NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	91		Excitement	6.8 [454]		MVP	James Posey (NOH): +38.7%
Memphis Grizzlies	84		Comeback	1.7 [781]		LVP	Kyle Lowry (MEM): -12.1%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Posey	0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.39	0.15	0.24	-0.00	7	94%	0.39	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Antonio Daniels	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	2	86%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
Rasual Butler	0.07	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	6	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.02	0.09	0.00	7	50%	0.15	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
David West	0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.01	-0.04	0.05	0.00	16	45%	0.05	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.05
Chris Paul	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0	-0.04	0.03	0.00	10	56%	0.14	5	-0.14	12	92%	0.05
Devin Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	6	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sean Marks	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	58%	0.01	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.04
Hilton Armstrong	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	1	60%	0.02	3	-0.09	3	33%	-0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.12	0.12	0.13	-0.01	-0.00	17	70%	0.23	3	-0.10	6	100%	0.05
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.00	5	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.03	0.02	4	80%	0.05	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	37%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Darko Milicic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	37%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.2,-0.15,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	15	61%	0.14	7	-0.24	3	67%	-0.02
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	10	32%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.7	32.1	16.4	23.5	2.6	35.0	137.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +27.3%

NOH +18.6%

MEM -4.4%

NOH +11.9%

MEM -3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	MEM	NBA	NOH	MEM	NBA
this game	15.8	16.2	15.5	101.1	93.3	106.4
season	16.6	16.1		105.9	101.7
opponent	15.3	15.6		107.6	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	13.7	17.5	15.3	16.7	15.8
MEM	16.3	15.2	17.4	16.0	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	74	74	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.23	14	-7	21	14.9	19.9	-5.01	16.4	15.5	0.91
James Posey	48	46	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.32	6	1	5	16.7	14.7	2.04	15.6	17.0	-1.39
David West	80	80	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.25	8	-1	9	15.1	21.3	-6.24	16.5	14.4	2.08
Peja Stojakovic	64	65	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.23	8	-1	9	14.7	18.5	-3.81	16.5	15.7	0.78
Rasual Butler	59	60	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	4	-1	15.2	16.9	-1.75	15.6	17.5	-1.88
Hilton Armstrong	23	22	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.03	9	-2	11	15.8	15.7	0.04	17.4	15.9	1.54
Devin Brown	31	30	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	3	1	16.9	15.2	1.75	17.5	15.6	1.88
Sean Marks	10	10	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	8	-9	21.3	15.1	6.24	14.4	16.5	-2.08
Antonio Daniels	16	16	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.06	-7	14	-21	19.9	14.9	5.01	15.5	16.4	-0.91
Tyson Chandler	45	47	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.06	-9	16	-25	16.3	15.2	1.07	16.1	16.4	-0.38

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Lowry	57	55	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.12	7	-14	21	15.9	16.9	-1.05	16.0	15.3	0.72
Darrell Arthur	25	24	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.14	7	-14	21	17.8	15.6	2.21	18.3	14.8	3.52
Hakim Warrick	35	35	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-8	9	16.3	16.2	0.07	14.9	16.3	-1.33
Greg Buckner	8	6	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.00	-1	-6	5	15.9	16.3	-0.41	19.5	15.5	4.01
Quinton Ross	16	17	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.14	-11	4	-15	17.9	15.9	1.98	13.1	16.4	-3.25
Darko Milicic	51	48	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.03	-7	0	-7	15.9	16.7	-0.79	14.7	16.9	-2.15
O.J. Mayo	73	73	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.41	3	-10	13	15.7	18.5	-2.82	15.8	15.8	-0.01
Marc Gasol	52	55	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.11	-8	1	-9	15.9	16.7	-0.76	15.7	15.9	-0.21
Rudy Gay	80	82	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.33	-6	-1	-5	16.2	16.9	-0.74	15.7	16.6	-0.95
Mike Conley	31	33	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.17	-14	7	-21	17.6	15.5	2.04	16.2	15.5	0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.53,0.48,0.58,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.45,0.23,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 102, UTA 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.25,0.36,0.45,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.48,0.38,0.26,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.3,0.53,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.23,0.05,0	93.1%
DEN 111, POR 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.59,0.41,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.16,0.16,0	92.0%
MIN 98, SEA 93	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.37,0.43,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.42,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.45,0.37,0.23,0.04,0	91.8%