NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	94		Excitement	4.4 [927]		MVP	Wally Szczerbiak (MIN): +24.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	104		Comeback	1.3 [1045]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -10.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shandon Anderson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	-0.00	-0.04	10	50%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	10	55%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Othella Harrington	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	11	52%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	5	81%	0.02	2	-0.03	6	83%	-0.01
Mark Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	62%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Allan Houston	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.02	12	59%	0.03	3	-0.09	5	60%	-0.02
Latrell Sprewell	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.03	10	47%	-0.04	2	-0.05	10	40%	-0.06
Felton Spencer	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	4	17%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24	0.24	0.21	0.04	0.00	19	80%	0.28	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.00	6	83%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	5	58%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Terrell Brandon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	9	55%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	13	46%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	62%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Loren Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.16	-0.03	-0.08	25	37%	-0.03	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	29.3	15.5	28.5	2.4	25.6	128.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +13.8%

MIN +14.9%

MIN +15.6%

MIN +9.7%

NYK -4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIN	NBA	NYK	MIN	NBA
this game	15.9	16.3	15.6	105.6	115.6	102.3
season	15.9	15.0		99.6	106.7
opponent	16.1	15.6		103.8	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.1	14.5	16.3	15.4	15.9
MIN	13.4	17.4	14.4	20.6	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othella Harrington	48	47	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.27	11	-21	32	15.0	17.0	-2.02	17.9	14.5	3.45
Charlie Ward	51	53	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.32	12	-22	34	14.9	17.2	-2.22	18.2	13.5	4.71
Shandon Anderson	55	56	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.27	6	-16	22	14.8	17.7	-2.94	18.0	13.5	4.48
Clar. Weatherspoon	55	55	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.25	4	-14	18	15.1	17.2	-2.09	17.4	14.5	2.95
Allan Houston	59	59	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.23	-2	-8	6	16.6	14.5	2.04	15.7	17.3	-1.58
Felton Spencer	25	26	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	3	-16	17.5	15.2	2.27	13.0	17.6	-4.68
Mark Jackson	38	37	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.11	-22	12	-34	17.2	14.9	2.22	13.5	18.2	-4.71
Kurt Thomas	50	52	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	0.03	-22	12	-34	16.8	14.7	2.17	15.2	17.7	-2.46
Latrell Sprewell	64	65	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	0.08	-24	14	-38	16.2	15.0	1.18	15.3	18.8	-3.48

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasho Nesterovic	67	67	0.70	-0.20	0.89	-0.01	24	-14	38	15.9	17.5	-1.60	16.0	15.5	0.45
Kevin Garnett	75	75	0.64	-0.14	0.78	-0.00	22	-12	34	15.9	18.2	-2.29	16.1	14.8	1.31
Terrell Brandon	65	64	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.07	17	-7	24	15.1	19.3	-4.14	16.2	15.0	1.18
Anthony Peeler	69	67	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.25	3	7	-4	16.8	14.7	2.05	15.6	16.8	-1.18
Joe Smith	38	40	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.10	5	5	0	15.0	17.2	-2.28	16.4	15.4	0.98
Wally Szczerbiak	59	60	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.21	-1	11	-12	16.8	15.2	1.62	15.7	16.3	-0.58
Sam Mitchell	12	11	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.03	6	4	2	15.2	16.4	-1.20	15.9	15.9	0.02
Felipe Lopez	1	0	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	10	-10	29.0	16.1	12.85	0.0	15.9	-15.89
Chauncey Billups	26	26	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.09	-5	15	-20	18.8	15.3	3.49	15.0	16.3	-1.25
Loren Woods	21	20	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.15	-9	19	-28	17.0	16.1	0.99	16.1	15.8	0.27
Gary Trent	17	15	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.21	-12	22	-34	18.3	15.8	2.47	14.8	16.1	-1.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.59,0.52,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 72, BOS 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.76,0.79,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
CHI 92, BOS 104	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
MIN 92, OKC 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%