NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	108		Excitement	4.8 [893]		MVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN): +14.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	119		Comeback	1.4 [1158]		LVP	Josh Jackson (PHX): -12.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Daniels	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.01	-0.01	9	72%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	6	80%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Dragan Bender	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	4	112%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
TJ Warren	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	14	55%	0.03	3	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.04	3	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marquese Chriss	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	6	58%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.08	20	59%	0.02	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Tyler Ulis	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Josh Jackson	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.02	-0.03	10	25%	-0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.03	0.01	26	55%	0.16	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.01	6	64%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.01	-0.04	18	52%	0.11	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	2	125%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	8	69%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	12	67%	0.07	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.09	-0.01	0.08	19	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.4	2.4	28.5	14.7	25.3	2.5	25.2	118.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +24.2%

PHX -0.6%

MIN +10.0%

MIN +14.6%

MIN +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIN	NBA	PHX	MIN	NBA
this game	13.7	16.4	14.7	112.5	125.3	107.5
season	14.2	15.3		102.6	111.8
opponent	14.4	14.3		110.2	111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.0	13.3	14.2	12.3	13.7
MIN	16.3	13.3	15.8	21.4	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Daniels	62	61	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.27	8	-19	27	13.4	14.3	-0.87	17.0	15.4	1.60
Josh Jackson	48	47	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-9	7	13.8	13.7	0.12	15.2	17.6	-2.39
Jared Dudley	33	33	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.22	5	-16	21	12.2	14.5	-2.31	19.4	14.9	4.57
Dragan Bender	45	45	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-7	3	14.0	13.5	0.43	15.6	17.2	-1.56
Mike James	62	62	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.25	4	-15	19	12.7	15.6	-2.88	16.3	16.7	-0.44
Tyson Chandler	49	48	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.06	-5	-6	1	14.2	13.2	1.05	16.5	16.4	0.03
Marquese Chriss	35	35	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-4	-3	12.2	14.6	-2.36	15.4	17.0	-1.60
TJ Warren	73	74	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.18	-12	1	-13	13.7	14.0	-0.30	17.2	13.7	3.50
Greg Monroe	34	33	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.08	-21	10	-31	15.8	12.6	3.24	14.8	17.3	-2.58
Tyler Ulis	39	37	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.07	-21	10	-31	15.8	12.3	3.48	16.5	16.4	0.12

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyus Jones	74	76	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.03	22	-11	33	16.5	16.3	0.20	14.1	12.3	1.81
Andrew Wiggins	78	80	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.07	20	-9	29	16.7	15.5	1.18	14.0	12.6	1.40
Jimmy Butler	69	72	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.02	19	-8	27	16.7	15.8	0.93	14.2	12.5	1.69
Taj Gibson	72	73	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.13	15	-4	19	16.0	17.9	-1.94	14.0	13.0	1.02
Karl-Anthony Towns	77	79	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	-2	15	16.3	16.9	-0.55	14.1	11.9	2.24
Gorgui Dieng	41	40	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.16	-6	17	-23	17.5	15.7	1.80	12.5	14.6	-2.11
Jamal Crawford	26	24	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.16	-8	19	-27	15.8	16.7	-0.93	12.5	14.2	-1.69
Shabazz Muhammad	17	16	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.11	-9	20	-29	15.5	16.7	-1.18	12.6	14.0	-1.40
Aaron Brooks	21	20	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.14	-11	22	-33	16.3	16.5	-0.20	12.3	14.1	-1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 93, MIL 111	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.84,0.8,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
DAL 99, HOU 119	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.72,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
CHI 92, BOS 104	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%