NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	123		Excitement	5.1 [802]		MVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): +33.1%
Milwaukee Bucks	133		Comeback	1.1 [1004]		LVP	Ryan Dunn (PHX): -4.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grayson Allen	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.00	17	64%	0.13	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tyus Jones	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.17	0.01	0.07	8	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oso Ighodaro	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Richards	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	8	59%	0.08	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Devin Booker	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.01	32	54%	0.10	5	-0.09	8	100%	0.04
Cody Martin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.03	-0.03	5	25%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Collin Gillespie	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.03	12	67%	0.09	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Ryan Dunn	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	7	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.26	0.07	-0.00	18	77%	0.36	2	-0.03	12	92%	0.03
Ryan Rollins	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.21	-0.00	0.05	10	105%	0.18	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.03	-0.01	13	85%	0.20	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.02	0.00	8	100%	0.17	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.03	-0.05	10	60%	0.13	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	7	60%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.6	31.4	16.5	26.8	2.8	40.2	148.4
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +72.9%

PHX -8.0%

PHX -9.1%

PHX -4.5%

PHX -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIL	NBA	PHX	MIL	NBA
this game	14.9	14.3	14.4	124.2	135.7	113.0
season	15.0	14.4		114.3	114.2
opponent	14.3	14.2		112.2	117.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	17.3	15.0	14.7	13.1	14.9
MIL	14.7	14.4	14.1	14.1	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Oso Ighodaro	36	37	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.03	-5	-5	0	14.7	15.0	-0.28	14.1	14.5	-0.37
Tyus Jones	52	54	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-11	12	15.0	14.8	0.17	14.8	13.8	0.94
Cody Martin	60	60	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-10	10	14.4	15.7	-1.31	14.7	13.7	1.07
Ryan Dunn	49	45	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-7	4	14.8	15.0	-0.12	14.8	13.9	0.90
Collin Gillespie	75	74	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.20	-6	-4	-2	15.0	14.7	0.25	14.0	15.3	-1.26
Nick Richards	63	61	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.23	-5	-5	0	15.0	14.7	0.28	14.5	14.1	0.37
Grayson Allen	71	69	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	2	-14	15.3	14.0	1.30	14.0	15.1	-1.04
Devin Booker	89	90	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.08	-20	10	-30	14.9	15.0	-0.11	14.1	17.5	-3.44

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Rollins	64	63	0.76	-0.26	1.03	-0.09	29	-19	48	14.1	14.8	-0.75	14.9	14.9	0.06
Kyle Kuzma	78	78	0.72	-0.22	0.94	-0.04	26	-16	42	13.9	15.9	-1.96	15.1	14.1	1.02
Giannis Antetokounmpo	74	77	0.65	-0.15	0.80	-0.02	23	-13	36	13.9	15.8	-1.93	14.6	15.8	-1.18
Brook Lopez	77	77	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.09	15	-5	20	14.2	14.9	-0.72	15.2	14.0	1.16
Taurean Prince	74	77	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	-1	12	14.2	14.8	-0.66	15.1	14.4	0.69
Pat Connaughton	34	34	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.30	-17	27	-44	15.7	13.6	2.10	14.0	15.4	-1.41
Gary Trent Jr.	55	53	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.32	-18	28	-46	15.1	13.3	1.80	15.0	14.8	0.14
Kevin Porter Jr.	34	36	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	0.29	-19	29	-48	14.8	14.1	0.75	14.9	14.9	-0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.67,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.69,0.73,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.92,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.91,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 94, MIN 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.59,0.52,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.1%
BOS 91, PHX 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.86,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.92,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.81,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.92,1	93.7%
NOP 81, PHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.6,0.54,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.4%