NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	92		Excitement	3.8 [1101]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (BOS): +11.2%
Boston Celtics	104		Comeback	1.1 [1043]		LVP	Derrick Rose (CHI): -13.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	13	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Ronnie Brewer	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
CJ Watson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.01	0.04	5	62%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	8	50%	0.00	3	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Joakim Noah	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	8	61%	0.03	2	-0.03	7	57%	-0.03
Kyle Korver	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	10	46%	-0.00	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Derrick Rose	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.02	-0.05	0.06	17	51%	-0.03	4	-0.10	5	100%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.14	0.01	0.04	11	71%	0.11	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Semih Erden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.02	3	87%	0.06	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.03	12	50%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	6	75%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.04	16	53%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Luke Harangody	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Von Wafer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	7	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	42%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	11	55%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	3.0	38.5	17.8	27.4	2.8	33.3	149.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +39.5%

CHI -0.3%

BOS +4.0%

BOS +6.6%

BOS +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	BOS	NBA	CHI	BOS	NBA
this game	15.1	15.9	15.5	98.9	111.8	105.7
season	15.7	15.7		106.5	104.8
opponent	15.8	15.9		99.6	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.4	14.3	15.0	15.8	15.1
BOS	14.0	15.1	17.0	17.6	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Watson	23	23	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.28	15	-27	42	15.4	15.0	0.46	17.0	15.5	1.49
Taj Gibson	48	48	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.19	11	-23	34	15.6	14.5	1.07	17.4	14.2	3.17
Brian Scalabrine	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-15	18	9.5	15.2	-5.71	11.5	16.0	-4.48
James Johnson	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-15	18	13.3	15.1	-1.81	16.7	15.8	0.91
Omer Asik	17	16	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-13	14	13.7	15.4	-1.69	16.1	15.8	0.29
Ronnie Brewer	55	54	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	-9	6	15.4	14.7	0.68	16.8	14.6	2.14
Kyle Korver	27	27	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-13	14	14.6	15.3	-0.70	15.8	15.9	-0.09
Keith Bogans	26	26	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	1	-14	14.9	15.2	-0.28	14.6	16.4	-1.81
Luol Deng	75	75	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.15	-12	0	-12	15.2	14.6	0.59	15.7	16.8	-1.11
Joakim Noah	74	75	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.05	-16	4	-20	15.4	13.8	1.56	16.0	15.6	0.40
Carlos Boozer	44	45	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.07	-21	9	-30	15.0	15.1	-0.08	14.2	17.4	-3.22
Derrick Rose	71	70	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	0.16	-29	17	-46	14.8	16.0	-1.20	15.5	17.0	-1.49

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	72	71	0.70	-0.20	0.89	-0.10	27	-15	42	15.0	19.0	-4.03	15.4	14.1	1.24
Rajon Rondo	69	68	0.69	-0.19	0.88	-0.16	29	-17	46	15.6	16.6	-1.00	14.5	16.6	-2.13
Kevin Garnett	67	67	0.66	-0.16	0.81	-0.16	28	-16	44	15.0	18.2	-3.26	15.3	14.4	0.92
Paul Pierce	63	64	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.09	17	-5	22	16.0	15.6	0.47	15.3	14.7	0.63
Shaquille O'Neal	41	41	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.05	9	3	6	15.3	16.4	-1.10	14.4	15.7	-1.29
Glen Davis	39	38	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.12	1	11	-10	17.8	14.5	3.29	16.4	14.1	2.30
Luke Harangody	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	15	-18	11.5	16.0	-4.48	9.5	15.2	-5.71
Von Wafer	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	15	-18	16.7	15.8	0.91	13.3	15.1	-1.81
Semih Erden	37	37	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.32	-13	25	-38	16.4	15.5	0.91	14.6	15.4	-0.73
Marquis Daniels	47	48	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.39	-17	29	-46	17.0	14.7	2.26	14.5	15.7	-1.21
Nate Robinson	24	26	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.28	-15	27	-42	16.6	15.6	1.00	16.1	14.7	1.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 96, OKC 127	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
MEM 98, POR 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	95.4%
PHX 108, MIN 119	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%