NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	111		Excitement	9.4 [106]		MVP	Lamar Stevens (CLE): +45.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	112		Comeback	11.6 [63]		LVP	Darius Garland (CLE): -33.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Huerter	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.17	0.09	0.01	14	73%	0.25	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Solomon Hill	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.07	0.00	3	100%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Snell	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.06	-0.02	7	79%	0.20	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.00	0.01	6	93%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Clint Capela	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	13	43%	0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Rajon Rondo	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	4	87%	0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Skylar Mays	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	7	36%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	7	31%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Trae Young	-0.26	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.26	-0.10	-0.16	-0.00	27	42%	-0.14	5	-0.12	13	69%	-0.05

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Stevens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.45	0.45	0.06	0.39	0.00	5	80%	0.45	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dylan Windler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.16	0.15	0.00	6	125%	0.34	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.06	0.01	11	54%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Isaac Okoro	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	6	62%	0.13	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.02	-0.00	16	69%	0.25	6	-0.21	10	80%	-0.03
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.04	0.00	7	69%	0.07	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Darius Garland	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.34	-0.34	-0.14	-0.22	-0.02	19	40%	-0.05	5	-0.29	4	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	28.6	15.3	24.0	1.8	32.2	127.7
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +80.4%

ATL -7.9%

ATL -18.7%

ATL -29.5%

CLE +25.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CLE	NBA	ATL	CLE	NBA
this game	14.7	15.5	14.4	115.6	117.9	111.3
season	14.7	15.2		112.8	104.5
opponent	14.0	14.5		112.9	111.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.3	14.2	14.7	15.4	14.7
CLE	15.1	16.4	16.0	14.6	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clint Capela	73	72	0.64	-1.14	1.78	0.14	17	-18	35	14.9	14.0	0.92	15.9	14.3	1.58
Kevin Huerter	74	73	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.51	21	-22	43	14.3	15.8	-1.51	15.8	14.4	1.49
John Collins	27	28	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.03	4	-5	9	13.0	15.3	-2.36	16.1	15.3	0.85
Skylar Mays	25	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.14	-5	4	-9	14.1	14.8	-0.73	14.4	15.9	-1.50
Onyeka Okongwu	20	21	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.05	-10	9	-19	13.8	14.9	-1.08	15.3	15.6	-0.28
Tony Snell	65	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.68	12	-13	25	15.0	13.9	1.11	15.5	15.5	-0.04
Rajon Rondo	31	29	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.19	-18	17	-35	14.6	14.7	-0.02	14.8	15.8	-0.98
Trae Young	73	74	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.66	7	-8	15	14.9	13.8	1.09	15.8	14.5	1.32
Danilo Gallinari	48	48	-0.88	0.38	-1.26	-0.58	-10	9	-19	14.9	14.4	0.48	14.8	16.2	-1.36
Solomon Hill	44	42	-1.08	0.58	-1.67	-0.41	-23	22	-45	15.4	14.0	1.35	15.4	15.6	-0.27

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Stevens	31	32	1.00	-0.50	1.50	0.65	12	-11	23	14.8	15.9	-1.09	14.8	14.6	0.28
Darius Garland	85	85	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.55	1	0	1	15.3	17.3	-2.01	14.9	13.0	1.87
Jarrett Allen	68	67	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.64	-5	6	-11	15.9	14.4	1.53	14.6	14.7	-0.10
Isaac Okoro	73	74	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.54	-6	7	-13	15.9	14.2	1.72	14.3	15.7	-1.39
Collin Sexton	67	68	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.52	-9	10	-19	15.8	14.9	0.92	14.5	15.0	-0.49
Cedi Osman	39	39	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.13	10	-9	19	16.0	15.2	0.80	14.4	14.8	-0.37
JaVale McGee	27	29	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.17	6	-5	11	14.4	15.9	-1.53	14.7	14.6	0.10
Dylan Windler	42	44	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.29	10	-9	19	14.5	16.3	-1.80	15.5	13.9	1.56
Dean Wade	43	42	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	0.04	-14	15	-29	15.9	15.2	0.73	14.2	15.0	-0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.73,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.29,0.27,0.17,0.29,0.27,0.19,0.12,0.16,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 87, UTA 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.15,0.1,0.23,0.42,1	91.9%
UTA 102, MIA 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.63,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.57,0.43,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.16,1	91.0%
MEM 89, MIN 90	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.17,0.34,0.27,0.14,0.05,0.03,0.04,1	90.4%