inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 72 Excitement3.7 [863] MVPBrandon Bass (BOS): +13.9%
Boston Celtics 91 Comeback1.0 [470] LVPChris Bosh (MIA): -19.1%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shane Battier0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.060.01-0.04861%0.1100.00250%-0.01
James Jones0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Juwan Howard0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dexter Pittman0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03422%0.0000.0010%0.00
Terrel Harris0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0000.0020%0.00
Ronny Turiaf-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.00757%0.012-0.0300%0.00
LeBron James-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.04-0.010.052055%0.042-0.06250%-0.01
Dwyane Wade-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.07-0.01-0.051738%-0.012-0.02560%-0.01
Joel Anthony-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Norris Cole-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.010.001128%-0.0700.00367%0.00
Mario Chalmers-0.130,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.09-0.04-0.00520%-0.062-0.0700%0.00
Chris Bosh-0.190,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.18-0.03-0.021117%-0.133-0.0620%-0.02

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brandon Bass0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.090.060.01580%0.172-0.0310100%0.05
Paul Pierce0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.05-0.010.011759%0.083-0.055100%0.02
Kevin Garnett0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.00-0.031242%0.0300.0000%0.00
Avery Bradley0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.011059%0.072-0.062100%0.01
Greg Stiemsma0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.01550%0.011-0.012100%0.01
Keyon Dooling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.02462%0.012-0.0000%0.00
E'Twaun Moore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
JaJuan Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.060.00-0.0610%0.0020.0000%0.00
Ryan Hollins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sasha Pavlovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Rajon Rondo0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.04-0.001355%0.012-0.02333%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.23.532.518.828.22.831.2146.1
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +25.6%
BOS +25.3%
MIA -7.7%
BOS +6.4%
BOS +0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIABOSNBAMIABOSNBA
this game16.015.015.676.698.9102.8
season15.515.5105.699.4
opponent16.215.897.198.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA17.716.315.514.616.0
BOS14.315.713.916.115.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shane Battier41410.12-0.620.740.033-222517.414.82.6114.715.2-0.51
Norris Cole50490.05-0.550.59-0.074-232715.916.0-0.1514.615.5-0.94
Juwan Howard11100.00-0.500.50-0.124-232710.416.7-6.3514.815.0-0.21
Dexter Pittman12110.00-0.500.50-0.124-232711.616.6-5.0315.514.90.63
Terrel Harris12110.00-0.500.50-0.124-232711.616.6-5.0315.514.90.63
Ronny Turiaf1212-0.04-0.460.420.11-5-14913.216.4-3.2115.314.90.40
Udonis Haslem4646-0.06-0.440.380.12-6-13716.515.41.1314.615.3-0.72
James Jones1515-0.09-0.410.32-0.121-202111.416.8-5.4414.915.0-0.07
Chris Bosh6159-0.37-0.13-0.240.01-13-6-716.714.62.1015.214.70.46
Dwyane Wade6968-0.45-0.05-0.400.08-18-1-1716.614.22.4115.014.80.21
Joel Anthony3030-0.500.00-0.500.09-201-2117.715.22.4914.615.2-0.53
Mario Chalmers4443-0.550.05-0.590.13-234-2716.015.90.1515.514.60.94
LeBron James6765-0.610.11-0.730.27-3011-4116.614.42.1915.214.60.61

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brandon Bass67670.56-0.060.62-0.1424-52915.015.0-0.0716.714.12.61
Paul Pierce66660.56-0.060.62-0.2628-93714.715.8-1.1916.913.73.26
Avery Bradley71690.490.010.480.11136714.616.3-1.6816.614.12.52
Rajon Rondo71710.480.020.46-0.3428-93714.616.4-1.8716.514.22.32
Kevin Garnett56570.330.170.150.03109114.915.1-0.1516.914.52.49
Greg Stiemsma45460.110.39-0.27-0.06613-715.814.21.5416.016.00.02
Keyon Dooling37390.020.48-0.460.11-322-2516.813.73.0915.016.7-1.65
E'Twaun Moore470.000.50-0.500.00019-1916.014.91.069.116.5-7.37
JaJuan Johnson9100.000.50-0.500.06-221-2314.015.1-1.1010.316.6-6.34
Ryan Hollins780.000.50-0.500.00019-1911.915.2-3.399.716.5-6.80
Sasha Pavlovic2730-0.050.55-0.600.21-928-3715.314.90.3813.817.0-3.18


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.76,0.79,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 78, PHX 930.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.73,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%
PHI 92, ORL 1130.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.8,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%
MIN 92, OKC 1120.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.88,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%