NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	103		Excitement	7.7 [295]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +24.4%
Memphis Grizzlies	95		Comeback	1.6 [519]		LVP	Jeff Green (MEM): -19.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.24	0.15	0.11	0.01	13	68%	0.24	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Monta Ellis	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.02	0.12	-0.03	18	58%	0.31	5	-0.14	7	57%	-0.04
Devin Harris	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	8	71%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	59%	0.04	1	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	60%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Greg Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.04	-0.01	8	37%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	2	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jose Juan Barea	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chandler Parsons	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	14	47%	0.05	3	-0.16	4	50%	-0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.1,0.16,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.09	-0.00	16	56%	0.20	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.03
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.01	13	57%	0.07	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.04
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.06	14	41%	0.06	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Calathes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.06	0.00	13	64%	0.08	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.03
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.06	-0.16	-0.03	14	38%	-0.07	2	-0.12	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.7	33.2	18.8	24.3	2.3	32.4	138.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +58.0%

MEM -6.9%

DAL +0.6%

MEM -0.2%

MEM -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MEM	NBA	DAL	MEM	NBA
this game	15.3	16.2	15.1	113.2	103.3	104.2
season	14.6	15.9		107.6	103.8
opponent	15.2	15.0		100.8	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	12.5	16.5	16.5	15.9	15.3
MEM	17.5	14.2	15.5	17.6	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monta Ellis	76	76	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.26	14	-6	20	14.7	18.3	-3.62	16.7	13.5	3.22
Tyson Chandler	76	75	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.22	10	-2	12	14.7	18.2	-3.46	16.6	14.2	2.36
Chandler Parsons	69	69	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.19	11	-3	14	13.9	19.6	-5.71	16.7	14.7	2.01
Devin Harris	43	45	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.08	15	-7	22	14.6	16.0	-1.42	15.8	16.5	-0.67
Dwight Powell	31	33	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.07	6	2	4	15.9	15.0	0.90	15.6	16.5	-0.82
Dirk Nowitzki	60	62	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.30	-2	10	-12	15.6	14.7	0.91	16.1	16.3	-0.20
Rajon Rondo	49	49	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.33	-7	15	-22	16.0	14.5	1.50	16.1	16.2	-0.13
Richard Jefferson	28	28	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	8	-8	17.9	14.1	3.79	14.5	16.9	-2.39
Al-Farouq Aminu	7	7	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.01	1	7	-6	19.6	15.0	4.62	13.3	16.4	-3.11
Greg Smith	2	2	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.02	-2	10	-12	14.5	15.3	-0.83	26.5	15.9	10.57
Jose Juan Barea	14	14	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.02	-6	14	-20	18.4	14.7	3.69	14.4	16.5	-2.05

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Beno Udrih	30	30	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.12	-4	-4	0	16.9	15.8	1.14	16.7	14.6	2.03
Tony Allen	32	32	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.02	-1	-7	6	17.3	15.6	1.71	14.4	15.8	-1.34
Nick Calathes	26	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.06	2	-10	12	13.6	17.2	-3.55	16.5	14.9	1.68
Kosta Koufos	17	16	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-8	8	13.4	16.8	-3.45	17.2	14.9	2.28
Jordan Adams	4	4	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-7	6	16.2	16.2	0.09	14.0	15.4	-1.37
Vince Carter	18	18	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-4	0	14.3	16.6	-2.34	17.3	14.8	2.53
Mike Conley	59	59	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.36	-1	-7	6	16.0	16.4	-0.36	14.8	16.3	-1.50
Courtney Lee	60	60	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.16	-8	0	-8	17.3	14.0	3.27	14.5	16.8	-2.27
Zach Randolph	77	76	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.24	-8	0	-8	16.5	14.2	2.35	14.9	17.2	-2.27
Marc Gasol	75	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.25	-8	0	-8	16.8	13.4	3.45	14.9	17.2	-2.28
Jeff Green	62	61	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.31	-7	-1	-6	15.4	17.8	-2.43	15.8	14.2	1.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.32,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.61,0.37,0.22,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 98, SEA 93	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.37,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.37,0.43,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.42,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.43,0.52,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.45,0.37,0.23,0.04,0	93.2%
SAS 100, SAC 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.39,0.35,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.38,0.54,0.22,0,0	92.7%
ORL 107, CHA 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.33,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.42,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.53,0.28,0.1,0.02,0	92.4%