NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	99		Excitement	4.2 [950]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +12.2%
Houston Rockets	119		Comeback	1.6 [798]		LVP	Erick Strickland (DAL): -13.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.01	0.00	19	70%	0.17	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.00
Rick Hughes	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	61%	0.03	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sean Rooks	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Sundov	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	6	17%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	29	48%	0.01	4	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Shawn Bradley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	11	58%	0.02	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Erick Strickland	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.17	-0.02	-0.06	12	23%	-0.10	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shandon Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.01	-0.01	7	114%	0.18	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.12	0.02	0.06	9	78%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Barkley	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	15	65%	0.07	1	-0.02	10	60%	-0.01
Walt Williams	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	67%	0.07	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.10	-0.00	-0.10	20	40%	0.04	3	-0.04	2	100%	-0.01
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	60%	0.00	1	0.00	3	33%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	1	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	10	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	12	54%	-0.01	5	-0.09	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.5	27.5	16.3	26.6	2.4	24.7	122.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +31.7%

HOU +3.6%

HOU +16.3%

HOU +0.4%

DAL -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	HOU	NBA	DAL	HOU	NBA
this game	14.0	14.1	15.2	96.1	116.7	101.7
season	14.8	15.4		104.2	102.4
opponent	14.6	14.8		103.5	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.7	13.7	13.6	15.0	14.0
HOU	11.6	17.7	13.6	14.4	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Hughes	59	59	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.19	8	-28	36	13.3	14.8	-1.46	15.5	12.3	3.13
Bruno Sundov	12	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-20	20	15.7	13.7	1.93	11.9	14.4	-2.52
Shawn Bradley	52	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	-8	-4	13.3	14.7	-1.40	14.6	13.7	0.89
Sean Rooks	38	36	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.14	-16	-4	-12	15.4	13.1	2.23	12.7	14.9	-2.23
Hubert Davis	88	86	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.07	-14	-6	-8	14.2	12.8	1.36	13.3	18.7	-5.40
Dirk Nowitzki	92	89	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.18	-21	1	-22	14.1	12.5	1.58	14.6	11.3	3.24
Michael Finley	91	90	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.09	-20	0	-20	13.7	15.7	-1.93	14.4	11.9	2.52
Erick Strickland	83	85	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	0.12	-25	5	-30	13.8	14.6	-0.85	14.0	14.9	-0.89

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Barkley	73	71	0.76	-0.26	1.03	-0.09	29	-9	38	14.2	13.9	0.29	13.8	14.2	-0.37
Shandon Anderson	62	64	0.69	-0.19	0.88	-0.07	26	-6	32	13.4	15.3	-1.91	14.1	13.7	0.39
Walt Williams	45	48	0.67	-0.17	0.83	-0.12	27	-7	34	13.1	14.9	-1.80	14.6	13.4	1.20
Steve Francis	79	81	0.62	-0.12	0.75	-0.23	29	-9	38	14.2	14.1	0.06	14.1	13.4	0.76
Hakeem Olajuwon	59	63	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.36	33	-13	46	13.5	15.0	-1.53	14.7	12.7	2.02
Kenny Thomas	8	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	23	-26	12.5	14.3	-1.78	14.4	13.9	0.53
Carlos Rogers	43	40	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.00	-3	23	-26	15.1	13.4	1.73	13.0	14.6	-1.57
Cuttino Mobley	57	55	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.04	-7	27	-34	14.9	13.1	1.80	13.4	14.6	-1.20
Bryce Drew	52	51	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.05	-4	24	-28	14.8	13.5	1.29	14.2	13.7	0.54
Kelvin Cato	17	18	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.15	-11	31	-42	14.4	14.1	0.33	13.8	14.0	-0.22
Matt Bullard	15	15	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	0.20	-16	36	-52	14.8	14.0	0.78	11.3	14.4	-3.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.72,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 108, MIN 119	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
SAC 94, BOS 111	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
BKN 85, CLE 114	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.62,0.63,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%