	85	85	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.06	-5	-8	3	14.4	12.4	1.94	14.9	11.8	3.11
Malik Monk	93	93	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.10	-5	-8	3	14.0	15.0	-1.01	14.9	9.4	5.49
Devin Carter	80	82	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	-1	-11	14.1	14.0	0.03	14.9	12.3	2.60
Drew Eubanks	71	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	2	-17	14.6	12.7	1.90	14.8	13.7	1.08
Zach LaVine	94	94	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	-1	-11	14.1	14.3	-0.23	14.3	16.1	-1.84
Dennis Schr�der	72	73	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.06	-19	6	-25	14.9	11.9	3.00	13.6	16.6	-3.07
DeMar DeRozan	97	96	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.09	-14	1	-15	14.1	13.2	0.85	14.2	18.4	-4.18
Keon Ellis	97	97	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.07	-17	4	-21	13.9	17.7	-3.83	14.3	18.2	-3.98
Domantas Sabonis	88	88	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	0.02	-22	9	-31	14.2	13.0	1.23	13.9	18.1	-4.19

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matas Buzelis	97	97	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.07	17	-4	21	14.3	18.2	-3.98	13.9	17.7	-3.83
Tre Jones	87	86	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.09	15	-2	17	14.4	14.4	-0.00	14.3	12.8	1.49
Nikola Vu?evi?	83	82	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.02	18	-5	23	14.2	15.3	-1.04	14.7	11.3	3.46
Josh Giddey	75	74	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.00	17	-4	21	13.7	16.4	-2.69	14.7	12.2	2.52
Isaac Okoro	60	58	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.09	20	-7	27	14.9	13.7	1.29	14.7	13.2	1.54
Jalen Smith	66	67	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.02	17	-4	21	13.7	15.9	-2.23	14.4	13.4	1.04
Kevin Huerter	93	94	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	2	9	14.6	12.9	1.68	14.5	7.9	6.67
Patrick Williams	84	83	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.05	7	6	1	14.4	14.8	-0.41	14.1	14.0	0.08
Ayo Dosunmu	90	91	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.13	4	9	-5	14.8	11.3	3.54	14.0	14.4	-0.37
Julian Phillips	26	27	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.03	3	10	-7	14.4	14.4	-0.06	14.5	13.9	0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.32,0.49,0.51,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 94, ATL 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.57,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
SAC 89, HOU 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.56,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.93,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%
PHX 90, GSW 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.0%