inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 102 Excitement8.0 [264] MVPJosh Richardson (MIA): +35.1%
Miami Heat 103 Comeback23.4 [81] LVPRicky Rubio (UTA): -11.2%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Alec Burks0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.060.100.00475%0.1500.004100%0.07
Thabo Sefolosha0.130,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.100.040.014108%0.182-0.054100%0.03
Rodney Hood0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.110.040.080.011649%0.1100.00367%0.00
Ekpe Udoh0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.040.060.001100%0.1000.001100%0.01
Derrick Favors0.000,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0-0.010.01-0.011046%0.041-0.03475%0.00
Joe Johnson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.010.00856%0.052-0.0500%0.00
Donovan Mitchell-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.07,-0.030.07-0.070.032554%0.031-0.0600%0.00
Joe Ingles-0.080,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.02-0.06-0.00856%0.023-0.1100%0.00
Ricky Rubio-0.110,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.10-0.02-0.01625%-0.072-0.054100%0.03

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Josh Richardson0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.350.350.020.340.011154%0.371-0.02450%-0.03
Tyler Johnson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.080.030.011362%0.1100.0000%0.00
Kelly Olynyk0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.110.110.030.070.00860%0.151-0.04475%0.01
James Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.020.06-0.011254%0.111-0.0200%0.00
Wayne Ellington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.03-0.00764%0.091-0.0200%0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.00283%0.0500.0020%-0.06
Bam Adebayo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.00180%0.041-0.02367%-0.01
Hassan Whiteside0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.010.021154%0.0200.004100%0.02
Goran Dragic0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.011841%0.013-0.083100%0.06
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.62.429.57.825.42.436.4126.4
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +39.6%
UTA -6.8%
UTA -2.9%
MIA +14.1%
MIA +6.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTAMIANBAUTAMIANBA
this game15.516.014.7110.9113.2107.5
season15.115.1106.6105.4
opponent14.614.6105.8103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA16.816.613.315.815.5
MIA17.516.915.514.216.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ekpe Udoh28290.34-0.841.170.166-71316.515.11.3716.315.80.55
Alec Burks27260.15-0.650.790.150-1117.914.53.3116.815.61.12
Joe Johnson35350.13-0.630.750.014-5916.514.91.6716.115.90.24
Ricky Rubio57570.05-0.550.600.050-1115.216.1-0.8816.714.72.06
Donovan Mitchell7271-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.485-61114.718.4-3.6915.816.4-0.55
Thabo Sefolosha5756-0.630.13-0.75-0.48-54-914.916.5-1.6715.916.1-0.24
Joe Ingles6564-0.630.13-0.76-0.60-10-114.917.1-2.2115.517.0-1.42
Rodney Hood5555-0.730.23-0.96-0.53-76-1316.514.02.5315.416.8-1.34
Derrick Favors6462-0.840.34-1.17-0.63-76-1315.116.5-1.3715.816.3-0.55

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyler Johnson66680.83-0.331.160.579-81715.816.5-0.7114.618.0-3.37
Goran Dragic64670.78-0.281.060.558-71515.616.7-1.1015.017.0-2.04
Kelly Olynyk61600.54-0.040.580.57-12-315.916.1-0.1515.815.00.78
Josh Richardson70710.54-0.040.580.424-3716.215.20.9515.515.7-0.20
Wayne Ellington59580.300.200.110.36-23-515.516.9-1.4016.713.63.10
James Johnson49510.080.42-0.330.032-1316.015.90.0715.815.10.66
Bam Adebayo1414-0.040.54-0.580.02-23-516.915.81.0515.615.50.07
Hassan Whiteside4950-0.210.71-0.91-0.06-56-1116.615.31.3114.716.4-1.69
Derrick Jones Jr.2321-0.330.83-1.17-0.10-89-1716.315.90.3917.414.92.48


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.63,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.57,0.43,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.16,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 75, OKC 770.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.34,0.41,0.55,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.37,0.26,0.19,0.34,0.19,0.16,0.04,0.13,192.1%
NYK 91, SAC 920.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.26,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.29,0.06,0.27,192.0%
DAL 101, LAC 1040.5,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.33,0.29,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.17,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.22,0.32,0.42,191.3%