NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	109		Excitement	7.3 [375]		MVP	Jalen Brunson (NYK): +37.4%
New York Knicks	118		Comeback	3.3 [600]		LVP	Jordan Clarkson (NYK): -14.3%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Kuzma	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22	0.16	0.06	0.01	9	100%	0.27	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.09
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.13	0.16	0.01	0.04	14	71%	0.23	3	-0.09	14	71%	-0.03
AJ Green	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.02	0.02	12	75%	0.15	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cole Anthony	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.04	0.00	3	78%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.05
Ryan Rollins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	-0.02	10	59%	0.06	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Gary Trent Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Harris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	2	83%	0.06	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Myles Turner	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09	0.01	-0.09	0.02	10	45%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Portis	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	7	21%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.37	0.37	0.22	0.17	0.01	21	71%	0.47	3	-0.09	10	90%	0.05
Miles McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.19	0.18	0.02	8	95%	0.35	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	12	58%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Kolek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	12	56%	0.09	3	-0.06	10	90%	0.02
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	75%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Guerschon Yabusele	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	8	43%	-0.04	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.02
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.04	-0.03	13	21%	-0.10	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.9	0.0	32.6	0.0	42.9	0.0	44.7	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +1.6%

NYK +22.8%

NYK +28.5%

NYK +3.8%

MIL -6.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NYK	NBA	MIL	NYK	NBA
this game	14.5	15.9	14.2	113.5	126.9	113.7
season	14.7	14.9		111.4	118.1
opponent	14.2	14.3		111.5	117.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.0	15.5	16.1	12.7	14.5
NYK	14.6	15.8	16.6	16.8	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Portis	72	69	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.20	5	-14	19	14.4	15.0	-0.60	15.5	17.1	-1.55
Cole Anthony	52	50	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.00	-6	-3	-3	15.0	13.9	1.11	15.3	16.6	-1.29
Gary Harris	79	76	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	0	-9	15.0	12.3	2.69	15.6	17.5	-1.95
Giannis Antetokounmpo	68	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.17	-8	-1	-7	15.0	13.2	1.83	15.8	16.2	-0.34
Ryan Rollins	85	83	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.27	-5	-4	-1	14.5	14.4	0.17	16.3	12.5	3.85
Myles Turner	83	79	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.27	-6	-3	-3	14.7	13.5	1.12	16.0	15.6	0.34
Kyle Kuzma	86	81	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.19	-9	0	-9	14.7	13.3	1.35	16.2	14.2	2.03
AJ Green	96	93	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.24	-9	0	-9	14.5	0.0	14.51	15.9	0.0	15.94
Gary Trent Jr.	72	68	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.19	-11	2	-13	15.2	12.5	2.68	16.6	14.1	2.48

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles McBride	86	90	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.20	12	-3	15	16.2	13.1	3.02	14.6	12.8	1.79
Josh Hart	92	96	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.26	9	0	9	16.1	5.0	11.05	14.5	0.0	14.51
Mikal Bridges	93	95	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.23	9	0	9	15.9	0.0	15.94	14.6	2.0	12.64
Jalen Brunson	93	95	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.23	9	0	9	15.9	0.0	15.94	14.6	2.0	12.64
Karl-Anthony Towns	85	89	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.29	6	3	3	16.3	12.1	4.17	14.6	13.1	1.48
Jordan Clarkson	77	80	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.14	9	0	9	15.9	15.9	-0.00	14.8	13.1	1.74
Tyler Kolek	40	41	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.19	4	5	-1	16.3	15.7	0.60	15.5	13.8	1.66
Mitchell Robinson	77	80	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.13	4	5	-1	16.0	15.7	0.22	14.7	13.3	1.44
Guerschon Yabusele	36	38	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	10	-11	16.4	15.6	0.74	15.3	14.0	1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.48,0.66,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.84,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 93, UTA 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.9,1	91.4%
PHI 89, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.39,0.34,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.9,0.81,0.94,0.95,1	91.3%
IND 105, DAL 107	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.2,0.3,0.34,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.45,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.56,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.95,0.81,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.97,0.95,0.91,0.98,1	91.3%