NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	105		Excitement	6.0 [639]		MVP	Henry Sims (PHI): +16.5%
Charlotte Bobcats	111		Comeback	1.9 [1042]		LVP	James Anderson (PHI): -12.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Henry Sims	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17	0.09	0.03	-0.05	8	65%	0.17	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.03
Casper Ware	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.01	4	87%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.01	0.05	11	72%	0.14	3	-0.09	10	90%	0.04
Byron Mullens	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	12	54%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Wroten	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Hollis Thompson	-0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	4	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	22	36%	-0.07	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Brandon Davies	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.02	11	33%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	19	67%	0.21	3	-0.10	5	60%	-0.02
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.06	0.04	-0.01	8	67%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.02	8	60%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	50%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.02	5	60%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.03	0.02	4	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	10	80%	-0.00
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	10	43%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	61%	0.08	2	-0.05	7	57%	-0.02
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	62%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	4	40%	-0.00	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	32.4	16.5	26.3	2.4	39.6	141.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +54.7%

CHA +5.8%

PHI -15.5%

PHI -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHA	NBA	PHI	CHA	NBA
this game	13.6	15.8	15.1	107.1	113.3	105.2
season	13.7	15.7		98.4	102.4
opponent	15.1	15.0		103.1	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.3	14.8	14.0	11.0	13.6
CHA	17.4	17.9	14.2	14.2	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Casper Ware	25	23	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.03	-1	-5	4	12.1	14.2	-2.08	17.1	15.3	1.80
Tony Wroten	35	35	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.13	-1	-5	4	13.0	14.0	-0.98	17.5	14.8	2.78
Henry Sims	51	52	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-3	0	14.1	13.1	1.05	16.5	14.9	1.67
Hollis Thompson	56	57	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-3	0	14.0	13.1	0.90	15.1	16.7	-1.68
Brandon Davies	24	24	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-1	-4	13.7	13.6	0.10	16.8	15.4	1.43
Byron Mullens	43	42	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.25	-1	-5	4	13.2	14.0	-0.80	14.6	16.6	-2.03
Elliot Williams	41	40	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	-1	-4	13.2	13.9	-0.67	16.6	15.2	1.43
Thaddeus Young	78	78	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.22	-3	-3	0	13.5	14.0	-0.52	15.5	16.6	-1.12
James Anderson	64	64	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.24	-3	-3	0	13.9	13.1	0.74	14.9	17.4	-2.54
Michael Carter-Williams	73	75	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.29	-5	-1	-4	14.2	12.1	2.08	15.3	17.1	-1.80

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Jefferson	75	74	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.30	3	3	0	15.2	17.5	-2.25	13.6	13.7	-0.05
Gary Neal	39	41	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.09	8	-2	10	16.4	15.3	1.13	12.7	14.3	-1.55
Cody Zeller	46	44	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.12	7	-1	8	15.2	16.2	-1.05	13.3	13.9	-0.53
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	45	45	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	-5	16	14.6	16.7	-2.14	15.1	12.4	2.65
Luke Ridnour	64	62	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.22	1	5	-4	14.9	17.4	-2.58	13.8	13.3	0.56
Jannero Pargo	34	36	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.10	5	1	4	17.4	14.9	2.58	13.3	13.8	-0.56
Chris Douglas-Roberts	53	53	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.34	-5	11	-16	16.7	14.6	2.14	12.4	15.1	-2.65
Josh McRoberts	52	54	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.20	-1	7	-8	16.2	15.2	1.05	13.9	13.3	0.53
Gerald Henderson	59	57	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.23	-2	8	-10	15.3	16.4	-1.13	14.3	12.7	1.55
Bismack Biyombo	23	24	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	3	0	17.5	15.2	2.25	13.7	13.6	0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.74,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.93,0.86,0.85,0.96,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 72, BOS 83	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.77,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	93.6%
BOS 92, TOR 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.45,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.65,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.94,0.9,0.75,0.89,0.98,1,1	93.6%
MIA 97, GSW 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.84,0.92,1	93.5%