NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	89		Excitement	9.4 [88]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): +68.3%
Detroit Pistons	90		Comeback	11.6 [147]		LVP	Rasheed Wallace (DET): -34.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.08	-0.00	11	60%	0.15	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Kobe Bryant	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,0,0.22,0.13	-0.04	0.17	0.00	25	60%	0.42	11	-0.29	15	87%	0.03
Ronny Turiaf	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09	0.05	0.06	0.01	6	71%	0.14	2	-0.05	5	40%	-0.07
Sasha Vujacic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	5	40%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	21%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	0.01	6	50%	-0.02	5	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Lamar Odom	-0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.25	-0.08	-0.18	-0.01	5	37%	-0.19	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,-0.01,0.09,0.68	0.68	0.04	0.64	-0.00	18	55%	0.72	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.09	-0.00	5	83%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	4	100%	0.13	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chauncey Billups	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	10	67%	0.16	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	4	30%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	4	50%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	6	33%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.16	-0.16	-0.01	-0.13	0.01	14	50%	-0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	4	10%	-0.14	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23,-0.34	-0.34	-0.14	-0.21	-0.01	13	23%	-0.28	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.4	31.6	17.4	32.3	2.8	32.3	145.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +27.3%

LAL -8.2%

DET +19.6%

DET +13.0%

LAL -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DET	NBA	LAL	DET	NBA
this game	14.9	15.1	15.4	91.8	94.7	105.7
season	14.6	16.8		110.6	108.8
opponent	15.8	15.2		101.3	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.5	14.0	13.5	18.2	14.9
DET	13.7	13.7	16.5	16.9	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	66	66	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.53	17	-18	35	14.4	16.0	-1.54	16.2	12.5	3.69
Vladimir Radmanovic	56	55	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.13	3	-4	7	14.6	15.3	-0.65	15.4	14.7	0.66
Lamar Odom	77	76	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.50	13	-14	27	14.7	15.6	-0.92	16.0	11.3	4.71
Sasha Vujacic	39	37	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.10	-14	13	-27	14.9	14.9	0.01	12.9	16.4	-3.50
Jordan Farmar	34	33	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.10	-15	14	-29	16.7	14.0	2.71	13.8	15.8	-1.94
Kobe Bryant	95	93	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.53	3	-4	7	14.9	16.5	-1.62	15.2	11.5	3.66
Ronny Turiaf	57	56	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.51	-3	2	-5	15.2	14.4	0.80	14.7	15.6	-0.90
Kwame Brown	61	59	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.36	-9	8	-17	14.7	15.3	-0.57	14.6	15.8	-1.21

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Hamilton	59	58	0.93	-0.43	1.36	0.46	16	-15	31	15.0	15.2	-0.27	15.2	14.5	0.63
Rasheed Wallace	58	60	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.48	7	-6	13	14.9	15.3	-0.35	15.0	14.8	0.13
Jarvis Hayes	21	23	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.01	10	-9	19	13.3	15.6	-2.25	17.0	14.3	2.73
Chauncey Billups	63	64	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.42	-5	6	-11	15.3	14.6	0.79	14.0	16.8	-2.83
Amir Johnson	26	26	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.06	6	-5	11	14.6	15.3	-0.70	16.2	14.5	1.74
Rodney Stuckey	32	33	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	-5	11	14.6	15.3	-0.79	16.8	14.0	2.83
Antonio McDyess	64	65	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.48	-9	10	-19	15.9	13.5	2.38	14.0	16.8	-2.78
Tayshaun Prince	74	74	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.46	-9	10	-19	15.6	13.3	2.25	14.3	17.0	-2.73
Jason Maxiell	42	43	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.09	-2	3	-5	14.4	15.6	-1.22	15.5	14.5	0.98
Arron Afflalo	36	39	-0.43	0.93	-1.36	0.01	-15	16	-31	15.2	15.0	0.27	14.5	15.2	-0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.82,0.82,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.58,0.73,0.71,0.58,0.55,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.42,0.53,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 98, LAL 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.67,0.62,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.45,0.64,0.67,0.59,1	90.4%
CHI 90, SEA 91	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.14,0.15,1	90.3%
CLE 89, DEN 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.63,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.48,0.35,0.38,0.56,0.37,0.42,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.53,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.53,0.52,0.32,0.16,1	89.8%