NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	92		Excitement	8.2 [217]		MVP	Chris Whitney (DEN): +22.4%
Denver Nuggets	90		Comeback	2.0 [802]		LVP	Juwan Howard (DEN): -48.6%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Jackson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.02	12	83%	0.16	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.01	13	57%	0.10	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Keon Clark	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Doug Christie	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	10	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Gerald Wallace	-0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	6	15%	-0.10	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Chris Webber	-0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	23	50%	-0.02	3	-0.14	16	69%	-0.03
Jim Jackson	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19	-0.11	-0.08	-0.00	7	35%	-0.08	3	-0.10	3	67%	-0.02

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.22	0.22	0.11	0.13	0.01	13	79%	0.29	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	8	62%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.04	0.00	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Rodney White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.01	8	62%	0.11	2	-0.11	5	100%	0.02
Donnell Harvey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Satterfield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vincent Yarbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Junior Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	4	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	13	37%	-0.09	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Ryan Bowen	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Juwan Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2,-0.28,-0.49	-0.49	-0.08	-0.38	0.02	16	46%	-0.32	3	-0.16	5	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	1.8	32.2	15.8	26.0	2.5	32.5	140.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +8.8%

DEN -4.4%

SAC +32.1%

SAC +10.2%

SAC +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	DEN	NBA	SAC	DEN	NBA
this game	15.9	15.4	15.5	101.1	96.8	101.6
season	14.0	15.7		104.4	90.4
opponent	15.3	15.7		99.4	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.7	13.2	17.5	17.6	15.9
DEN	15.0	15.6	13.8	17.5	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Christie	57	59	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.34	12	-10	22	15.9	15.9	-0.08	15.7	15.0	0.66
Jim Jackson	57	58	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.38	10	-8	18	14.7	17.9	-3.18	16.4	13.8	2.64
Bobby Jackson	62	65	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.40	3	-1	4	15.4	16.9	-1.43	14.8	16.9	-2.11
Vlade Divac	70	70	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.41	1	1	0	16.2	14.9	1.28	15.3	15.8	-0.54
Chris Webber	81	84	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.37	1	1	0	15.7	17.7	-2.03	14.7	22.0	-7.29
Damon Jones	29	29	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.18	-1	3	-4	16.9	15.4	1.43	16.6	14.9	1.65
Keon Clark	31	31	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	0	2	15.8	15.9	-0.13	17.9	14.2	3.73
Gerald Wallace	45	46	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.09	-6	8	-14	16.6	15.2	1.40	14.7	16.1	-1.48

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Bowen	45	42	0.20	-0.70	0.91	0.17	1	-3	4	15.4	15.4	-0.04	16.7	15.2	1.44
Junior Harrington	23	22	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.23	-4	2	-6	17.7	14.7	3.02	15.0	16.2	-1.23
Donnell Harvey	8	7	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	-1	0	15.6	15.4	0.22	14.7	16.0	-1.27
Mark Blount	34	33	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-3	4	16.7	14.7	2.07	15.1	16.4	-1.30
Vincent Yarbrough	17	18	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-2	2	15.5	15.4	0.13	15.6	16.0	-0.42
Kenny Satterfield	7	7	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	1	-4	11.7	15.7	-4.01	14.3	16.0	-1.74
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	11	10	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	4	-10	16.7	15.2	1.48	12.7	16.3	-3.58
Juwan Howard	76	76	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.54	4	-6	10	15.6	14.7	0.87	16.0	15.5	0.51
James Posey	81	79	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.44	0	-2	2	14.9	18.8	-3.92	16.6	11.4	5.15
Nene	52	52	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.40	-4	2	-6	14.2	16.9	-2.70	16.6	14.9	1.74
Chris Whitney	63	62	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.68	5	-7	12	15.0	16.3	-1.30	16.4	14.8	1.61
Rodney White	48	47	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.51	-3	1	-4	16.0	14.8	1.24	14.7	17.2	-2.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.24,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.67,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.33,0.46,0.23,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 93, HOU 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.24,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.6,0.45,0.37,0.22,0.08,0	92.3%
MEM 88, NOH 82	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.23,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.57,0.43,0.52,0.37,0.36,0.47,0.61,0.38,0.46,0.22,0.04,0	92.3%
SAS 93, POR 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.57,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.47,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.22,0.28,0	92.2%