NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	111		Excitement	9.8 [71]		MVP	Meyers Leonard (POR): +22.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	109		Comeback	2.1 [576]		LVP	Victor Claver (POR): -18.1%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ty Lawson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.01	22	57%	0.16	2	-0.06	9	67%	-0.07
Andre Miller	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.05	-0.06	0.12	0.01	3	62%	0.17	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.02
Anthony Randolph	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	5	44%	0.04	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Corey Brewer	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kosta Koufos	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.03	0.02	7	69%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
JaVale McGee	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.04	-0.01	10	35%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenneth Faried	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	12	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06	0.01	-0.08	-0.01	20	58%	0.10	5	-0.16	10	50%	-0.13

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.09	0.11	-0.02	7	68%	0.22	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.15,0.09,0.01,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.07	0.01	12	57%	0.15	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.05
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.03	-0.01	9	67%	0.14	3	-0.10	9	89%	0.03
Damian Lillard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.1,-0.02,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.04	0.00	14	72%	0.27	5	-0.24	8	75%	-0.01
Luke Babbitt	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	24	45%	0.02	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	9	56%	0.04	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Victor Claver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	3.7	35.0	16.8	28.2	2.7	41.1	154.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +16.5%

POR -30.1%

DEN +30.7%

DEN +33.5%

POR -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	POR	NBA	DEN	POR	NBA
this game	13.2	15.1	15.4	107.8	107.9	104.1
season	14.4	15.8		108.4	104.3
opponent	15.3	15.4		107.6	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	12.8	11.8	14.8	13.4	13.2
POR	19.0	13.5	12.8	15.4	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kosta Koufos	51	50	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.52	1	1	0	13.2	13.2	-0.02	14.8	15.3	-0.53
Ty Lawson	80	80	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.42	3	-1	4	12.8	14.4	-1.55	14.8	15.9	-1.05
Andre Iguodala	90	88	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.47	0	2	-2	13.4	11.9	1.44	15.2	14.2	1.05
Corey Brewer	61	57	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.25	7	-5	12	12.9	13.6	-0.73	14.6	15.7	-1.13
Wilson Chandler	61	62	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.50	-3	5	-8	12.6	14.0	-1.46	14.8	15.5	-0.64
JaVale McGee	37	36	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.15	9	-7	16	13.7	12.9	0.77	15.6	14.8	0.89
Andre Miller	48	46	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.13	-3	5	-8	13.4	13.0	0.32	15.0	15.1	-0.17
Anthony Randolph	33	31	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.10	4	-2	6	13.2	13.2	0.04	16.2	14.6	1.62
Kenneth Faried	54	55	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.16	-8	10	-18	13.9	12.4	1.52	15.3	14.8	0.45

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Barton	9	8	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.05	4	-6	10	15.4	15.0	0.41	11.2	13.3	-2.10
Luke Babbitt	0	1	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.05	3	-5	8	0.0	15.1	-15.07	1.0	13.3	-12.30
Meyers Leonard	32	33	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.12	-5	3	-8	16.7	14.3	2.41	14.0	12.8	1.24
Nicolas Batum	86	89	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.47	9	-11	20	14.3	19.4	-5.09	13.3	12.4	0.87
Eric Maynor	30	30	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.16	-13	11	-24	15.7	14.8	0.94	13.1	13.2	-0.12
Victor Claver	47	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.13	-14	12	-26	14.9	15.2	-0.33	13.6	12.8	0.81
LaMarcus Aldridge	87	86	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.49	5	-7	12	15.2	14.0	1.24	13.1	13.4	-0.27
Damian Lillard	79	81	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.53	6	-8	14	14.6	16.7	-2.06	13.2	13.0	0.18
JJ Hickson	69	69	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.51	0	-2	2	14.3	16.7	-2.41	13.0	13.6	-0.69
Wesley Matthews	66	68	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.51	-5	3	-8	16.1	13.1	3.08	13.0	13.5	-0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.59,0.41,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.16,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 91, MEM 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.53,0.48,0.58,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.45,0.23,0.04,0	92.0%
TOR 94, LAC 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.26,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.35,0.28,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.47,0.29,0.15,0.01,0	91.5%
TOR 99, CLE 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.33,0.31,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.46,0.32,0.08,0	91.5%