NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	105		Excitement	7.7 [118]		MVP	Dwight Powell (DAL): +18.1%
Dallas Mavericks	107		Comeback	4.4 [177]		LVP	Aaron Nesmith (IND): -34.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mac McClung	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	54%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Tony Bradley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quenton Jackson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jay Huff	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,0,0.02,0	0.01	-0.05	-0.05	23	47%	0.10	3	-0.10	12	58%	-0.06
RayJ Dennis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	0.07	-0.04	0.05	13	61%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Isaiah Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jarace Walker	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1	-0.00	-0.06	0.03	19	44%	-0.08	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Ben Sheppard	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	7	25%	-0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Nesmith	-0.34	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.34	-0.21	-0.14	-0.01	16	15%	-0.32	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.06	0.01	6	75%	0.20	1	-0.02	12	83%	0.03
Brandon Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.05	-0.00	14	67%	0.19	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Caleb Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.00	3	75%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Cooper Flagg	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	0.01	11	60%	0.11	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Max Christie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	59%	0.07	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Jaden Hardy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	11	56%	0.06	4	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Naji Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	10	25%	-0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	8	37%	-0.03	3	-0.09	8	62%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	0.3	34.1	14.3	34.7	0.6	39.4	151.2
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.8	14.6	29.4	2.3	32.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +61.7%

DAL +22.4%

IND -33.0%

IND -5.2%

DAL +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DAL	NBA	IND	DAL	NBA
this game	13.5	13.8	14.1	99.1	101.9	113.7
season	14.1	14.0		106.8	108.0
opponent	14.0	14.1		111.2	115.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.2	13.9	13.3	13.3	13.5
DAL	14.3	11.8	13.9	15.5	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Jackson	37	38	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	3	-8	13.5	13.4	0.09	12.2	14.7	-2.46
Quenton Jackson	96	95	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.39	2	-4	6	13.5	13.2	0.28	13.9	13.4	0.45
Jay Huff	84	84	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.08	-9	7	-16	13.7	12.5	1.20	13.5	15.0	-1.43
Mac McClung	54	54	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.12	-8	6	-14	13.9	13.0	0.89	13.8	13.8	-0.03
Tony Bradley	63	64	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.21	-6	4	-10	14.1	12.5	1.58	14.6	12.6	1.93
Ben Sheppard	90	91	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.19	-8	6	-14	13.8	11.4	2.37	13.9	13.3	0.60
RayJ Dennis	105	104	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.45	0	-2	2	13.6	0.0	13.58	13.9	5.0	8.89
Jarace Walker	92	90	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.39	-2	0	-2	13.8	11.3	2.50	13.8	14.1	-0.38
Aaron Nesmith	98	98	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.45	-1	-1	0	13.8	9.0	4.82	13.9	12.1	1.79
Pascal Siakam	106	105	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.44	-2	0	-2	13.5	0.0	13.45	13.8	0.0	13.81

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Williams	73	74	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.34	8	-6	14	13.5	14.4	-0.90	13.6	13.1	0.51
Cooper Flagg	97	97	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.50	0	2	-2	13.8	13.5	0.34	13.4	14.2	-0.84
Max Christie	94	93	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.49	0	2	-2	13.9	12.7	1.21	13.4	13.6	-0.19
Dwight Powell	105	106	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.41	2	0	2	13.8	0.0	13.81	13.5	0.0	13.45
Caleb Martin	103	103	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.31	1	1	0	14.0	3.0	11.02	13.6	10.0	3.55
D'Angelo Russell	96	96	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.32	-2	4	-6	14.1	10.2	3.92	13.5	13.1	0.39
Naji Marshall	88	90	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.47	-8	10	-18	14.1	12.5	1.53	13.2	15.1	-1.90
P.J. Washington	74	75	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.43	-7	9	-16	14.0	13.4	0.65	13.2	14.1	-0.86
Klay Thompson	56	56	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	5	-8	13.5	14.2	-0.74	13.3	13.6	-0.24
Anthony Davis	18	17	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.07	-7	9	-16	14.7	13.6	1.03	12.7	13.6	-0.89
Jaden Hardy	33	34	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.06	-9	11	-20	13.5	13.9	-0.39	13.1	13.6	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.2,0.3,0.34,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.45,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.7,0.56,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.95,0.81,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.97,0.95,0.91,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 89, TOR 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.1%
NYK 92, PHI 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.48,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.5%
DAL 95, SAS 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.44,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.99,1	93.5%