NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	106		Excitement	7.1 [408]		MVP	Landry Shamet (NYK): +25.4%
Detroit Pistons	115		Comeback	8.0 [270]		LVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (NYK): -23.2%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Landry Shamet	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.10	0.15	-0.00	4	100%	0.25	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Precious Achiuwa	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.02	13	67%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Mikal Bridges	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.00	10	77%	0.17	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
P.J. Tucker	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.01	2	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	8	44%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	15	43%	-0.04	3	-0.06	5	40%	-0.01
Miles McBride	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.09	-0.02	18	33%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.07,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.24,-0.23	-0.03	-0.13	0.07	19	58%	0.08	7	-0.31	5	100%	0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronald Holland II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.06	0.16	-0.02	11	59%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cade Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.01	0.01	24	69%	0.28	4	-0.14	4	50%	-0.03
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	-0.01	8	53%	0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.00	7	71%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Duren	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	-0.00	0.04	9	100%	0.15	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	9	77%	0.16	4	-0.14	4	100%	0.02
Simone Fontecchio	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	9	38%	-0.00	1	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Ausar Thompson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.5	32.2	14.8	29.1	1.7	31.4	135.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +53.3%

NYK -3.3%

NYK -15.5%

DET +18.4%

NYK -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DET	NBA	NYK	DET	NBA
this game	16.0	14.4	14.4	111.6	122.3	113.1
season	15.2	14.1		117.0	114.0
opponent	14.5	14.2		112.2	112.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.7	15.9	15.5	17.2	16.0
DET	15.7	16.9	11.6	14.1	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cameron Payne	31	30	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.01	6	-15	21	14.0	17.0	-3.06	15.0	14.2	0.78
Delon Wright	29	29	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-11	13	13.9	17.0	-3.02	13.2	15.0	-1.78
P.J. Tucker	54	51	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.11	-6	-3	-3	15.7	16.5	-0.85	13.8	15.2	-1.38
Landry Shamet	32	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.14	2	-11	13	14.4	16.9	-2.45	13.7	14.8	-1.09
Mikal Bridges	63	62	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	2	-13	16.9	14.4	2.45	14.8	13.7	1.09
Precious Achiuwa	74	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.26	-7	-2	-5	16.7	13.8	2.85	15.1	11.5	3.55
Karl-Anthony Towns	62	60	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.32	-5	-4	-1	15.6	16.8	-1.25	14.1	14.9	-0.79
Jalen Brunson	55	56	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.21	-11	2	-13	17.1	14.5	2.56	14.5	14.4	0.11
Miles McBride	75	73	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.16	-15	6	-21	16.9	12.7	4.16	14.7	13.6	1.05

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway Jr.	52	50	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.19	12	-3	15	14.1	14.9	-0.76	17.5	14.4	3.06
Isaiah Stewart	40	43	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.39	5	4	1	14.6	14.3	0.29	16.3	15.8	0.54
Dennis Schroder	54	56	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.23	7	2	5	14.2	14.8	-0.63	15.4	16.9	-1.51
Malik Beasley	56	57	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.02	14	-5	19	13.2	16.3	-3.16	14.9	17.7	-2.80
Cade Cunningham	66	68	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.01	9	0	9	14.4	14.6	-0.24	16.4	15.2	1.18
Ronald Holland II	40	40	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.41	-6	15	-21	16.5	12.9	3.68	16.0	16.1	-0.10
Tobias Harris	56	54	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	9	-9	14.7	14.1	0.64	16.6	15.3	1.26
Ausar Thompson	41	42	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.08	7	2	5	14.3	14.5	-0.25	16.7	15.5	1.14
Jalen Duren	54	52	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.15	4	5	-1	14.3	14.6	-0.29	15.8	16.3	-0.54
Simone Fontecchio	11	13	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.05	-7	16	-23	15.8	14.3	1.57	12.2	16.6	-4.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.18,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.28,0.21,0.3,0.4,0.5,0.51,0.33,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.46,0.67,0.81,0.88,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 86, POR 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.81,0.79,0.97,0.98,1	93.2%
IND 81, NYK 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.32,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.72,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.98,1	92.6%
PHI 86, DAL 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.26,0.28,0.17,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.17,0.24,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.85,0.93,0.99,1,1	92.5%