NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	105		Excitement	2.4 [1215]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (MIN): +4.6%
Memphis Grizzlies	80		Comeback	1.3 [1084]		LVP	Shane Battier (MEM): -8.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	58%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.04	10	64%	0.07	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Terrell Brandon	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	0.00	0.06	15	65%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Loren Woods	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	4	60%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.09	13	47%	0.04	3	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Felipe Lopez	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	4	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	6	58%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	21	45%	0.02	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Gary Trent	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	11	37%	-0.04	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.03	13	63%	0.02	1	-0.00	9	67%	-0.01
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	3	64%	0.03	3	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ike Austin	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	-0.00	-0.07	7	37%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Will Solomon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	9	39%	-0.02	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	-0.00	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	11	27%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	0.02	15	37%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	-0.01	-0.05	14	30%	-0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	508.7	2.3	26.3	16.6	27.3	1.7	21.1	604.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +28.3%

MEM -5.1%

MIN +16.6%

MIN +9.1%

MIN +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	MEM	NBA	MIN	MEM	NBA
this game	13.1	16.1	15.6	107.1	80.8	102.3
season	15.0	15.7		106.7	96.0
opponent	15.2	16.1		103.8	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	12.6	13.8	13.2	12.9	13.1
MEM	14.1	17.5	16.2	17.1	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	72	71	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.22	23	2	21	12.8	13.8	-0.96	15.9	16.6	-0.73
Wally Szczerbiak	70	69	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.15	18	7	11	12.8	13.9	-1.16	16.5	15.3	1.18
Terrell Brandon	68	68	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.18	18	7	11	12.8	13.8	-1.01	15.5	17.4	-1.84
Joe Smith	63	63	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.23	19	6	13	12.1	14.9	-2.73	16.8	15.0	1.81
Rasho Nesterovic	62	64	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.14	14	11	3	12.3	14.4	-2.08	16.9	14.7	2.22
Loren Woods	30	30	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.02	7	18	-11	14.5	12.5	1.97	15.0	16.6	-1.66
Anthony Peeler	41	42	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.15	11	14	-3	14.1	12.4	1.67	16.9	15.6	1.32
Gary Trent	19	21	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.04	7	18	-11	14.6	12.7	1.90	17.3	15.8	1.54
Chauncey Billups	30	32	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.05	7	18	-11	13.8	12.8	1.01	17.4	15.5	1.94
Sam Mitchell	16	15	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.04	-1	26	-27	15.1	12.7	2.42	11.7	16.9	-5.25
Felipe Lopez	11	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	21	-17	12.5	13.2	-0.63	13.7	16.5	-2.79
Dean Garrett	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	27	-29	14.9	12.9	1.93	12.2	16.5	-4.21

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Solomon	34	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-21	17	15.6	16.4	-0.86	13.5	12.9	0.64
Grant Long	16	15	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.05	-9	-16	7	16.4	16.1	0.38	13.3	13.1	0.19
Brevin Knight	49	48	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	-14	3	16.1	16.2	-0.12	14.3	12.0	2.29
Ike Austin	51	51	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.16	-14	-11	-3	15.6	16.7	-1.14	11.8	14.5	-2.67
Shane Battier	67	68	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	-12	-1	16.1	16.2	-0.14	13.2	13.0	0.20
Rodney Buford	70	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.34	-23	-2	-21	15.6	17.4	-1.78	12.9	13.6	-0.66
Jason Williams	58	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.18	-18	-7	-11	16.4	15.8	0.62	12.2	14.4	-2.24
Stromile Swift	51	50	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.18	-18	-7	-11	17.1	15.1	2.06	14.3	11.8	2.53
Pau Gasol	87	86	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.13	-18	-7	-11	16.4	14.2	2.13	12.9	14.8	-1.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 111, CHA 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
ORL 90, MIA 73	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
MIL 112, SAC 87	0.5,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.25,0.22,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%