NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	105		Excitement	7.4 [233]		MVP	Daniss Jenkins (DET): +18.8%
Detroit Pistons	114		Comeback	8.4 [126]		LVP	Ronald Holland II (DET): -15.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justin Edwards	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.03	-0.00	7	81%	0.17	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Andre Drummond	0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.03	-0.00	6	100%	0.17	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
VJ Edgecombe	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.02	-0.01	15	56%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Tyrese Maxey	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.04	31	48%	0.08	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Dominick Barlow	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	8	62%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Adem Bona	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Walker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Trendon Watford	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	5	42%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Quentin Grimes	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	10	41%	0.02	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniss Jenkins	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.06	0.12	-0.01	15	59%	0.29	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.07	0.02	8	78%	0.18	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Javonte Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.02	-0.01	12	64%	0.18	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.03
Wendell Moore Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	0.00	3	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Duncan Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	12	56%	0.09	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	11	61%	0.11	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Bobi Klintman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chaz Lanier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Reed	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.01	9	56%	0.07	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Holland II	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.04	-0.02	15	29%	-0.08	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	0.3	31.1	13.4	29.5	0.6	28.1	131.1
league avg	26.3	2.0	28.9	14.4	29.6	2.3	32.8	136.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +30.8%

DET +10.2%

DET +5.0%

PHI -0.0%

DET +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DET	NBA	PHI	DET	NBA
this game	14.2	14.6	14.2	105.0	114.0	113.4
season	14.6	14.1		113.8	114.1
opponent	14.2	13.9		107.9	112.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.0	16.0	12.4	15.7	14.2
DET	13.5	14.7	14.8	15.6	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adem Bona	53	52	0.66	-1.16	1.81	0.04	21	-30	51	13.3	15.1	-1.84	15.2	13.9	1.29
Jabari Walker	56	58	0.36	-0.86	1.23	0.01	12	-21	33	13.7	14.7	-1.03	14.0	15.4	-1.41
Trendon Watford	75	76	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.01	4	-13	17	13.8	15.2	-1.35	14.2	15.8	-1.55
Dominick Barlow	58	56	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.24	11	-20	31	14.6	13.5	1.16	16.1	12.7	3.40
Justin Edwards	51	50	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.20	9	-18	27	14.3	14.0	0.21	14.8	14.4	0.46
Andre Drummond	95	95	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-9	9	14.3	11.4	2.89	15.0	8.0	6.96
Kelly Oubre Jr.	44	45	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.02	-8	-1	-7	14.3	14.0	0.34	13.8	15.3	-1.55
Quentin Grimes	96	97	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.21	-3	-6	3	14.3	9.5	4.84	14.8	8.0	6.81
VJ Edgecombe	89	90	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.25	-5	-4	-1	14.1	14.2	-0.04	14.7	14.1	0.57
Tyrese Maxey	96	95	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.22	-10	1	-11	14.0	17.7	-3.75	14.6	15.4	-0.83

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniss Jenkins	95	96	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.22	10	-1	11	14.6	15.4	-0.83	14.0	17.7	-3.75
Wendell Moore Jr.	72	74	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.25	8	1	7	15.0	13.5	1.49	14.6	13.0	1.61
Duncan Robinson	89	88	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.25	5	4	1	14.6	14.9	-0.34	14.3	13.2	1.02
Paul Reed	77	78	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.16	5	4	1	14.2	16.1	-1.97	13.9	15.0	-1.09
Javonte Green	87	86	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.20	0	9	-9	14.8	13.1	1.76	14.1	14.7	-0.66
Chaz Lanier	83	82	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.00	2	7	-5	13.9	18.1	-4.16	14.3	13.6	0.66
Caris LeVert	89	89	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.20	-5	14	-19	15.2	9.5	5.69	14.4	12.0	2.42
Isaiah Stewart	89	89	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.20	-5	14	-19	15.2	9.5	5.69	14.4	12.0	2.42
Bobi Klintman	32	30	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.06	-7	16	-23	14.7	14.6	0.16	13.1	14.6	-1.55
Ronald Holland II	65	65	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.12	-11	20	-31	14.7	14.5	0.15	13.5	15.3	-1.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.49,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.75,0.69,0.6,0.49,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.25,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.76,0.84,0.86,0.93,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 82, NYK 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.23,0.26,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.87,0.9,1,1,1,1	90.7%
CLE 91, MIA 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.3,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.57,0.52,0.73,0.69,0.85,0.87,0.98,1,1,1,1	90.5%
UTA 80, SAS 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.25,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.62,0.71,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.9,1	90.4%