NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	134		Excitement	11.3 [11]		MVP	Lauri Markkanen (UTA): +55.8%
Utah Jazz	138		Comeback	3.5 [129]		LVP	Jusuf Nurki? (UTA): -10.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Williams	0.42	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.42	0.16	0.28	0.02	14	68%	0.42	0	0.00	9	78%	-0.10
Grayson Allen	0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.01	0.10	-0.01	19	51%	0.20	3	-0.08	7	71%	-0.06
Devin Booker	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.01	26	55%	0.11	2	-0.05	10	70%	-0.05
Ryan Dunn	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	4	87%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Livers	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Collin Gillespie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	13	56%	0.10	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Nigel Hayes-Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Richards	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Oso Ighodaro	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.10	-0.05	17	50%	0.02	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.21,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.5,0.38,0.53,0.56	0.56	0.28	0.26	-0.02	32	63%	0.67	1	-0.11	17	100%	0.14
Walker Kessler	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.03	0.00	12	81%	0.26	3	-0.08	7	86%	0.04
Keyonte George	0,0,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.04,-0.02,-0.14,-0.07,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.07	0.01	18	59%	0.29	4	-0.19	8	100%	0.06
Walter Clayton Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.04	0.10	-0.02	7	43%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	8	65%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Brice Sensabaugh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	5	27%	-0.02	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Ace Bailey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	9	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taylor Hendricks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Filipowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	7	21%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurki?	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	6	50%	-0.00	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	28.6	0.0	29.0	0.0	29.9	0.0	42.2	0.0	18.4	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.8	14.6	29.4	2.3	32.6	2.3	16.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -4.6%

UTA +37.9%

UTA +31.6%

PHX -21.0%

UTA +6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	UTA	NBA	PHX	UTA	NBA
this game	13.0	14.7	14.1	118.6	119.0	113.7
season	13.9	14.0		112.6	111.9
opponent	13.7	14.5		119.6	112.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHX	13.1	12.8	14.6	11.3	13.3	13.0
UTA	12.9	16.7	14.8	14.3	16.4	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Dunn	100	103	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-4	4	12.9	13.2	-0.28	14.8	13.9	0.92
Mark Williams	109	112	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.32	4	-8	12	12.9	14.7	-1.83	14.7	15.7	-1.04
Royce O'Neale	100	102	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.25	0	-4	4	13.1	12.2	0.94	15.0	12.6	2.47
Devin Booker	110	114	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.35	2	-6	8	12.9	16.3	-3.44	14.8	10.5	4.32
Nigel Hayes-Davis	25	26	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.19	-17	13	-30	13.5	12.8	0.64	13.4	15.1	-1.70
Isaiah Livers	91	90	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.17	-10	6	-16	13.5	10.8	2.74	15.1	13.7	1.40
Oso Ighodaro	77	81	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.38	-5	1	-6	12.8	13.5	-0.72	15.0	14.2	0.73
Grayson Allen	112	116	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.43	-4	0	-4	13.1	1.0	12.09	14.7	0.0	14.74
Nick Richards	61	61	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.71	4	-8	12	14.0	11.8	2.21	15.9	13.5	2.34
Collin Gillespie	97	101	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.47	-5	1	-6	13.2	11.9	1.22	14.7	14.7	0.01

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jusuf Nurki?	78	76	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.18	17	-13	30	14.5	15.2	-0.66	13.6	11.8	1.82
Svi Mykhailiuk	99	97	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.26	9	-5	14	15.0	13.4	1.56	13.4	10.4	3.04
Lauri Markkanen	116	113	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	14.7	0.0	14.74	13.0	0.0	12.98
Taylor Hendricks	82	83	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.10	10	-6	16	14.8	14.7	0.09	13.8	10.7	3.06
Walker Kessler	91	88	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	2	0	15.3	12.6	2.73	13.5	11.2	2.29
Keyonte George	109	106	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.36	-4	8	-12	15.0	11.4	3.53	12.9	14.0	-1.08
Ace Bailey	60	61	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.00	2	2	0	14.8	14.7	0.09	13.8	12.1	1.71
Kyle Filipowski	71	68	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.01	2	2	0	14.9	14.5	0.45	13.5	12.2	1.23
Brice Sensabaugh	55	55	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.03	-3	7	-10	14.8	14.7	0.18	13.5	12.5	1.06
Walter Clayton Jr.	110	107	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.03	-8	12	-20	14.6	18.0	-3.44	13.1	11.7	1.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.77,0.73,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.41,0.52,0.68,0.81,0.81,0.78,0.89,0.93,0.83,0.71,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.85,0.96,0.5,0.69,0.78,0.22,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 121, DET 123	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.77,0.69,0.68,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.52,0.62,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.54,0.45,0.54,0.33,0.23,1	88.2%
MIL 117, DEN 127	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.66,0.75,0.61,0.67,0.59,0.48,0.35,0.37,0.56,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.83,0.9,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.85,1,1	87.3%
GSW 104, LAC 112	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.69,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.93,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.93,1,1,1	86.8%