NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	82		Excitement	6.6 [448]		MVP	Ron Mercer (BOS): +6.1%
New Jersey Nets	76		Comeback	5.9 [37]		LVP	Keith Van Horn (NJN): -20.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ron Mercer	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	20	53%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Reggie Hanson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Minor	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	58%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Walter McCarty	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	56%	0.05	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Zan Tabak	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.07	0.02	-0.00	12	50%	0.04	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
Antoine Walker	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	21	46%	0.00	4	-0.10	6	67%	-0.01
Tyus Edney	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	4	10%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew DeClercq	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	3	29%	-0.11	2	-0.06	8	25%	-0.10

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Cage	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.03	0.02	18	60%	0.02	6	-0.12	12	75%	-0.02
Rony Seikaly	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	14	36%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	8	50%	-0.00	3	-0.12	6	83%	0.00
Jayson Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.16	0.01	-0.02	19	28%	-0.10	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.15	-0.07	-0.01	13	31%	-0.11	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	26.5	15.4	25.7	2.6	43.2	137.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +55.4%

NJN -4.3%

NJN -17.6%

BOS +22.8%

NJN -6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NJN	NBA	BOS	NJN	NBA
this game	13.8	15.9	15.6	84.5	78.4	102.5
season	15.1	15.6		100.2	104.9
opponent	15.2	15.1		103.9	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.5	14.1	13.4	12.4	13.8
NJN	16.4	13.1	19.4	15.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antoine Walker	87	88	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.36	9	-3	12	13.7	15.0	-1.34	16.6	8.7	7.97
Ron Mercer	92	92	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.36	9	-3	12	13.7	15.0	-1.27	16.2	10.8	5.37
Andrew DeClercq	56	56	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.31	10	-4	14	14.8	12.4	2.43	17.1	14.3	2.74
Dana Barros	79	79	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.39	7	-1	8	13.8	13.9	-0.18	15.9	15.7	0.21
Greg Minor	55	55	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.16	6	0	6	12.4	15.6	-3.22	15.6	16.2	-0.60
Walter McCarty	53	51	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	8	-10	14.3	13.2	1.04	15.4	16.5	-1.11
Tyus Edney	18	19	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.08	-1	7	-8	13.9	13.8	0.18	14.9	16.1	-1.25
Zan Tabak	35	36	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.02	-5	11	-16	13.8	13.8	0.01	15.0	16.4	-1.47
Reggie Hanson	10	9	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.04	-3	9	-12	15.0	13.7	1.34	8.7	16.6	-7.97

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Cage	4	5	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.01	3	-9	12	10.2	16.1	-5.89	15.0	13.7	1.27
Brian Evans	27	28	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.08	-3	-3	0	15.3	16.1	-0.88	11.4	14.8	-3.38
Kerry Kittles	75	75	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.26	7	-13	20	14.9	19.2	-4.31	14.3	12.1	2.20
Sam Cassell	79	79	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.23	5	-11	16	15.2	19.0	-3.81	14.0	12.8	1.25
Jayson Williams	65	64	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.11	-2	-4	2	16.8	14.0	2.78	14.7	12.1	2.58
Chris Gatling	22	21	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.19	-1	-5	4	18.1	15.2	2.90	13.0	14.0	-1.01
Keith Van Horn	84	84	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.37	0	-6	6	15.1	20.9	-5.80	13.9	13.2	0.65
Kendall Gill	68	69	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.35	-2	-4	2	15.6	16.6	-0.98	14.1	13.0	1.07
Rony Seikaly	21	20	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.04	-13	7	-20	16.7	15.7	0.98	13.4	13.9	-0.43
Sherman Douglas	18	18	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	5	-16	19.0	15.2	3.81	12.8	14.0	-1.25
Lucious Harris	22	22	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.07	-13	7	-20	19.2	14.9	4.31	12.1	14.3	-2.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.03,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 96, CHH 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.52,0.33,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.07,0,0,0,0,0	92.9%
ORL 93, ATL 76	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.12,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	92.5%
TOR 80, LAC 77	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.16,0.04,0.11,0.01,0.09,0	92.4%