NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	91		Excitement	5.5 [623]		MVP	Mikal Bridges (PHX): +13.0%
Phoenix Suns	100		Comeback	1.1 [846]		LVP	Kemba Walker (BOS): -16.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Payton Pritchard	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.02	0.02	9	67%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Theis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	9	60%	0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Jayson Tatum	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	22	48%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jeff Teague	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	62%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Javonte Green	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Grant Williams	-0.00	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.03	0.01	8	62%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Williams III	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Semi Ojeleye	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carsen Edwards	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	6	17%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.06	-0.03	20	33%	-0.07	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.03	0.02	13	70%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.03
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.02	0.02	10	74%	0.14	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	6	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.06	0.00	14	48%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.05
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	11	67%	0.13	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Devin Booker	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	16	51%	0.07	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Jevon Carter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damian Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	10	30%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	23.3	14.7	25.2	2.8	30.3	121.1
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +42.3%

PHX +10.5%

PHX +1.1%

BOS -3.5%

BOS -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHX	NBA	BOS	PHX	NBA
this game	16.9	15.5	14.4	102.2	112.4	111.3
season	14.5	14.7		112.8	115.3
opponent	14.7	14.5		109.6	111.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	18.9	16.2	16.7	15.8	16.9
PHX	13.8	14.4	16.0	17.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Teague	33	34	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.08	8	-17	25	16.2	17.3	-1.14	16.1	15.1	1.02
Robert Williams III	18	18	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.08	6	-15	21	16.3	17.1	-0.78	16.0	15.3	0.68
Semi Ojeleye	36	36	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.21	10	-19	29	17.2	16.7	0.50	17.0	14.4	2.58
Javonte Green	9	9	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.02	1	-10	11	18.7	16.7	1.97	15.4	15.5	-0.02
Daniel Theis	64	64	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.27	3	-12	15	16.4	18.3	-1.92	15.9	14.4	1.42
Payton Pritchard	41	42	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.22	1	-10	11	16.5	17.3	-0.81	16.0	14.9	1.11
Grant Williams	45	43	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.11	-10	1	-11	16.8	17.0	-0.11	15.2	15.7	-0.58
Tristan Thompson	41	40	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.02	-15	6	-21	17.4	16.5	0.87	14.0	16.7	-2.65
Jayson Tatum	66	65	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.09	-12	3	-15	16.7	17.4	-0.72	15.0	16.8	-1.88
Carsen Edwards	33	34	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.10	-21	12	-33	17.7	16.4	1.27	13.2	16.9	-3.65
Kemba Walker	59	60	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.22	-16	7	-23	17.4	15.9	1.51	16.2	13.9	2.27

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deandre Ayton	71	73	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.08	20	-11	31	15.5	15.3	0.16	17.0	16.3	0.71
Chris Paul	63	61	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.07	19	-10	29	15.1	16.2	-1.09	17.2	16.2	1.05
Frank Kaminsky	35	37	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.09	21	-12	33	14.6	16.0	-1.37	18.4	15.8	2.62
Mikal Bridges	70	71	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.13	11	-2	13	15.2	16.6	-1.42	16.6	17.9	-1.31
Devin Booker	70	71	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.13	11	-2	13	15.2	16.6	-1.42	16.6	17.9	-1.31
Cameron Johnson	50	50	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.22	-6	15	-21	16.2	14.5	1.69	15.9	18.2	-2.28
Langston Galloway	19	18	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.10	-2	11	-13	16.6	15.2	1.42	17.9	16.6	1.31
Jevon Carter	5	4	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	9	-9	13.2	15.6	-2.40	20.2	16.7	3.51
Damian Jones	18	16	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.16	-11	20	-31	15.3	15.5	-0.16	16.3	17.0	-0.71
E'Twaun Moore	44	44	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.36	-18	27	-45	16.5	14.5	2.01	16.4	17.4	-0.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.86,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.92,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.81,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 100, MIN 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	94.6%
POR 93, UTA 110	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.4%
MIA 99, LAL 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.77,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,1,0.97,0.98,1,1	94.4%