NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	88		Excitement	7.3 [401]		MVP	Earl Watson (MEM): +30.9%
New Orleans Hornets	82		Comeback	1.6 [604]		LVP	Jamaal Magloire (NOH): -24.2%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Watson	0.31	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.23,0.31,0.31	0.05	0.26	0.00	11	73%	0.39	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.01	14	48%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
James Posey	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	12	65%	0.10	1	-0.04	7	57%	-0.04
Antonio Burks	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	12	42%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Dahntay Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Humphrey	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	1	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Shane Battier	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	8	45%	-0.03	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Mike Miller	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	8	50%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.09

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.04	0.02	15	63%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	7	57%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	9	38%	-0.01	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	10	56%	0.01	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	3	40%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	11	27%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jackson Vroman	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	7	39%	-0.04	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
J.R. Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.16,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	10	44%	-0.07	3	-0.09	5	40%	-0.03
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.14,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.11	-0.14	-0.00	5	36%	-0.12	3	-0.12	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.8	29.2	15.5	32.4	1.7	31.2	137.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +76.6%

NOH -12.3%

NOH -20.7%

MEM +6.1%

MEM +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	NOH	NBA	MEM	NOH	NBA
this game	15.8	16.6	15.5	98.9	92.1	104.0
season	16.4	16.5		103.7	97.7
opponent	15.7	15.5		105.2	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.4	16.2	16.0	16.6	15.8
NOH	16.9	15.8	16.0	17.7	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Miller	38	37	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.30	12	-6	18	16.4	15.3	1.06	16.9	16.3	0.55
Brian Cardinal	78	79	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.25	10	-4	14	15.3	19.2	-3.87	16.6	16.6	-0.03
Lorenzen Wright	81	80	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.41	-1	7	-8	16.2	11.4	4.85	16.8	14.7	2.12
Earl Watson	59	59	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.25	4	2	2	16.1	15.2	0.88	16.5	16.8	-0.34
James Posey	72	71	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.39	-4	10	-14	16.3	13.5	2.86	16.7	16.0	0.72
Dahntay Jones	19	20	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.03	6	0	6	13.9	16.3	-2.34	16.3	16.7	-0.35
Antonio Burks	30	30	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.07	2	4	-2	15.2	16.1	-0.88	16.8	16.5	0.34
Jake Tsakalidis	7	8	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.08	7	-1	8	13.0	16.0	-3.02	15.2	16.7	-1.45
Ryan Humphrey	12	12	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	10	-14	20.2	15.1	5.16	19.9	16.1	3.86
Shane Battier	49	49	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.01	-2	8	-10	14.6	17.3	-2.70	15.3	18.1	-2.86

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Speedy Claxton	55	52	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-6	6	17.1	15.6	1.50	14.8	17.2	-2.45
Casey Jacobsen	32	34	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.02	-2	-4	2	16.4	16.6	-0.21	14.5	16.6	-2.03
Jamaal Magloire	47	46	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-1	-4	18.0	15.0	2.98	15.0	16.6	-1.54
Lee Nailon	31	31	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	0	-6	16.5	16.6	-0.09	15.9	15.7	0.18
Bostjan Nachbar	58	58	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.32	0	-6	6	16.6	16.5	0.09	15.7	15.9	-0.18
Jackson Vroman	61	61	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	-2	-2	16.5	16.7	-0.26	16.4	14.5	1.93
P.J. Brown	68	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.41	-1	-5	4	15.9	18.7	-2.80	16.2	14.5	1.65
Dan Dickau	34	37	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.33	-6	0	-6	15.6	17.1	-1.50	17.2	14.8	2.45
J.R. Smith	59	58	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.35	-6	0	-6	16.4	17.0	-0.59	16.0	15.4	0.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.23,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.57,0.43,0.52,0.37,0.36,0.47,0.61,0.38,0.46,0.22,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 92, DEN 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.24,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.67,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.33,0.46,0.23,0.26,0	92.3%
HOU 69, OKC 65	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.35,0.28,0.38,0.36,0.24,0.1,0	92.1%
LAL 93, HOU 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.24,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.46,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.6,0.45,0.37,0.22,0.08,0	91.7%