NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	93		Excitement	8.5 [165]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +16.5%
Houston Rockets	90		Comeback	2.0 [319]		LVP	Mike James (HOU): -27.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.17	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.03,0.12,0.21,0.17	0.05	0.10	-0.02	23	58%	0.30	4	-0.13	6	100%	0.05
Maurice Evans	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.07	-0.00	4	58%	0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Derek Fisher	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	7	72%	0.15	3	-0.12	4	100%	0.05
Chris Mihm	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.05	-0.00	6	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	-0.00	7	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.07
Andrew Bynum	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	3	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.04
Kwame Brown	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07	0.00	-0.07	0.01	5	64%	0.01	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Luke Walton	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	4	25%	0.01	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.21	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.08	-0.12	0.00	10	45%	-0.03	4	-0.18	2	100%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	2	125%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	7	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Charles Hayes	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Shane Battier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	-0.01	9	44%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12	-0.12	0.02	-0.11	0.03	18	46%	-0.03	1	-0.10	20	70%	-0.09
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.09	0.02	13	41%	-0.10	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.03,-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.14	-0.02	19	42%	-0.12	2	-0.04	12	58%	-0.18
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.13	-0.14	0.00	10	25%	-0.15	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	3.6	33.3	19.6	30.8	2.6	43.4	160.1
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +69.7%

LAL +16.2%

HOU -5.7%

HOU -31.9%

LAL +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	HOU	NBA	LAL	HOU	NBA
this game	14.4	16.3	15.4	98.9	95.7	105.7
season	14.6	16.2		110.6	104.6
opponent	15.2	15.2		100.3	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.2	12.6	16.9	13.9	14.4
HOU	17.9	16.2	13.8	17.4	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	59	58	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.54	-3	6	-9	15.3	12.7	2.65	16.0	16.8	-0.80
Ronny Turiaf	46	46	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.45	-3	6	-9	15.8	13.0	2.80	15.9	16.7	-0.78
Kobe Bryant	75	73	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.44	-4	7	-11	14.9	12.1	2.88	16.1	16.9	-0.80
Andrew Bynum	37	37	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.01	10	-7	17	13.4	15.0	-1.65	16.1	16.4	-0.30
Vladimir Radmanovic	43	44	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.02	9	-6	15	13.1	15.4	-2.23	16.8	15.8	1.00
Kwame Brown	54	54	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.39	-5	8	-13	15.2	13.1	2.09	16.3	16.3	-0.07
Maurice Evans	21	23	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.04	7	-4	11	11.0	15.3	-4.38	16.4	16.3	0.14
Lamar Odom	66	65	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.31	-3	6	-9	15.6	11.5	4.06	16.0	16.9	-0.83
Jordan Farmar	36	37	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.06	4	-1	5	12.4	15.6	-3.23	16.8	15.9	0.86
Luke Walton	30	30	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.10	5	-2	7	12.6	15.2	-2.57	17.0	16.0	1.00
Chris Mihm	3	3	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.00	-2	5	-7	10.7	14.5	-3.81	19.0	16.2	2.80

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Snyder	10	10	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-3	3	16.9	16.2	0.69	15.0	14.3	0.73
Dikembe Mutombo	24	22	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-1	-1	17.2	16.0	1.18	13.0	14.8	-1.76
Tracy McGrady	36	36	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	0	-3	17.3	15.7	1.61	14.3	14.4	-0.03
Luis Scola	25	25	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.01	-5	2	-7	16.7	16.1	0.54	12.4	15.1	-2.66
Luther Head	14	13	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.03	-7	4	-11	16.3	16.3	-0.00	10.5	15.0	-4.51
Rafer Alston	74	73	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.50	11	-14	25	15.9	17.5	-1.60	15.1	11.9	3.21
Shane Battier	42	43	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.27	2	-5	7	16.0	16.5	-0.52	15.9	13.0	2.87
Charles Hayes	53	54	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.29	-1	-2	1	15.9	16.8	-0.96	15.9	12.3	3.61
Bonzi Wells	82	80	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.50	3	-6	9	15.9	19.2	-3.40	14.0	16.1	-2.11
Mike James	40	42	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.06	-12	9	-21	17.4	15.5	1.89	12.4	16.0	-3.60
Yao Ming	70	72	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.39	-1	-2	1	16.0	17.2	-1.18	14.8	13.0	1.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.24,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.6,0.45,0.37,0.22,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 92, DEN 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.24,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.67,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.33,0.46,0.23,0.26,0	92.3%
ATL 112, UTA 110	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.35,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.24,0.04,0	91.9%
TOR 94, LAC 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.26,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.35,0.28,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.47,0.29,0.15,0.01,0	91.7%