NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	102		Excitement	7.3 [408]		MVP	Joe Ingles (UTA): +22.7%
Utah Jazz	96		Comeback	1.6 [418]		LVP	Dante Exum (UTA): -9.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.07	-0.00	13	60%	0.16	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Mike Conley	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.05	0.03	14	60%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Vince Carter	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	11	71%	0.18	3	-0.11	6	83%	-0.00
Andrew Harrison	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.05	0.00	4	50%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.04
Chandler Parsons	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	6	60%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
James Ennis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarell Martin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Deyonta Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	29%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03
JaMychal Green	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	6	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Marc Gasol	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,-0.22,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	17	58%	0.18	6	-0.26	4	50%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23	0.23	0.18	0.08	0.03	11	83%	0.23	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.00	4	75%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.13	-0.04	0.04	9	85%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.04	-0.01	12	60%	0.13	1	-0.10	6	83%	0.03
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	75%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Raul Neto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	14	41%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	10%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	6	43%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	9	45%	-0.02	1	-0.08	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	3.6	28.9	14.8	25.3	2.6	41.5	142.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +18.9%

MEM +7.7%

MEM +42.3%

UTA -20.1%

MEM +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	UTA	NBA	MEM	UTA	NBA
this game	16.9	16.6	14.8	118.6	111.6	107.7
season	16.1	16.1		106.4	108.0
opponent	15.0	14.9		105.0	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.5	15.4	19.6	17.6	16.9
UTA	18.0	16.6	18.3	13.7	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Harrison	45	46	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.45	6	0	6	17.1	16.8	0.31	16.4	16.8	-0.43
James Ennis	41	40	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.29	3	3	0	17.3	16.6	0.71	15.6	17.4	-1.81
Mike Conley	59	56	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.22	4	2	2	16.6	17.7	-1.09	15.4	18.7	-3.22
Vince Carter	55	55	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.09	8	-2	10	16.5	17.7	-1.19	17.7	14.6	3.06
Deyonta Davis	19	22	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.03	9	-3	12	18.7	16.4	2.33	19.5	15.6	3.88
Marc Gasol	62	59	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.26	1	5	-4	16.9	17.0	-0.17	15.7	18.5	-2.84
Zach Randolph	39	40	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.04	7	-1	8	17.0	16.9	0.10	17.4	15.8	1.65
JaMychal Green	52	51	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.33	-5	11	-16	16.3	17.9	-1.64	15.7	17.9	-2.22
Jarell Martin	17	19	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.05	-1	7	-8	19.5	16.3	3.18	16.8	16.5	0.28
Chandler Parsons	41	42	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	8	-10	16.4	17.4	-1.01	17.7	15.5	2.14

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gobert	38	39	0.18	-0.68	0.87	-0.11	10	-16	26	17.5	15.8	1.67	18.0	16.0	1.98
Dante Exum	54	52	0.13	-0.63	0.77	0.07	2	-8	10	17.0	15.8	1.16	17.6	15.9	1.71
Raul Neto	4	3	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-6	6	17.5	16.5	0.98	18.7	16.9	1.81
Derrick Favors	38	39	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	-1	-4	17.1	16.1	1.01	15.9	17.8	-1.92
Joe Johnson	27	24	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.09	-3	-3	0	18.5	15.7	2.84	17.0	16.9	0.17
Shelvin Mack	49	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	-5	4	16.5	16.7	-0.19	16.1	18.1	-2.05
Gordon Hayward	65	67	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.19	-7	1	-8	15.7	19.2	-3.53	16.7	17.7	-0.98
Boris Diaw	39	37	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.31	-7	1	-8	15.6	17.4	-1.79	16.5	17.2	-0.66
Trey Lyles	57	57	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.30	-10	4	-14	16.2	17.2	-0.96	17.1	16.5	0.66
Joe Ingles	59	62	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.43	-9	3	-12	16.2	17.3	-1.06	17.1	16.3	0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.25,0.36,0.45,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.48,0.38,0.26,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.3,0.53,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.23,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 91, MEM 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.53,0.48,0.58,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.45,0.23,0.04,0	93.1%
MIN 98, SEA 93	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.37,0.43,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.42,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.45,0.37,0.23,0.04,0	92.4%
DAL 103, MEM 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.32,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.61,0.37,0.22,0.04,0	92.2%