NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	89		Excitement	7.3 [348]		MVP	Alvin Williams (TOR): +16.1%
Toronto Raptors	96		Comeback	2.9 [270]		LVP	Tyrone Hill (PHI): -26.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Ollie	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	8	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Todd MacCulloch	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	13	50%	0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	12	42%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13	-0.04	-0.09	-0.01	32	49%	-0.09	2	-0.04	13	69%	-0.07
Tyrone Hill	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.27,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27	-0.09	-0.17	0.01	16	44%	-0.17	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.06

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.10	0.01	9	80%	0.22	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Morris Peterson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.07	0.01	15	61%	0.15	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.04
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	14	57%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	11	62%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.02	-0.00	8	28%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	10	36%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Antonio Davis	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	12	42%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	3.5	26.4	20.5	26.2	3.0	35.2	136.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +62.8%

PHI -5.2%

PHI -14.0%

TOR +10.2%

PHI -3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	TOR	NBA	PHI	TOR	NBA
this game	15.0	16.3	15.5	97.8	103.2	100.9
season	15.7	15.8		101.4	103.7
opponent	15.4	15.5		101.6	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.0	15.5	17.1	13.5	15.0
TOR	15.5	16.4	15.7	17.8	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jumaine Jones	9	8	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.04	0	-7	7	13.0	15.2	-2.17	14.0	16.6	-2.55
Tyrone Hill	77	75	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-9	11	14.8	15.6	-0.73	16.9	13.8	3.17
Todd MacCulloch	4	5	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-4	1	19.5	14.7	4.75	12.6	16.5	-3.95
Aaron McKie	82	84	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.34	3	-10	13	14.8	16.7	-1.90	16.9	10.7	6.27
Rodney Buford	17	20	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.01	-10	3	-13	14.4	15.1	-0.67	13.6	17.1	-3.42
George Lynch	84	85	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.35	1	-8	9	15.1	13.7	1.35	17.1	7.9	9.25
Kevin Ollie	20	20	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	5	-17	17.2	14.3	2.88	14.2	16.9	-2.72
Theo Ratliff	75	79	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.29	-7	0	-7	14.8	15.7	-0.96	16.3	16.8	-0.53
Allen Iverson	87	89	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.26	-9	2	-11	14.9	17.0	-2.14	16.1	22.5	-6.44

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dell Curry	55	53	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.23	13	-6	19	16.0	16.9	-0.90	14.8	15.2	-0.39
Antonio Davis	73	70	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.24	8	-1	9	16.4	15.9	0.49	14.5	16.6	-2.10
Morris Peterson	74	71	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.21	6	1	5	16.1	17.1	-0.90	15.4	13.3	2.06
Charles Oakley	77	76	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	5	-3	16.7	14.4	2.37	15.4	12.6	2.82
Alvin Williams	76	76	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.29	-2	9	-11	16.5	15.4	1.13	14.9	15.3	-0.45
Keon Clark	36	36	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	3	1	15.2	17.0	-1.77	14.9	15.0	-0.07
Mark Jackson	48	46	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	4	-1	16.3	16.4	-0.13	15.0	14.9	0.13
Tracy Murray	19	20	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	6	-5	17.1	16.1	0.90	13.3	15.4	-2.06
Vince Carter	7	7	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	7	-7	17.4	16.2	1.18	16.6	14.8	1.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.39,0.34,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.9,0.81,0.94,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 90, CHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.68,0.72,0.89,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.84,1	94.2%
IND 88, SEA 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.76,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.97,1,1	94.2%
SAS 87, WAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.67,0.8,0.85,0.97,0.96,1	93.5%