NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	93		Excitement	5.0 [831]		MVP	Matt Harpring (UTA): +13.6%
Utah Jazz	110		Comeback	1.0 [1283]		LVP	Zach Randolph (POR): -12.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Miles	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.02	8	62%	0.07	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Steve Blake	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	7	75%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.04	6	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Viktor Khryapa	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Martell Webster	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	9	42%	0.01	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	6	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	19	49%	0.04	6	-0.16	19	53%	-0.10

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.02	0.04	16	71%	0.19	2	-0.05	9	67%	-0.02
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	11	60%	0.09	1	-0.00	8	75%	-0.02
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	5	61%	0.06	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.01
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	1	75%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.12	-0.01	0.09	12	75%	0.09	3	-0.08	8	100%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	31%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	11	44%	-0.00	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.0	1.8	30.2	15.8	25.3	2.6	37.0	141.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +27.5%

UTA +3.6%

UTA +6.7%

UTA +9.0%

UTA +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	UTA	NBA	POR	UTA	NBA
this game	16.3	15.8	15.6	104.5	122.2	104.4
season	16.6	17.0		99.4	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.7		104.6	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	17.6	16.1	17.5	14.6	16.3
UTA	16.7	16.6	18.5	12.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sebastian Telfair	42	44	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.03	1	-18	19	14.9	17.6	-2.67	15.1	16.6	-1.52
Travis Outlaw	19	19	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-20	23	15.0	16.7	-1.70	17.6	15.4	2.20
Brian Skinner	32	32	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.12	2	-19	21	15.3	16.9	-1.65	19.2	14.0	5.28
Viktor Khryapa	9	8	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-15	13	17.0	16.3	0.74	14.9	15.9	-1.06
Martell Webster	34	35	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-14	11	14.2	17.6	-3.40	14.3	16.8	-2.46
Voshon Lenard	30	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.11	-9	-8	-1	16.8	16.1	0.70	13.8	16.9	-3.11
Juan Dixon	9	9	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.15	-11	-6	-5	17.4	16.2	1.23	14.1	16.0	-1.93
Jarrett Jack	27	27	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	-11	5	19.6	14.9	4.62	17.1	15.3	1.86
Darius Miles	58	58	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-10	3	16.1	16.8	-0.77	16.8	14.1	2.72
Theo Ratliff	53	53	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.06	-13	-4	-9	17.3	14.9	2.34	14.8	17.3	-2.47
Zach Randolph	81	83	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.01	-16	-1	-15	16.3	16.9	-0.59	16.0	13.7	2.31
Steve Blake	51	51	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.21	-24	7	-31	17.2	15.2	1.97	15.4	16.4	-0.95

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Harpring	71	70	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.15	24	-7	31	14.9	19.2	-4.27	17.1	13.4	3.77
Mehmet Okur	66	64	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.14	23	-6	29	15.2	17.5	-2.26	17.2	14.1	3.08
Andrei Kirilenko	81	80	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.00	17	0	17	15.4	19.4	-4.00	16.3	17.0	-0.74
Carlos Boozer	69	71	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.01	13	4	9	16.2	14.6	1.60	15.8	18.3	-2.50
Deron Williams	43	44	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.07	10	7	3	17.7	14.1	3.59	17.0	15.7	1.31
Keith McLeod	47	45	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.07	7	10	-3	14.1	17.7	-3.59	15.7	17.0	-1.31
Jarron Collins	36	34	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.08	0	17	-17	15.9	15.8	0.03	17.5	15.6	1.88
Kris Humphries	5	5	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.00	2	15	-13	11.0	16.1	-5.13	13.0	16.5	-3.54
Greg Ostertag	4	4	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.08	-4	21	-25	25.2	15.4	9.84	5.7	16.8	-11.09
Devin Brown	28	28	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.15	-7	24	-31	19.3	14.3	5.00	14.5	17.2	-2.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 83, ATL 93	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.61,0.73,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
GSW 101, LAL 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.96,0.98,1	95.2%
ATL 84, HOU 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.82,0.83,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.83,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1	95.1%