NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	92		Excitement	5.2 [751]		MVP	Jerome Williams (TOR): +18.1%
Toronto Raptors	104		Comeback	1.8 [742]		LVP	Kedrick Brown (BOS): -19.5%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Walker	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.01	31	58%	0.16	5	-0.11	3	67%	-0.01
Tony Battie	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	5	58%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Walter McCarty	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	6	36%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Tony Delk	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	8	48%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Mark Blount	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Grant Long	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.02	0.06	8	63%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
J.R. Bremer	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.05	0.02	12	43%	-0.09	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Kedrick Brown	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2	-0.12	-0.09	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.07	-0.03	11	69%	0.18	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.04	-0.01	10	68%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	7	79%	0.12	5	-0.09	10	90%	0.04
Maceo Baston	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Jefferies	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	12	58%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.03	5	80%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	9	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	14	50%	0.00	2	-0.08	8	75%	0.00
Michael Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.17	-0.02	-0.02	5	20%	-0.05	6	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.6	25.2	16.4	25.5	2.3	30.6	124.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +46.1%

BOS -5.0%

TOR +18.4%

BOS -7.2%

BOS -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	TOR	NBA	BOS	TOR	NBA
this game	16.3	15.2	15.5	101.1	113.0	101.6
season	15.6	16.2		99.3	98.8
opponent	15.3	15.5		105.1	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.8	15.7	18.5	16.6	16.3
TOR	14.5	15.0	13.7	17.7	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Long	12	12	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.01	2	-14	16	15.4	16.5	-1.04	15.7	15.1	0.58
Tony Delk	45	45	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.19	4	-16	20	16.3	16.4	-0.10	15.3	15.1	0.20
Mark Blount	41	41	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.11	1	-13	14	16.3	16.4	-0.09	16.4	14.2	2.21
Walter McCarty	62	64	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.21	2	-14	16	16.4	16.2	0.11	15.7	13.9	1.77
Tony Battie	46	46	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.02	-7	-5	-2	16.1	16.5	-0.38	14.2	16.1	-1.89
Eric Williams	45	45	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.01	-14	2	-16	16.0	16.7	-0.67	14.2	16.1	-1.89
Kedrick Brown	63	63	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.02	-15	3	-18	16.3	16.4	-0.16	14.7	16.2	-1.47
J.R. Bremer	62	64	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.08	-15	3	-18	16.6	15.8	0.82	15.5	14.5	0.95
Antoine Walker	79	80	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.09	-18	6	-24	16.6	14.3	2.29	15.2	15.0	0.19

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Williams	79	78	0.61	-0.11	0.73	-0.00	21	-9	30	15.0	16.3	-1.33	16.4	15.6	0.82
Antonio Davis	55	54	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.05	15	-3	18	14.7	15.8	-1.13	16.7	15.7	1.04
Vince Carter	72	71	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.07	14	-2	16	14.8	16.6	-1.84	16.3	16.3	0.02
Alvin Williams	66	64	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.04	15	-3	18	14.8	16.0	-1.11	16.5	15.9	0.66
Morris Peterson	66	66	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.04	15	-3	18	14.7	16.3	-1.54	16.3	16.2	0.11
Voshon Lenard	45	43	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.23	-4	16	-20	16.6	13.8	2.73	16.2	16.4	-0.16
Rafer Alston	26	27	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	15	-18	16.0	14.8	1.11	15.9	16.5	-0.66
Maceo Baston	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	13	-14	12.5	15.2	-2.72	17.0	16.3	0.70
Chris Jefferies	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	13	-14	12.5	15.2	-2.72	17.0	16.3	0.70
Michael Bradley	47	48	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.22	-11	23	-34	16.1	14.2	1.97	15.6	17.1	-1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.45,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.65,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.94,0.9,0.75,0.89,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 105, CHA 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.74,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.93,0.86,0.85,0.96,0.99,1	93.6%
DEN 114, GSW 122	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.52,0.55,0.69,0.76,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,0.97,0.99,1	93.4%
LAC 92, NOH 114	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.76,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.3%