inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 93 Excitement9.3 [128] MVPPatty Mills (SAS): +19.8%
Portland Trail Blazers 91 Comeback3.4 [288] LVPCJ McCollum (POR): -26.8%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Patty Mills0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.20.030.170.00862%0.231-0.0400%0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.040.040.002100%0.0800.0000%0.00
Rudy Gay0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.02-0.01667%0.071-0.0100%0.00
Danny Green0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.010.06-0.00667%0.163-0.1100%0.00
Kyle Anderson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.02-0.00462%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Davis Bertans-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Pau Gasol-0.040,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.04-0.08-0.001465%0.144-0.183100%0.04
Manu Ginobili-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.030.001050%0.002-0.0500%0.00
Bryn Forbes-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.03-0.00520%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Dejounte Murray-0.180,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.14-0.05-0.01825%-0.074-0.1100%0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge-0.260,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.04,-0.1,-0.260.00-0.260.001759%0.095-0.35367%-0.04

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Evan Turner0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.050.03-0.011164%0.111-0.0200%0.00
Shabazz Napier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.030.001067%0.152-0.0710%-0.01
Meyers Leonard00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Zach Collins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.03-0.011136%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Pat Connaughton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.020.00312%-0.0700.00250%-0.02
Damian Lillard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.060.011746%0.012-0.093100%0.02
Ed Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.060.00744%-0.041-0.04250%-0.02
Jusuf Nurkic0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.19-0.190.02-0.210.001256%-0.032-0.16333%-0.03
CJ McCollum0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.27-0.27-0.13-0.17-0.032228%-0.2700.003100%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game20.52.525.713.825.41.732.1121.6
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +92.0%
POR -3.5%
SAS +5.4%
POR -49.3%
SAS +5.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASPORNBASASPORNBA
this game15.714.614.798.994.8107.5
season15.515.2106.7107.8
opponent14.314.5105.7104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS15.412.915.719.815.7
POR14.615.911.617.114.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Patty Mills46470.94-0.441.380.5314-122615.316.1-0.7614.115.1-1.08
Manu Ginobili52550.76-0.261.020.509-71614.816.8-1.9413.516.1-2.67
Kyle Anderson50520.53-0.030.560.385-3815.615.8-0.2013.316.2-2.94
LaMarcus Aldridge69710.350.150.200.50-57-1215.516.3-0.8314.913.81.16
Pau Gasol63640.320.180.130.3202-216.015.20.7315.512.92.52
Davis Bertans11100.090.41-0.310.003-1411.816.2-4.4113.514.7-1.24
Rudy Gay31320.050.45-0.39-0.033-1416.015.60.4813.715.1-1.34
Joffrey Lauvergne14140.020.48-0.46-0.0420218.115.32.7712.115.0-2.98
Danny Green46450.010.49-0.490.10-35-816.515.01.4616.113.32.73
Dejounte Murray5153-0.100.60-0.710.07-68-1416.415.01.4015.713.32.38
Bryn Forbes3737-0.460.96-1.42-0.11-1214-2615.715.70.0315.614.01.64

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Pat Connaughton27250.17-0.670.840.083-5813.015.2-2.2516.615.41.26
Meyers Leonard770.00-0.500.51-0.021-3416.014.51.4912.016.0-4.01
Zach Collins2828-0.12-0.380.260.06-64-1014.314.7-0.4616.615.31.27
Shabazz Napier4141-0.12-0.380.250.05-64-1015.414.01.4015.316.0-0.66
Jusuf Nurkic5249-0.15-0.350.21-0.357-91614.514.7-0.1715.715.7-0.04
Evan Turner6260-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.330-2215.812.53.2316.813.82.96
Ed Davis4445-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.09-97-1614.714.50.1715.715.70.04
Al-Farouq Aminu7068-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.482-4614.515.0-0.4815.715.8-0.13
Damian Lillard6868-0.520.02-0.55-0.582-4614.614.60.0615.416.5-1.09
CJ McCollum8179-0.660.16-0.82-0.54-42-614.018.1-4.1715.118.9-3.83


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.57,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.47,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.22,0.28,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 92, DEN 900.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.24,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.67,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.33,0.46,0.23,0.26,092.2%
SAS 103, LAL 910.5,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.62,0.54,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.2,0.26,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.42,0.3,0.4,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.44,0.57,0.65,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.38,0.46,0.34,0.09,091.6%
DEN 99, SEA 980.5,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.4,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.23,0.27,0.23,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.71,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.53,0.38,0.46,0.43,0.28,091.4%