NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	113		Excitement	10.2 [29]		MVP	Collin Gillespie (PHX): +37.4%
Phoenix Suns	114		Comeback	768.2 [2]		LVP	Julius Randle (MIN): -55.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Edwards	0.26	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.2,0.23,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.42,0.42,0.26	0.18	0.07	-0.01	24	68%	0.38	5	-0.13	12	67%	-0.14
Donte DiVincenzo	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12	-0.05	0.18	0.01	9	43%	0.20	2	-0.08	3	100%	-0.00
Rudy Gobert	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	10	50%	0.09	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Naz Reid	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	10	45%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	4	37%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	12	48%	0.04	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Joe Ingles	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Clark	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Rob Dillingham	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	-0.55	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.55	-0.02	-0.50	0.04	13	57%	-0.23	5	-0.32	9	67%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Collin Gillespie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.37	0.37	0.11	0.30	0.04	12	77%	0.47	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Mark Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.12	0.18	-0.00	9	73%	0.32	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.04
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.07	0.03	8	80%	0.17	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Jordan Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.08	0.00	9	72%	0.18	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Livers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Dunn	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Oso Ighodaro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,-0.08	-0.08	0.04	-0.14	-0.03	17	58%	0.16	3	-0.24	4	50%	-0.10
Nick Richards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.19,-0.26,-0.32,-0.32,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.32,-0.36,-0.39,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.32	-0.26	-0.07	-0.01	18	36%	-0.07	9	-0.25	9	78%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.3	1.2	27.2	15.3	30.4	0.0	44.4	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.8	14.6	29.4	2.3	32.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +66.3%

MIN -5.6%

PHX +1.6%

MIN -18.4%

PHX +6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	PHX	NBA	MIN	PHX	NBA
this game	14.3	13.0	14.1	107.6	108.6	113.7
season	14.1	13.9		116.8	112.6
opponent	14.5	14.2		112.9	112.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	17.8	13.8	12.5	13.5	14.3
PHX	10.8	13.4	14.7	13.1	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Conley	66	66	0.53	-1.03	1.56	0.21	11	-12	23	14.8	13.5	1.35	13.3	12.5	0.84
Rudy Gobert	76	76	0.41	-0.91	1.32	0.17	8	-9	17	14.7	13.3	1.41	13.1	12.8	0.34
Naz Reid	77	78	0.25	-0.75	1.01	0.14	4	-5	9	15.2	11.9	3.38	13.3	12.4	0.90
Jaylen Clark	52	51	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.04	6	-7	13	15.0	13.7	1.36	12.8	13.3	-0.46
Joe Ingles	26	27	0.11	-0.61	0.71	0.11	0	-1	1	13.8	14.5	-0.70	13.1	13.0	0.15
Donte DiVincenzo	69	70	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.44	9	-10	19	14.6	13.8	0.76	13.2	12.7	0.49
Rob Dillingham	26	27	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	4	-9	13.8	14.5	-0.70	13.4	12.9	0.45
Jaden McDaniels	97	98	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.52	9	-10	19	14.3	14.9	-0.59	13.3	8.9	4.48
Julius Randle	105	105	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	0	-1	14.3	0.0	14.33	13.0	0.0	13.04
Anthony Edwards	105	105	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	0	-1	14.3	0.0	14.33	13.0	0.0	13.04

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Collin Gillespie	105	104	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.46	1	0	1	13.0	0.0	13.04	14.5	2.0	12.45
Jordan Goodwin	92	91	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.39	2	-1	3	13.0	13.5	-0.48	14.6	12.4	2.28
Royce O'Neale	82	82	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.49	-6	7	-13	13.4	11.7	1.72	14.0	15.7	-1.74
Ryan Dunn	92	90	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.58	-11	12	-23	13.6	9.2	4.35	13.7	18.4	-4.74
Isaiah Livers	36	35	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.07	10	-9	19	12.0	13.6	-1.62	15.9	13.5	2.41
Devin Booker	95	96	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.10	1	0	1	13.3	10.5	2.81	14.7	10.9	3.77
Nick Richards	33	32	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.13	4	-3	7	11.9	13.5	-1.60	16.3	13.5	2.85
Oso Ighodaro	67	66	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.12	-6	7	-13	13.8	11.7	2.08	13.4	15.9	-2.53
Dillon Brooks	104	104	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	-0.29	-1	2	-3	13.1	5.0	8.12	14.4	6.0	8.41
Mark Williams	80	80	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.10	-8	9	-17	13.2	12.6	0.52	14.6	13.3	1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.77,0.76,0.64,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.28,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.45,0.37,0.15,0.01,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 90, SEA 91	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.14,0.15,1	88.6%
GSW 90, HOU 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.24,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.39,0.19,0.1,0.03,0.16,1	88.1%
ATL 111, CLE 112	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.73,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.29,0.27,0.17,0.29,0.27,0.19,0.12,0.16,0.27,1	87.8%