inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 134 Excitement9.4 [134] MVPStephen Curry (GSW): +34.8%
Memphis Grizzlies 125 Comeback3.3 [442] LVPMoses Moody (GSW): -11.0%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Stephen Curry0.350,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.2,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.32,0.21,0.38,0.35,0.350.360.050.063174%0.392-0.048100%0.04
Jimmy Butler III0.310,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.31,0.310.170.180.041179%0.382-0.0712100%0.13
Buddy Hield0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.000.10-0.02750%0.161-0.042100%0.03
Kevon Looney-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00437%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Quinten Post-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.01-0.050.011045%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Gui Santos-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01533%-0.031-0.012100%0.02
Brandin Podziemski-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.010.001136%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Draymond Green-0.100,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.05-0.050.001246%0.023-0.124100%0.02
Moses Moody-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.110.01-0.100.02862%-0.002-0.1100%0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Santi Aldama0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.230.120.120.011172%0.251-0.02367%-0.01
Desmond Bane0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.080.080.020.04-0.021558%0.143-0.063100%0.03
Zach Edey0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.010.05-0.01759%0.122-0.04367%-0.01
Luke Kennard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.030.03-0.010.03-0.02350%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Marvin Bagley III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.010100%0.0100.002100%0.01
Jaren Jackson Jr.0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,0,0,00.000.01-0.010.012048%0.021-0.026100%0.03
Jaylen Wells0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.020.02550%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Ja Morant0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.19,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03-0.030.17-0.140.062277%0.246-0.273100%0.01
Scotty Pippen Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.02-0.08-0.00950%-0.052-0.05250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.22.329.615.330.32.433.6140.7
league avg25.82.328.114.928.52.332.1134.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM -21.8%
GSW +26.4%
GSW +35.5%
GSW +9.1%
GSW +0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWMEMNBAGSWMEMNBA
this game13.613.514.4125.2117.9113.1
season14.413.3113.6116.5
opponent14.314.4112.0110.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW12.712.815.413.513.6
MEM14.513.413.412.613.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Stephen Curry82810.66-0.160.830.1717-82513.214.8-1.5413.712.80.87
Draymond Green75750.58-0.080.650.1913-41713.114.8-1.7113.613.20.33
Moses Moody80820.500.000.500.3554113.414.1-0.7613.413.7-0.37
Jimmy Butler III86870.380.120.250.2063313.613.50.0712.816.4-3.54
Brandin Podziemski63640.200.30-0.100.26-211-1314.013.00.9813.114.0-0.85
Gui Santos39370.120.38-0.260.0336-313.913.40.5814.812.72.07
Buddy Hield43400.030.47-0.44-0.1254114.213.21.0113.813.30.54
Quinten Post46440.020.48-0.450.05-110-1113.413.7-0.3713.013.8-0.71
Kevon Looney21200.010.49-0.480.04-110-1114.813.31.5314.213.30.91

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Zach Edey71720.54-1.041.580.1613-223513.214.1-0.9314.112.61.46
Jaylen Wells69700.08-0.580.65-0.013-121513.014.3-1.3213.413.9-0.44
Marvin Bagley III89-0.10-0.400.300.04-5-4-112.513.5-1.0410.913.8-2.94
Luke Kennard4645-0.24-0.260.02-0.00-8-1-713.813.20.5313.713.50.19
Jaren Jackson Jr.6970-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.464-131713.313.8-0.4913.613.6-0.02
Scotty Pippen Jr.5151-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.36-3-6313.913.10.8514.113.11.07
Ja Morant7474-0.49-0.01-0.49-0.17-112-1312.914.7-1.7113.713.30.40
Desmond Bane7878-0.600.10-0.71-0.22-134-1713.912.21.7413.314.2-0.86
Santi Aldama6466-0.890.39-1.28-0.16-2516-4114.112.51.5513.214.1-0.92


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.32,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.27,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.4,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.47,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.28,0.61,0.63,0.31,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 91, MEM 840.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.53,0.48,0.58,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.45,0.23,0.04,091.7%
SAS 105, CHH 950.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.48,0.44,0.58,0.7,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.55,0.64,0.22,0.01,090.9%
DAL 116, VAN 1120.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.41,0.27,0.31,0.4,0.33,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.34,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.66,0.55,0.45,0.22,0.08,090.9%