NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	123		Excitement	8.6 [163]		MVP	Ayo Dosunmu (CHI): +45.1%
Chicago Bulls	128		Comeback	4.3 [170]		LVP	Dyson Daniels (ATL): -19.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Onyeka Okongwu	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.11	0.15	0.01	11	69%	0.26	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.07
Kristaps Porzi??is	0.19	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.18	0.03	0.02	17	75%	0.28	1	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Johnson	0.19	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19	0.13	0.08	0.02	18	64%	0.21	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.17	0.12	0.05	0.00	11	71%	0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mouhamed Gueye	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	2	117%	0.09	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Keaton Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	22	41%	0.00	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Zaccharie Risacher	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dyson Daniels	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	8	12%	-0.18	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45	0.45	0.19	0.26	0.00	10	87%	0.45	0	0.00	4	75%	0.03
Matas Buzelis	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.03	0.19	0.00	14	52%	0.24	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Patrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.09	-0.01	9	57%	0.16	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Julian Phillips	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	4	62%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	8	59%	0.07	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.03	8	83%	0.10	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Nikola Vu?evi?	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	11	71%	0.16	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Josh Giddey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	0.01	14	56%	0.08	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Tre Jones	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.06	-0.00	10	64%	0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.2	28.3	13.2	28.0	1.3	33.1	131.8
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.3	29.6	2.2	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +37.1%

CHI +11.6%

CHI +35.8%

ATL -34.2%

ATL -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHI	NBA	ATL	CHI	NBA
this game	13.1	14.2	14.2	117.1	120.8	113.5
season	13.2	13.7		113.3	112.8
opponent	14.3	14.4		117.1	113.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	11.5	13.8	13.9	13.3	13.1
CHI	13.6	13.8	12.8	16.7	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaccharie Risacher	46	47	0.38	-0.88	1.26	-0.00	13	-18	31	12.5	13.5	-1.00	14.6	13.9	0.69
Onyeka Okongwu	87	87	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.03	7	-12	19	12.9	13.9	-1.04	14.1	14.6	-0.50
Keaton Wallace	11	12	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.00	1	-6	7	12.9	13.1	-0.20	14.3	14.1	0.18
Mouhamed Gueye	55	56	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-6	7	12.6	13.6	-0.94	13.2	15.2	-1.99
Luke Kennard	89	90	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.42	5	-10	15	12.8	14.7	-1.89	14.4	12.6	1.82
Kristaps Porzi??is	75	75	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	-2	-1	13.0	13.3	-0.25	14.3	13.9	0.42
Trae Young	105	106	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	13.1	0.0	13.09	14.2	0.0	14.17
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	105	106	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	13.1	0.0	13.09	14.2	0.0	14.17
Dyson Daniels	97	97	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.37	-6	1	-7	13.1	12.9	0.23	14.6	9.0	5.65
Jalen Johnson	84	86	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.25	-13	8	-21	13.1	13.0	0.05	14.0	14.9	-0.96

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Vu?evi?	91	90	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.38	7	-2	9	14.4	12.9	1.44	13.1	13.1	0.02
Matas Buzelis	91	90	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.38	7	-2	9	14.4	12.9	1.44	13.1	13.1	0.02
Josh Giddey	91	90	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.38	7	-2	9	14.4	12.9	1.44	13.1	13.1	0.02
Ayo Dosunmu	106	105	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.35	5	0	5	14.2	0.0	14.17	13.1	0.0	13.09
Tre Jones	106	105	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.35	5	0	5	14.2	0.0	14.17	13.1	0.0	13.09
Julian Phillips	42	40	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.02	7	-2	9	13.2	14.8	-1.66	13.8	12.6	1.15
Kevin Huerter	84	85	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.21	-1	6	-7	14.2	13.9	0.39	13.0	13.6	-0.70
Patrick Williams	89	89	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	4	-3	13.8	16.1	-2.32	13.0	13.3	-0.27
Jalen Smith	57	56	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.12	-7	12	-19	13.3	15.2	-1.89	12.6	13.6	-0.99
Isaac Okoro	68	66	-0.40	0.90	-1.31	-0.08	-11	16	-27	14.8	13.1	1.70	13.0	13.2	-0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.36,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.83,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.48,0.57,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.61,0.63,0.91,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 73, CLE 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.7,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.58,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.79,0.97,0.99,1	90.8%
NOP 99, GSW 108	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.32,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.33,0.47,0.78,0.85,1,1	90.3%
DEN 102, CLE 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.34,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.47,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.53,0.85,0.94,0.98,1	90.2%