NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	99		Excitement	9.8 [70]		MVP	Marcus Camby (DEN): +21.1%
Seattle SuperSonics	98		Comeback	2.7 [272]		LVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (SEA): -30.5%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Camby	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.21	0.07	0.13	-0.00	10	71%	0.23	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,0.02	-0.14	0.16	-0.00	18	37%	0.17	4	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Bowen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.02	8	78%	0.11	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Chris Andersen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	6	33%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney White	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.06	0.00	13	62%	0.13	3	-0.19	6	67%	-0.04
Voshon Lenard	-0.16	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.05	-0.12	-0.02	20	46%	-0.04	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.1	0.10	-0.04	0.14	0.00	18	51%	0.18	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.06
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.06	-0.01	5	58%	0.12	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Richie Frahm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.05	-0.00	17	54%	0.03	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Ansu Sesay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	4	55%	-0.02	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	6	50%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.14	-0.14	0.08	-0.20	0.02	11	69%	-0.11	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22,-0.3	-0.30	-0.09	-0.22	-0.00	15	37%	-0.23	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	58.3	2.7	28.5	15.0	25.2	1.7	33.2	164.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +65.2%

SEA -36.0%

DEN +20.5%

SEA -5.0%

DEN +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	SEA	NBA	DEN	SEA	NBA
this game	15.4	15.7	15.7	106.5	106.5	100.5
season	14.9	15.6		101.6	105.0
opponent	15.7	15.4		105.9	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	13.8	15.1	15.5	17.6	15.4
SEA	16.2	14.2	15.1	17.6	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nene	66	67	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.42	14	-13	27	15.7	14.7	0.96	16.1	14.7	1.42
Carmelo Anthony	74	73	0.82	-0.32	1.15	0.56	9	-8	17	14.8	17.8	-3.04	15.9	14.8	1.10
Andre Miller	69	70	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.61	5	-4	9	14.8	17.1	-2.30	16.0	14.9	1.06
Marcus Camby	76	75	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.51	7	-6	13	14.7	18.5	-3.73	15.8	15.4	0.37
Voshon Lenard	67	67	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.48	8	-7	15	15.1	16.2	-1.13	15.7	15.7	0.05
Jon Barry	24	22	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.03	-5	6	-11	16.4	15.1	1.29	15.6	15.7	-0.11
Rodney White	26	25	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.01	-7	8	-15	16.2	15.1	1.13	15.7	15.7	-0.05
Earl Boykins	26	25	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	-0.12	-6	7	-13	16.9	14.8	2.09	15.0	16.0	-0.93
Ryan Bowen	10	10	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	-0.12	-6	7	-13	15.9	15.4	0.54	15.0	15.8	-0.80
Chris Andersen	27	26	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	0.05	-14	15	-29	17.4	14.6	2.80	14.2	16.3	-2.13

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richie Frahm	18	20	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.13	4	-5	9	14.8	15.9	-1.10	15.4	15.4	-0.02
Luke Ridnour	37	39	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.05	-1	0	-1	15.5	15.9	-0.34	15.8	15.2	0.60
Ronald Murray	53	55	0.02	-0.52	0.55	0.17	-5	4	-9	15.9	15.5	0.36	15.4	15.5	-0.09
Vladimir Radmanovic	62	61	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-1	1	16.2	14.8	1.41	15.4	15.5	-0.17
Vitaly Potapenko	15	15	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-1	1	15.3	15.8	-0.54	14.5	15.6	-1.06
Reggie Evans	4	4	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.07	-7	6	-13	13.2	15.8	-2.58	16.2	15.4	0.87
Antonio Daniels	52	52	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.37	7	-8	15	15.7	15.8	-0.10	15.1	15.8	-0.69
Jerome James	40	38	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	5	-11	15.0	16.2	-1.23	16.0	15.0	1.03
Ansu Sesay	27	28	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.49	6	-7	13	14.6	16.2	-1.59	15.4	15.4	0.01
Brent Barry	41	41	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.47	3	-4	7	16.0	15.5	0.60	15.1	15.6	-0.49
Rashard Lewis	74	73	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.60	-5	4	-9	15.9	14.8	1.10	15.4	15.4	0.02
Calvin Booth	37	39	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.73	-1	0	-1	16.6	15.1	1.56	15.6	15.3	0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.4,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.23,0.27,0.23,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.71,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.53,0.38,0.46,0.43,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 93, POR 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.57,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.47,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.22,0.28,0	91.4%
SAS 102, LAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.33,0.47,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.67,0.53,0.59,0.8,0.78,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.17,0	90.7%
SAC 92, DEN 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.24,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.67,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.33,0.46,0.23,0.26,0	90.7%