NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	90		Excitement	8.1 [197]		MVP	Vin Baker (SEA): +27.7%
Seattle SuperSonics	91		Comeback	15.8 [77]		LVP	Ron Harper (CHI): -11.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toni Kukoc	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.39,0.39,0.16	0.15	-0.01	-0.02	17	77%	0.24	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.01
Randy Brown	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.11	0.06	0.06	0.01	8	67%	0.11	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Rusty LaRue	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,0.01,0.07,0.04	-0.07	0.10	-0.01	25	46%	0.11	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Dennis Rodman	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bill Wennington	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	10	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	11	27%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,0.28	0.28	-0.06	0.32	-0.01	18	46%	0.33	2	-0.05	5	20%	-0.05
David Wingate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.07	0.00	3	83%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	5	90%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.06	-0.02	16	47%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.08
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	6	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.02,-0.04,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	16	65%	0.23	4	-0.18	2	100%	0.02
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.00	8	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	3	12%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	2	33%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	37.6	1.7	26.1	16.6	25.0	1.8	31.2	140.1
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +54.6%

SEA +3.5%

CHI -18.6%

SEA +9.2%

SEA +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	SEA	NBA	CHI	SEA	NBA
this game	17.6	16.5	15.6	105.9	108.3	102.5
season	16.2	15.3		105.8	109.3
opponent	16.2	15.8		102.3	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	18.0	15.7	19.2	17.8	17.6
SEA	12.2	17.8	18.7	18.3	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bill Wennington	19	19	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.09	6	-7	13	15.0	18.4	-3.36	16.8	16.4	0.42
Randy Brown	43	43	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	0	-1	17.8	17.4	0.41	17.1	15.8	1.24
Rusty LaRue	6	7	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.16	4	-5	9	11.7	18.1	-6.40	15.7	16.5	-0.82
Scott Burrell	16	15	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	2	-5	18.2	17.5	0.71	17.3	16.3	1.06
Jud Buechler	12	11	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.25	1	-2	3	16.7	17.8	-1.10	12.1	17.1	-5.03
Michael Jordan	66	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.51	7	-8	15	17.5	18.2	-0.70	17.0	14.8	2.16
Dennis Rodman	69	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.22	-7	6	-13	18.1	15.6	2.52	16.1	18.3	-2.28
Toni Kukoc	77	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.45	0	-1	1	17.6	17.5	0.12	16.7	14.6	2.03
Ron Harper	59	57	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.30	-7	6	-13	17.9	17.0	0.88	16.9	15.6	1.28
Luc Longley	58	58	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.40	-5	4	-9	18.3	16.1	2.14	15.9	17.8	-1.89

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Detlef Schrempf	65	67	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.55	10	-9	19	16.1	17.6	-1.44	17.5	18.2	-0.70
Gary Payton	74	75	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.41	6	-5	11	16.5	16.1	0.41	18.0	14.4	3.64
Jim McIlvaine	42	45	0.47	0.04	0.43	0.23	8	-7	15	15.9	17.0	-1.12	18.2	16.9	1.34
Vin Baker	74	72	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.33	0	1	-1	16.4	17.2	-0.84	17.7	16.8	0.90
Hersey Hawkins	61	61	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.44	-7	8	-15	17.1	14.8	2.26	17.3	18.3	-1.01
Sam Perkins	40	39	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.37	-7	8	-15	16.8	16.2	0.59	17.0	18.1	-1.08
David Wingate	18	20	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.06	1	0	1	14.9	16.9	-1.93	17.5	17.6	-0.15
Greg Anthony	10	10	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.06	-5	6	-11	16.1	16.5	-0.41	14.4	18.0	-3.64
Dale Ellis	36	36	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.10	-1	2	-3	17.3	15.9	1.42	18.0	17.3	0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.14,0.15,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 123, HOU 125	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.19,0.1,0.09,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.1,0.16,1	90.5%
LAL 89, DET 90	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.82,0.82,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.58,0.73,0.71,0.58,0.55,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.42,0.53,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.27,1	90.3%
CLE 89, DEN 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.63,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.48,0.35,0.38,0.56,0.37,0.42,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.53,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.53,0.52,0.32,0.16,1	90.2%