NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	129		Excitement	2.8 [495]		MVP	Josh Hart (NYK): +11.6%
Charlotte Hornets	101		Comeback	1.4 [414]		LVP	Kon Knueppel (CHA): -8.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Hart	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.14	0.00	0.03	13	79%	0.13	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Miles McBride	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.17	0.00	0.07	8	106%	0.13	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mikal Bridges	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.02	11	75%	0.12	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Brunson	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.03	28	54%	0.08	3	-0.03	5	60%	-0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	13	58%	0.04	3	-0.02	7	100%	0.01
Jordan Clarkson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	7	57%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ariel Hukporti	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pac�me Dadiet	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mohamed Diawara	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Guerschon Yabusele	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Kolek	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	0.00	0.06	4	87%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.14	-0.00	0.06	6	83%	0.08	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Liam McNeeley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Kalkbrenner	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	5	73%	0.03	1	-0.00	1	0%	0.00
Tre Mann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	13	58%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Moussa Diabat�	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	14	52%	0.03	3	-0.04	5	40%	-0.01
Sion James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	-0.00
Brandon Miller	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.05	12	64%	0.02	4	-0.05	4	100%	0.00
LaMelo Ball	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.12	-0.01	-0.06	14	38%	-0.05	4	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Kon Knueppel	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.15	-0.00	-0.07	12	22%	-0.06	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	0.1	26.0	0.0	43.7	0.0	34.9	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.9	14.5	29.5	2.3	32.7	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +30.3%

NYK +8.1%

NYK +5.4%

NYK +5.2%

NYK +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHA	NBA	NYK	CHA	NBA
this game	13.7	14.7	14.1	125.2	101.0	113.8
season	14.8	14.6		119.5	113.9
opponent	14.0	13.7		115.9	114.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.0	13.3	17.4	10.9	13.7
CHA	15.2	16.7	13.2	13.6	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikal Bridges	98	95	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.26	26	2	24	13.8	10.4	3.45	14.7	13.2	1.55
Miles McBride	98	95	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.26	26	2	24	13.8	10.4	3.45	14.7	13.2	1.55
Jalen Brunson	94	91	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.16	22	6	16	13.8	12.8	0.99	14.6	15.1	-0.48
Mitchell Robinson	92	90	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.22	24	4	20	13.7	13.7	-0.05	14.6	15.4	-0.81
Josh Hart	94	91	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.16	22	6	16	13.8	12.8	0.99	14.6	15.1	-0.48
Guerschon Yabusele	92	87	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.16	16	12	4	13.9	11.6	2.29	14.5	16.1	-1.62
Karl-Anthony Towns	80	77	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.11	12	16	-4	14.4	11.3	3.11	14.4	15.6	-1.16
Tyler Kolek	73	68	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.14	12	16	-4	13.5	14.1	-0.55	14.1	15.9	-1.82
Jordan Clarkson	47	46	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.00	7	21	-14	13.9	13.5	0.35	15.0	14.4	0.65
Ariel Hukporti	31	28	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.14	5	23	-18	10.9	14.9	-3.97	13.6	15.1	-1.43
Pac�me Dadiet	31	28	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.14	5	23	-18	10.9	14.9	-3.97	13.6	15.1	-1.43
Mohamed Diawara	31	28	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.14	5	23	-18	10.9	14.9	-3.97	13.6	15.1	-1.43

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moussa Diabat�	47	51	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.11	-2	-26	24	13.8	15.5	-1.71	14.2	13.2	0.98
Sion James	85	89	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.14	-13	-15	2	14.3	16.5	-2.19	14.2	10.6	3.60
Collin Sexton	84	87	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	-15	2	14.7	14.6	0.05	14.0	11.8	2.21
Brandon Miller	77	82	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.10	-6	-22	16	14.5	15.1	-0.60	14.7	9.8	4.92
Kon Knueppel	75	79	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.21	-17	-11	-6	14.4	15.5	-1.08	13.5	14.4	-0.96
Liam McNeeley	72	74	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.23	-19	-9	-10	15.0	13.9	1.13	12.5	16.8	-4.33
Tre Mann	97	101	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.33	-26	-2	-24	14.7	14.0	0.69	13.9	1.0	12.93
Miles Bridges	88	91	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.31	-26	-2	-24	14.8	13.7	1.05	14.1	10.7	3.32
LaMelo Ball	79	82	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.28	-26	-2	-24	14.5	15.2	-0.72	13.3	15.3	-2.02
Ryan Kalkbrenner	100	103	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.32	-28	0	-28	14.7	0.0	14.67	13.7	0.0	13.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.3,0.33,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 105, MEM 80	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
SAS 99, VAN 72	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.22,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%
BOS 91, CHI 69	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%