NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	86		Excitement	6.2 [582]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +28.0%
Dallas Mavericks	96		Comeback	5.8 [458]		LVP	Andre Miller (PHI): -23.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0.25	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25	0.11	0.12	-0.02	17	61%	0.25	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	2	75%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Royal Ivey	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	12	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	10	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Samuel Dalembert	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	15	47%	-0.01	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Andre Miller	-0.23	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.19,-0.15,-0.2,-0.25,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.13	-0.08	0.02	17	50%	0.01	8	-0.25	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.09	0.19	0.00	27	51%	0.28	0	0.00	7	100%	0.05
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.09	0.01	17	58%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.07	0.02	4	82%	0.16	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.01	5	100%	0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	6	67%	0.05	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-0.01	13	31%	-0.09	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.7	27.4	16.6	22.5	1.8	30.9	126.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +25.6%

DAL +13.6%

PHI -0.3%

DAL +9.1%

DAL +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DAL	NBA	PHI	DAL	NBA
this game	16.2	16.5	15.5	97.7	109.1	106.4
season	15.5	15.6		105.3	108.9
opponent	15.4	15.9		107.1	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.2	15.4	16.0	17.2	16.2
DAL	16.5	17.3	17.5	14.8	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Royal Ivey	11	10	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.02	2	-12	14	15.6	16.3	-0.66	18.8	16.2	2.58
Samuel Dalembert	36	38	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.06	-4	-6	2	17.4	15.4	2.08	17.3	15.9	1.46
Reggie Evans	24	22	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.11	0	-10	10	14.4	16.9	-2.47	16.5	16.5	-0.08
Willie Green	41	43	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.08	-2	-8	6	18.5	14.2	4.25	16.7	16.4	0.27
Andre Iguodala	83	82	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-2	-6	15.8	23.6	-7.83	16.2	21.3	-5.17
Thaddeus Young	69	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.07	-10	0	-10	17.1	12.9	4.17	16.6	16.1	0.49
Theo Ratliff	47	44	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.24	-6	-4	-2	15.7	16.8	-1.01	16.4	16.6	-0.25
Lou Williams	57	57	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.29	-8	-2	-6	15.0	18.4	-3.40	16.2	17.0	-0.80
Andre Miller	72	73	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.24	-14	4	-18	15.9	17.6	-1.72	16.3	17.5	-1.23

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	61	59	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.17	18	-8	26	16.6	16.3	0.26	17.3	14.1	3.15
Jason Terry	65	65	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.19	13	-3	16	17.1	14.8	2.34	15.6	18.1	-2.53
Brandon Bass	38	37	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.31	8	2	6	15.9	17.0	-1.09	15.4	16.8	-1.45
Dirk Nowitzki	70	71	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.08	15	-5	20	16.6	16.2	0.36	17.2	12.3	4.86
Josh Howard	57	60	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.11	9	1	8	16.7	16.1	0.59	16.4	15.7	0.74
Erick Dampier	51	52	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.08	5	5	0	16.3	16.8	-0.42	16.2	16.3	-0.10
Gerald Green	2	2	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	10	-10	0.5	16.9	-16.38	5.0	16.5	-11.48
Jose Juan Barea	42	42	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.14	-6	16	-22	16.2	16.8	-0.61	14.1	18.1	-3.97
Devean George	41	39	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.04	-5	15	-20	15.9	17.1	-1.23	17.6	15.1	2.56
DeSagana Diop	13	13	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.08	-7	17	-24	19.8	15.9	3.91	15.3	16.4	-1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.26,0.28,0.17,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.17,0.24,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.85,0.93,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 86, POR 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.81,0.79,0.97,0.98,1	92.1%
MIL 102, TOR 111	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.46,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.3,0.21,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.24,0.23,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.9,1,1,1	92.0%
NJN 83, BOS 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.57,0.63,0.74,0.8,0.61,0.68,0.89,0.99,0.95,1	91.9%