NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	84		Excitement	4.6 [712]		MVP	Chase Budinger (HOU): +16.6%
Houston Rockets	95		Comeback	1.0 [621]		LVP	Kyle Lowry (HOU): -16.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	11	58%	0.08	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Tracy McGrady	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	11	59%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	56%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Collins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jannero Pargo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	15	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	13	41%	-0.02	2	-0.08	8	50%	-0.03
Jeff Teague	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.02	7	43%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.02	0.01	10	85%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.02	0.02	20	63%	0.14	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	8	61%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Chandler Parsons	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	19	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.20	-0.01	-0.05	6	14%	-0.06	6	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.7	26.3	15.4	23.6	1.0	25.0	118.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +33.3%

ATL -2.0%

HOU +10.7%

HOU +9.8%

ATL -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	HOU	NBA	ATL	HOU	NBA
this game	16.0	15.7	15.6	92.3	104.4	102.8
season	15.7	15.4		102.5	103.5
opponent	15.5	15.9		103.2	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.1	15.7	19.3	14.2	16.0
HOU	13.7	17.9	15.0	16.4	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vladimir Radmanovic	28	28	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.13	6	-17	23	16.6	15.7	0.89	16.9	15.1	1.78
Jason Collins	10	8	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.01	2	-13	15	18.2	15.7	2.48	18.6	15.4	3.25
Zaza Pachulia	24	25	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.17	6	-17	23	15.8	16.0	-0.21	14.8	16.0	-1.24
Tracy McGrady	45	46	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.28	7	-18	25	15.9	16.0	-0.11	16.6	14.7	1.88
Willie Green	30	29	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-10	9	18.5	14.8	3.75	15.6	15.7	-0.11
Jeff Teague	59	57	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-8	5	15.0	17.7	-2.72	16.2	14.8	1.43
Jannero Pargo	29	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	-7	3	17.6	15.2	2.34	15.2	15.9	-0.73
Marvin Williams	42	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.08	-14	3	-17	15.3	16.6	-1.26	14.9	16.3	-1.45
Josh Smith	60	61	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.04	-17	6	-23	15.8	16.4	-0.55	15.2	16.6	-1.35
Al Horford	60	60	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	0.00	-19	8	-27	15.6	16.8	-1.19	15.5	15.9	-0.42
Joe Johnson	68	69	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.04	-18	7	-25	15.5	17.5	-1.99	15.3	16.7	-1.41

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Lowry	82	82	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.15	15	-4	19	15.5	17.4	-1.98	15.6	19.3	-3.71
Kevin Martin	77	76	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.13	14	-3	17	15.5	16.8	-1.33	15.9	16.7	-0.81
Chase Budinger	60	60	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.01	18	-7	25	15.3	16.3	-0.96	15.7	16.6	-0.90
Luis Scola	60	60	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	-1	13	15.4	16.2	-0.86	15.9	16.1	-0.16
Jordan Hill	55	55	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.03	10	1	9	15.5	15.8	-0.29	15.2	17.2	-1.95
Samuel Dalembert	36	36	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.14	1	10	-9	15.8	15.5	0.29	17.2	15.2	1.95
Patrick Patterson	31	30	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.11	-1	12	-13	16.2	15.4	0.86	16.6	15.7	0.96
Chandler Parsons	0	1	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	11	-11	0.0	15.7	-15.66	0.0	16.2	-16.17
Courtney Lee	31	31	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.17	-7	18	-25	16.3	15.3	0.96	16.6	15.7	0.90
Goran Dragic	23	24	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.08	-7	18	-25	17.0	15.2	1.85	17.7	15.4	2.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.82,0.83,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.83,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 95, SEA 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.71,0.79,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.91,0.91,0.95,1,1,0.99,1	96.1%
CHI 92, LAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.69,0.77,0.7,0.69,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.73,0.76,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
POR 93, UTA 110	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.1%