NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	93		Excitement	6.8 [438]		MVP	Eddie House (LAC): +19.3%
Utah Jazz	98		Comeback	2.0 [791]		LVP	Quentin Richardson (LAC): -15.7%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie House	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.18,0.19	0.15	0.10	0.05	7	100%	0.19	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Chris Wilcox	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	5	58%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Predrag Drobnjak	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	5	58%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Corey Maggette	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.04	-0.03	10	60%	0.07	3	-0.10	5	100%	0.02
Matt Barnes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	5	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Kaman	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Doug Overton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	10	60%	0.10	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	6	50%	-0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13	-0.02	-0.09	0.02	15	47%	-0.13	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.02
Quentin Richardson	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	0.00	5	33%	-0.07	3	-0.09	2	0%	-0.05

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.08	-0.01	10	54%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	70%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	6	43%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06,0	0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.01	11	65%	0.05	2	-0.05	9	100%	0.02
Raul Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	5	57%	0.04	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.04
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	13	53%	0.01	2	-0.09	8	75%	0.04
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	11	39%	-0.05	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	9	48%	-0.06	1	-0.03	9	78%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.5	29.4	15.7	27.0	2.5	36.3	137.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -4.0%

UTA +21.7%

UTA +20.2%

UTA +9.4%

UTA +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	UTA	NBA	LAC	UTA	NBA
this game	15.2	17.5	15.7	105.7	111.4	100.5
season	15.5	17.2		101.3	99.4
opponent	15.2	15.4		100.8	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.4	18.9	14.3	13.3	15.2
UTA	22.5	18.9	15.1	14.9	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Predrag Drobnjak	1	1	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.06	-1	-4	3	23.0	15.1	7.85	0.0	17.7	-17.69
Eddie House	15	15	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.19	4	-9	13	11.6	16.0	-4.39	14.9	18.0	-3.16
Chris Kaman	29	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.07	-1	-4	3	18.0	13.9	4.17	19.2	16.6	2.56
Melvin Ely	27	27	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	-1	-3	14.5	15.6	-1.04	17.6	17.4	0.15
Corey Maggette	53	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.18	-2	-3	1	16.4	13.5	2.86	18.7	15.6	3.09
Matt Barnes	49	50	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.29	1	-6	7	14.1	16.6	-2.52	16.2	19.1	-2.89
Doug Overton	57	56	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.31	1	-6	7	14.0	17.5	-3.57	15.9	20.2	-4.24
Quentin Richardson	55	55	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	4	-13	15.8	14.3	1.45	18.6	15.6	2.96
Marko Jaric	35	35	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.05	-10	5	-15	17.8	13.5	4.30	19.3	16.3	2.94
Elton Brand	74	73	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.44	2	-7	9	15.3	14.9	0.37	18.8	10.9	7.98
Chris Wilcox	45	46	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.28	-6	1	-7	13.6	17.0	-3.35	14.6	20.7	-6.13

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Ostertag	76	75	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.47	1	4	-3	17.4	18.3	-0.98	15.1	15.8	-0.71
Andrei Kirilenko	73	71	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.28	7	-2	9	18.1	14.5	3.64	15.4	14.7	0.66
Carlos Arroyo	58	59	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.33	1	4	-3	16.9	18.5	-1.59	14.4	17.0	-2.58
Raja Bell	45	44	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.22	4	1	3	16.6	18.4	-1.77	15.7	14.7	0.98
Jarron Collins	42	41	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	2	1	17.0	17.9	-0.84	14.6	15.8	-1.18
Michael Ruffin	57	59	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.10	5	0	5	18.3	16.0	2.30	15.7	14.3	1.33
DeShawn Stevenson	43	44	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.14	1	4	-3	18.4	16.6	1.77	14.7	15.7	-0.98
Raul Lopez	30	29	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.02	4	1	3	18.5	16.9	1.59	17.0	14.4	2.58
Sasha Pavlovic	16	18	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.02	-1	6	-7	13.6	18.4	-4.80	15.2	15.3	-0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 88, TOR 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.62,0.74,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.99,0.93,0.97,0.96,1,1,1	93.3%
PHI 98, DEN 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.9,0.98,0.78,0.84,1	93.1%
CHA 86, UTA 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.95,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	92.9%