NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	99		Excitement	7.3 [459]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +34.7%
Golden State Warriors	108		Comeback	4.3 [585]		LVP	Jordan Poole (GSW): -19.9%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kira Lewis Jr.	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.05	0.01	3	129%	0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
CJ McCollum	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.05	-0.04	21	52%	0.18	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
Trey Murphy III	-0.00	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0	0.05	-0.03	0.03	14	54%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willy Hernangomez	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	60%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Jaxson Hayes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	83%	0.08	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Dyson Daniels	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Naji Marshall	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.06	0.01	12	54%	0.03	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Herbert Jones	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	5	58%	-0.01	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.05
Brandon Ingram	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	16	42%	-0.01	4	-0.11	8	62%	-0.08

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.17	0.15	-0.03	17	71%	0.37	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Jonathan Kuminga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.09	0.11	-0.01	13	73%	0.27	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11	0.11	-0.03	0.11	-0.03	3	50%	0.13	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.02	0.02	7	78%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Anthony Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.07	0.01	10	55%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	6	83%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Moses Moody	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ty Jerome	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	5	20%	-0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.04	-0.12	0.04	13	47%	-0.08	3	-0.12	12	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.4	28.0	14.7	30.6	2.5	34.6	139.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +51.1%

NOP -1.8%

GSW +12.2%

NOP -12.2%

GSW +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	GSW	NBA	NOP	GSW	NBA
this game	14.0	15.9	14.4	102.1	112.5	113.4
season	14.2	13.9		113.4	114.1
opponent	14.1	14.6		112.6	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	12.3	14.9	13.2	15.5	14.0
GSW	18.5	14.5	15.6	15.1	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kira Lewis Jr.	19	18	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.03	3	-12	15	12.1	14.4	-2.33	17.3	15.5	1.79
Willy Hernangomez	32	34	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-8	7	14.3	13.8	0.54	15.2	16.3	-1.08
Dyson Daniels	28	26	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	-6	3	13.2	14.3	-1.08	16.0	15.8	0.22
Jaxson Hayes	42	40	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-5	1	13.7	14.2	-0.43	16.3	15.5	0.81
Trey Murphy III	77	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	-4	-1	14.3	12.6	1.74	15.9	15.9	-0.03
Herbert Jones	72	73	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.26	-6	-3	-3	13.9	14.2	-0.24	15.6	16.7	-1.08
CJ McCollum	83	82	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.23	-8	-1	-7	14.2	12.8	1.40	15.6	17.2	-1.57
Brandon Ingram	73	72	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.29	-8	-1	-7	14.1	13.5	0.64	16.4	14.2	2.17
Naji Marshall	59	59	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.20	-13	4	-17	14.1	13.9	0.18	15.4	16.6	-1.17

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathan Kuminga	63	62	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.33	13	-4	17	16.2	15.2	1.06	13.8	14.3	-0.43
Jordan Poole	71	70	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.26	11	-2	13	15.6	16.8	-1.20	13.7	14.8	-1.11
Klay Thompson	68	69	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.34	4	5	-1	15.4	17.0	-1.64	13.8	14.3	-0.48
Draymond Green	46	49	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.19	4	5	-1	15.7	16.1	-0.43	14.7	13.2	1.44
Donte DiVincenzo	65	66	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.27	1	8	-7	15.3	17.0	-1.66	14.1	13.7	0.44
Anthony Lamb	32	32	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.00	5	4	1	17.6	15.0	2.58	14.5	13.7	0.73
Moses Moody	12	11	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.09	7	2	5	15.1	16.0	-0.90	16.5	13.7	2.89
Kevon Looney	51	51	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.03	4	5	-1	15.6	16.2	-0.57	13.4	14.6	-1.24
Ty Jerome	41	44	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	12	-15	17.1	15.0	2.09	13.5	14.4	-0.92
JaMychal Green	31	31	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.08	-1	10	-11	15.7	15.9	-0.20	14.1	13.9	0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.32,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.33,0.47,0.78,0.85,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 98, MIA 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.61,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.54,0.6,0.31,0.55,0.94,0.92,1	91.2%
MIA 90, HOU 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.44,0.43,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.48,0.57,0.48,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.65,0.55,0.72,0.85,0.9,1	91.0%
PHI 89, ORL 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.8,0.68,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.79,0.93,0.99,1	91.0%