NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	113		Excitement	7.3 [390]		MVP	Coby White (CHI): +12.2%
Chicago Bulls	118		Comeback	1.8 [748]		LVP	Shaedon Sharpe (POR): -20.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deni Avdija	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.14	-0.01	0.06	25	58%	0.10	1	-0.03	14	79%	0.02
Dalano Banton	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.08	0.02	22	46%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Kris Murray	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	9	44%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Walker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matisse Thybulle	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	8	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Minaya	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rayan Rupert	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	9	39%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Clingan	-0.14	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.10	-0.01	11	32%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaedon Sharpe	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.09	-0.07	0.04	23	35%	-0.17	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Coby White	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.02	0.02	16	70%	0.22	4	-0.10	12	92%	0.04
Talen Horton-Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.01	5	81%	0.13	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Matas Buzelis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.08	-0.02	10	57%	0.17	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.02	0.06	22	66%	0.17	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Josh Giddey	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.01	13	43%	0.08	2	-0.07	9	78%	0.01
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Julian Phillips	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalen Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	10	45%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.5	23.3	15.4	28.6	2.4	31.6	128.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +66.2%

CHI +12.0%

CHI +0.6%

POR -28.8%

CHI +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	CHI	NBA	POR	CHI	NBA
this game	14.1	12.4	14.4	104.6	108.3	113.1
season	14.3	13.2		110.3	112.4
opponent	14.5	14.5		114.2	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.2	16.6	13.8	13.4	14.1
CHI	11.2	14.1	12.4	12.4	12.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dalano Banton	78	77	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.26	4	-9	13	13.4	16.0	-2.65	12.2	12.9	-0.72
Justin Minaya	21	23	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-1	-3	16.4	13.6	2.87	11.6	12.7	-1.04
Matisse Thybulle	58	59	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.05	-5	0	-5	13.8	14.5	-0.78	13.7	11.0	2.68
Deni Avdija	81	79	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.09	-4	-1	-3	13.8	15.0	-1.17	12.5	12.3	0.14
Rayan Rupert	45	47	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.23	-2	-3	1	15.1	13.4	1.74	11.8	12.9	-1.13
Jabari Walker	42	47	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.29	-1	-4	3	14.5	13.9	0.66	12.1	12.7	-0.61
Donovan Clingan	73	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-1	-3	13.6	15.3	-1.72	12.5	12.3	0.27
Kris Murray	64	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-5	5	14.5	13.6	0.89	11.6	13.7	-2.17
Shaedon Sharpe	78	78	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.19	-9	4	-13	14.2	13.8	0.40	13.2	10.6	2.54

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Giddey	91	90	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.30	10	-5	15	12.4	12.7	-0.35	13.5	17.1	-3.52
Matas Buzelis	75	74	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.18	8	-3	11	13.2	10.8	2.34	13.8	14.8	-1.03
Nikola Vucevic	77	77	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.26	2	3	-1	12.6	12.0	0.65	12.9	17.1	-4.17
Coby White	79	77	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.33	-2	7	-9	13.0	10.9	2.07	13.8	14.8	-1.01
Kevin Huerter	77	78	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.27	0	5	-5	13.1	10.9	2.11	13.5	15.7	-2.23
Zach Collins	32	31	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.09	3	2	1	12.0	12.6	-0.65	17.1	12.9	4.17
Talen Horton-Tucker	35	34	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.13	1	4	-3	11.5	12.9	-1.39	16.8	12.9	3.95
Dalen Terry	35	36	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.08	1	4	-3	10.6	13.3	-2.70	13.9	14.2	-0.39
Julian Phillips	10	9	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.06	5	0	5	13.4	12.3	1.07	18.7	13.7	4.96
Patrick Williams	34	34	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.17	-3	8	-11	10.8	13.2	-2.34	14.8	13.8	1.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.76,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.92,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.77,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 105, CHA 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.74,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.93,0.86,0.85,0.96,0.99,1	93.8%
HOU 71, MIA 81	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.94,1,1	93.6%
DET 79, MIL 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.82,0.74,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.91,0.83,0.71,0.85,0.86,0.95,1	93.3%