NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	117		Excitement	6.5 [179]		MVP	Luka Don?i? (LAL): +20.6%
Memphis Grizzlies	112		Comeback	7.0 [74]		LVP	Ja Morant (MEM): -16.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luka Don?i?	0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21	0.17	0.04	0.01	27	66%	0.33	5	-0.13	13	77%	-0.00
Austin Reaves	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.09	0.00	14	57%	0.19	2	-0.05	9	100%	0.04
Jake LaRavia	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	0.01	8	68%	0.15	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Rui Hachimura	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.04	-0.02	4	75%	0.13	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Dalton Knecht	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.00	5	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	6	69%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Jarred Vanderbilt	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	8	71%	0.06	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Jaxson Hayes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jock Landale	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.04	0.01	8	89%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.08	-0.02	7	75%	0.19	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Cam Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.07	0.00	6	75%	0.15	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
John Konchar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.06	0.00	2	150%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.02	0.03	8	83%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jaylen Wells	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.06	16	48%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Cedric Coward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	11	46%	0.02	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Vince Williams Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	9	39%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Santi Aldama	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	12	29%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ja Morant	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.06	-0.02	14	27%	-0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	1.4	29.0	0.0	30.1	0.0	33.2	0.0
league avg	26.3	2.1	28.8	14.6	29.4	2.3	32.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +49.8%

LAL +7.6%

LAL +3.0%

MEM -10.5%

LAL +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MEM	NBA	LAL	MEM	NBA
this game	14.5	14.8	14.1	119.4	114.3	113.7
season	14.5	13.7		117.0	110.5
opponent	14.4	14.0		112.8	115.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.8	15.0	13.1	17.6	14.5
MEM	13.3	13.3	17.4	15.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaxson Hayes	76	74	1.04	-0.54	1.58	0.31	25	-20	45	14.3	15.4	-1.15	15.2	13.8	1.38
Jarred Vanderbilt	80	79	0.99	-0.49	1.47	0.19	27	-22	49	14.3	15.7	-1.40	15.4	12.5	2.93
Dalton Knecht	91	90	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.29	14	-9	23	14.5	14.9	-0.36	15.1	12.0	3.09
Austin Reaves	89	88	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.36	8	-3	11	14.7	12.8	1.92	14.7	15.6	-0.85
Jake LaRavia	89	89	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.29	9	-4	13	14.7	12.3	2.41	15.0	13.7	1.29
Rui Hachimura	88	89	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.35	6	-1	7	14.8	12.1	2.70	15.0	13.3	1.66
Marcus Smart	94	95	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.28	5	0	5	14.8	7.2	7.58	14.9	13.3	1.55
Luka Don?i?	92	93	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.28	5	0	5	14.8	10.7	4.11	15.0	11.8	3.20
Deandre Ayton	43	43	-0.47	0.97	-1.45	0.05	-18	23	-41	14.3	14.7	-0.43	13.4	15.9	-2.49

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	91	91	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.37	0	-5	5	14.9	13.6	1.36	14.7	12.6	2.10
Jaylen Wells	81	80	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.42	-1	-4	3	15.3	12.8	2.44	15.1	11.9	3.16
John Konchar	56	56	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.18	-14	9	-23	15.8	13.6	2.21	14.7	14.2	0.49
Santi Aldama	93	93	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.37	-8	3	-11	14.9	13.4	1.51	14.7	11.6	3.08
Ja Morant	81	81	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.18	-16	11	-27	15.0	14.2	0.80	14.0	16.8	-2.72
Cam Spencer	72	73	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.19	-16	11	-27	15.4	13.2	2.19	14.5	14.6	-0.05
Vince Williams Jr.	73	73	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.18	-17	12	-29	14.8	15.0	-0.22	14.4	14.8	-0.43
Jock Landale	90	91	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.29	-14	9	-23	15.1	12.0	3.09	14.5	14.9	-0.36
Cedric Coward	81	81	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.18	-18	13	-31	15.4	12.3	3.08	14.4	15.0	-0.58
Jaren Jackson Jr.	81	81	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.29	-15	10	-25	15.3	12.7	2.58	14.8	13.2	1.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.33,0.44,0.52,0.59,0.74,0.83,0.78,0.86,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.7,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.55,0.58,0.43,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.21,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 82, NJN 76	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.03,0.01,0	91.7%
SAC 103, MIL 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.37,0.17,0.19,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0	91.6%
ORL 93, ATL 76	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.12,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	91.2%