NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	94		Excitement	7.3 [355]		MVP	Morris Peterson (TOR): +30.9%
Los Angeles Clippers	85		Comeback	1.9 [544]		LVP	Jeff McInnis (LAC): -20.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Morris Peterson	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.23,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.12	0.19	-0.00	12	80%	0.41	2	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Chris Childs	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08	0.04	0.01	-0.03	9	59%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Keon Clark	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06	-0.00	0.06	-0.00	6	67%	0.12	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Dell Curry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	12	36%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.05
Vince Carter	-0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.04	-0.11	0.02	26	53%	-0.01	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Alvin Williams	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.01	6	73%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.04	0.01	4	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	19	48%	0.07	1	-0.09	8	100%	0.04
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.05	-0.01	23	54%	0.09	2	-0.12	6	67%	-0.01
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	3	37%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	8	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.23,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.14	-0.07	-0.00	13	23%	-0.12	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	1.7	28.1	17.5	23.9	2.6	31.7	126.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +29.4%

TOR +12.1%

TOR +1.6%

TOR +8.2%

LAC -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	LAC	NBA	TOR	LAC	NBA
this game	15.4	16.4	15.6	103.3	94.4	102.3
season	16.2	15.9		100.3	103.6
opponent	15.4	15.6		104.1	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.7	12.4	17.8	17.4	15.4
LAC	14.1	17.1	16.5	18.6	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Childs	46	44	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.20	18	-9	27	15.2	15.6	-0.47	17.3	15.6	1.71
Keon Clark	46	45	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.23	11	-2	13	15.5	15.2	0.32	16.3	16.6	-0.27
Vince Carter	85	85	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.20	11	-2	13	15.2	17.3	-2.09	16.5	14.8	1.74
Antonio Davis	82	80	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.22	8	1	7	15.5	14.7	0.80	16.8	13.2	3.65
Morris Peterson	57	57	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.22	5	4	1	16.7	13.1	3.62	16.9	15.6	1.37
Tracy Murray	29	28	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.01	3	6	-3	13.6	16.2	-2.69	14.6	17.3	-2.67
Hakeem Olajuwon	52	52	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	11	-13	15.1	15.7	-0.58	16.4	16.4	-0.01
Dell Curry	9	8	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.09	-5	14	-19	14.6	15.5	-0.92	18.1	16.3	1.84
Alvin Williams	49	51	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.03	-4	13	-17	15.5	15.3	0.23	15.2	18.1	-2.88

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Olowokandi	61	63	0.30	-0.80	1.10	0.01	10	-19	29	17.3	14.7	2.64	16.6	12.7	3.81
Sean Rooks	7	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-7	5	15.6	16.5	-0.95	14.6	15.5	-0.88
Jeff McInnis	73	73	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.20	4	-13	17	16.6	15.9	0.69	15.7	14.3	1.38
Eric Piatkowski	64	63	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.11	0	-9	9	16.7	15.9	0.79	15.6	14.9	0.76
Quentin Richardson	37	38	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.16	-8	-1	-7	15.1	17.4	-2.36	15.1	15.6	-0.48
Elton Brand	75	76	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.24	-6	-3	-3	16.7	15.2	1.49	15.1	16.9	-1.85
Earl Boykins	17	18	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.04	-13	4	-17	15.9	16.6	-0.69	14.3	15.7	-1.38
Corey Maggette	82	83	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.17	-11	2	-13	16.6	15.1	1.45	15.3	16.0	-0.67
Darius Miles	34	34	-0.82	0.32	-1.15	-0.27	-19	10	-29	15.3	17.1	-1.80	14.1	16.2	-2.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.26,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.35,0.28,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.47,0.29,0.15,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 83, NYK 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.53,0.65,0.71,0.62,0.37,0.09,0.09,0	91.8%
LAL 93, HOU 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.24,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.6,0.45,0.37,0.22,0.08,0	91.7%
SAC 101, DEN 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.3,0.32,0.43,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.55,0.29,0.14,0.09,0	91.5%