NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	103		Excitement	9.1 [150]		MVP	Tobias Harris (DET): +20.7%
Detroit Pistons	104		Comeback	1.9 [601]		LVP	Jaylen Brown (BOS): -27.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Payton Pritchard	0.18	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.10	0.02	8	81%	0.23	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.07
Sam Hauser	0.17	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.15	0.03	0.01	9	89%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luka Garza	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.00	0.08	-0.00	8	56%	0.12	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Neemias Queta	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	71%	0.08	2	-0.03	10	80%	-0.00
Hugo Gonz�lez	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baylor Scheierman	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Tillman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Walsh	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Simons	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	11	41%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.15	-0.11	-0.01	11	16%	-0.23	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.03
Jaylen Brown	-0.28	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.04,-0.12,-0.28	-0.03	-0.25	0.00	28	48%	-0.14	4	-0.14	10	80%	-0.08

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,-0.01,0.16,0.3,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.11	0.02	20	62%	0.24	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Duncan Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.05	-0.01	13	58%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.01,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.06	-0.00	3	87%	0.18	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.03
Jalen Duren	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.03	12	62%	0.09	1	-0.04	5	40%	-0.03
Javonte Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ausar Thompson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	6	54%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Cade Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.05,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.04	-0.01	17	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	10	80%	0.02
Ronald Holland II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	5	57%	0.01	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	33.5	1.3	31.8	14.3	30.1	0.0	32.9	0.0
league avg	26.4	1.9	29.1	14.2	29.7	2.2	32.8	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +45.0%

BOS -3.8%

BOS -4.6%

DET +7.6%

DET +5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	DET	NBA	BOS	DET	NBA
this game	16.4	14.2	14.2	110.8	109.5	113.7
season	15.5	14.1		118.9	115.6
opponent	14.3	14.3		108.1	111.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.6	19.1	17.9	16.0	16.4
DET	12.4	14.5	13.6	16.7	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hugo Gonz�lez	21	21	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.01	2	-3	5	14.0	17.1	-3.08	11.3	15.0	-3.67
Anfernee Simons	79	81	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-9	17	16.1	18.2	-2.10	14.4	13.0	1.40
Luka Garza	57	60	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.21	7	-8	15	16.3	16.6	-0.34	13.4	15.5	-2.14
Xavier Tillman	7	8	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	1	-3	20.9	16.1	4.79	17.1	13.9	3.21
Jordan Walsh	74	75	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	2	-5	16.8	14.9	1.86	13.7	16.1	-2.42
Baylor Scheierman	49	51	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.05	-6	5	-11	18.2	14.4	3.79	13.9	14.5	-0.54
Neemias Queta	82	83	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.22	1	-2	3	16.3	17.1	-0.75	14.6	11.5	3.08
Derrick White	79	80	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.46	2	-3	5	16.2	17.6	-1.43	14.7	11.3	3.39
Jaylen Brown	89	90	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.46	1	-2	3	16.4	16.0	0.45	14.4	11.2	3.16
Sam Hauser	63	66	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.42	-2	1	-3	16.5	16.2	0.34	15.1	12.2	2.90
Payton Pritchard	85	88	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.45	-3	2	-5	16.8	12.7	4.03	14.0	16.0	-1.95

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tobias Harris	85	82	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.47	0	1	-1	14.3	13.6	0.66	16.8	14.0	2.76
Javonte Green	70	70	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.16	9	-8	17	14.5	13.2	1.34	16.1	17.5	-1.45
Ausar Thompson	74	73	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.45	-1	2	-3	14.7	12.3	2.38	16.7	15.3	1.44
Cade Cunningham	86	85	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.46	-2	3	-5	14.3	13.1	1.19	16.7	13.1	3.62
Jalen Duren	74	73	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.43	-4	5	-9	14.5	13.0	1.59	16.8	15.1	1.69
Duncan Robinson	87	87	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	1	-1	14.5	11.2	3.21	16.6	14.0	2.60
Isaiah Stewart	82	81	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.03	2	-1	3	13.7	17.0	-3.26	16.4	16.5	-0.08
Ronald Holland II	63	62	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.21	-6	7	-13	13.3	16.0	-2.73	15.6	18.1	-2.45
Caris LeVert	73	72	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.11	-8	9	-17	13.9	15.1	-1.17	16.0	17.9	-1.84
Jaden Ivey	65	65	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.04	-9	10	-19	13.5	15.6	-2.06	15.9	17.6	-1.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.78,0.73,0.68,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.46,0.47,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.76,0.73,0.53,0.46,0.66,0.87,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 94, POR 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.77,0.53,0.64,0.86,0.99,1	92.3%
ATL 91, DET 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.52,0.67,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.69,0.54,0.78,0.95,1	91.9%
MIL 82, NJN 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.53,0.62,0.54,0.85,0.98,1	91.9%