NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	95		Excitement	4.4 [945]		MVP	Damien Wilkins (SEA): +18.7%
Seattle SuperSonics	101		Comeback	1.0 [1129]		LVP	Ray Allen (SEA): -9.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kendrick Perkins	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	15	62%	0.13	5	-0.12	7	86%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.01	0.04	15	57%	0.04	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.02
Gerald Green	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.09	-0.00	0.09	13	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Rajon Rondo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	67%	0.07	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	7	14%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	0.05	12	48%	-0.02	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Brian Scalabrine	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	5	0%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.17	0.03	0.01	11	91%	0.21	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.02	0.05	13	71%	0.16	3	-0.07	8	100%	0.02
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	8	68%	0.10	3	-0.05	3	67%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	9	68%	0.13	4	-0.09	7	100%	0.02
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	5	80%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Gelabale	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mouhamed Sene	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	7	14%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.15	0.01	-0.05	20	37%	-0.02	5	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	1.7	27.2	15.6	23.0	1.8	39.2	131.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +54.4%

SEA +2.2%

BOS -8.1%

SEA +0.6%

SEA +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	SEA	NBA	BOS	SEA	NBA
this game	15.0	14.6	15.4	97.9	103.1	104.5
season	15.5	15.4		101.7	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.3		108.3	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.9	13.7	18.5	11.7	15.0
SEA	13.7	15.1	15.1	14.4	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Green	47	49	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.42	14	-20	34	12.5	17.3	-4.81	14.8	14.4	0.41
Kendrick Perkins	28	29	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.07	2	-8	10	14.6	15.1	-0.46	15.9	14.0	1.88
Sebastian Telfair	46	49	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.34	11	-17	28	13.0	16.7	-3.70	15.6	13.6	2.04
Brian Scalabrine	36	38	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-7	8	14.0	15.5	-1.54	15.7	13.9	1.82
Rajon Rondo	59	60	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.50	13	-19	32	13.5	17.2	-3.64	14.9	14.0	0.89
Wally Szczerbiak	43	43	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	8	-22	16.7	13.6	3.06	14.7	14.5	0.22
Ryan Gomes	31	29	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.10	-17	11	-28	18.0	13.6	4.41	12.5	15.4	-2.97
Al Jefferson	71	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.20	-9	3	-12	15.7	13.0	2.64	14.5	14.8	-0.36
Delonte West	38	38	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.17	-23	17	-40	17.5	13.3	4.16	13.0	15.5	-2.52
Tony Allen	86	86	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.28	-8	2	-10	15.2	13.0	2.22	14.1	17.9	-3.81

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damien Wilkins	74	73	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.17	14	-8	22	14.1	16.0	-1.89	16.3	11.0	5.22
Chris Wilcox	76	76	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.14	14	-8	22	14.0	16.5	-2.49	15.7	12.2	3.49
Luke Ridnour	70	69	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.13	13	-7	20	14.1	15.8	-1.75	16.2	12.0	4.22
Ray Allen	85	85	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	3	0	14.6	14.4	0.22	15.0	15.0	-0.04
Johan Petro	40	40	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.23	1	5	-4	15.1	14.2	0.89	16.6	13.8	2.78
Earl Watson	53	51	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.29	-4	10	-14	14.8	14.3	0.56	12.4	17.8	-5.48
Danny Fortson	26	26	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.12	10	-4	14	13.8	14.8	-1.04	17.3	14.1	3.25
Nick Collison	31	29	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.20	-7	13	-20	15.5	14.1	1.33	12.0	16.2	-4.28
Mouhamed Sene	7	7	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	6	-6	16.7	14.4	2.31	8.3	15.5	-7.20
Mickael Gelabale	28	29	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.26	-14	20	-34	16.4	13.8	2.55	11.7	16.4	-4.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.71,0.79,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.91,0.91,0.95,1,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 86, SAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
ATL 84, HOU 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.82,0.83,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.83,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1	96.1%
DAL 97, SAC 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%