NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	113		Excitement	9.3 [154]		MVP	D'Angelo Russell (BKN): +34.3%
Dallas Mavericks	109		Comeback	12.3 [50]		LVP	Klay Thompson (DAL): -16.7%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D'Angelo Russell	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.34,0.34	0.12	0.25	0.03	10	72%	0.36	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.04
Tyrese Martin	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.06	0.18	0.00	8	61%	0.24	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Nic Claxton	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.12	-0.02	0.13	-0.01	6	35%	0.12	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.04
Drew Timme	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	8	56%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dariq Whitehead	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.04	-0.00	7	57%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ziaire Williams	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	8	61%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Keon Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.1,0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.01	19	60%	0.14	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Maxwell Lewis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	57%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Trendon Watford	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	7	43%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Wilson	-0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13	0.01	-0.11	0.03	11	50%	-0.04	1	-0.09	2	100%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Gafford	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.11	0.05	9	71%	0.18	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.09
Jaden Hardy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.02	0.08	-0.03	8	50%	0.14	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Caleb Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	5	50%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.03
Kai Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	4	70%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	7	72%	0.12	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.02
Naji Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Max Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.01	0.04	9	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.04
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	11	42%	-0.07	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	-0.10	0.02	10	50%	-0.09	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.05
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-0.16	-0.01	16	41%	-0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.5	27.3	14.4	29.3	1.8	33.8	136.4
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +41.5%

BKN +33.3%

DAL -15.8%

DAL -6.9%

DAL -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	DAL	NBA	BKN	DAL	NBA
this game	14.3	15.6	14.4	115.3	114.7	113.0
season	15.3	14.3		107.6	113.3
opponent	14.4	14.4		114.4	114.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	14.4	14.8	13.0	14.8	14.3
DAL	15.6	14.6	17.0	15.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trendon Watford	52	50	0.90	-0.40	1.29	0.69	7	-3	10	14.6	13.9	0.68	14.5	16.8	-2.38
Keon Johnson	58	57	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.38	10	-6	16	13.6	15.2	-1.60	15.9	15.2	0.72
Nic Claxton	55	53	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.45	6	-2	8	13.6	15.1	-1.50	16.2	14.9	1.27
Jalen Wilson	58	57	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.12	11	-7	18	13.3	15.7	-2.36	16.1	14.8	1.29
Ziaire Williams	51	50	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.23	3	1	2	13.6	15.0	-1.43	15.9	15.2	0.66
D'Angelo Russell	64	62	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.13	4	0	4	14.7	13.4	1.32	15.6	15.6	0.02
Tyrese Martin	40	40	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.02	5	-1	6	14.1	14.4	-0.34	16.3	15.1	1.18
Drew Timme	43	41	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.01	-4	8	-12	15.1	13.6	1.50	15.2	15.9	-0.61
Dariq Whitehead	33	31	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.04	-10	14	-24	15.5	13.6	1.87	14.7	16.0	-1.35
Maxwell Lewis	36	34	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.03	-12	16	-28	15.7	13.5	2.20	15.0	15.9	-0.92

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaden Hardy	38	40	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.02	2	-6	8	15.0	16.0	-0.98	14.9	13.8	1.14
Naji Marshall	52	52	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.02	2	-6	8	16.0	15.1	0.86	15.1	13.3	1.79
Kai Jones	33	31	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.07	-4	0	-4	16.6	15.1	1.51	12.8	15.0	-2.15
Daniel Gafford	36	37	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.09	-6	2	-8	16.1	15.3	0.75	15.2	13.7	1.51
Caleb Martin	42	46	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.41	10	-14	24	14.3	16.6	-2.34	14.6	14.0	0.59
Anthony Davis	57	62	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.35	7	-11	18	14.8	16.7	-1.87	14.4	14.1	0.22
Klay Thompson	57	57	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	1	-6	14.9	16.6	-1.65	14.3	14.2	0.10
Max Christie	37	40	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.35	0	-4	4	16.4	15.1	1.34	14.2	14.3	-0.09
Spencer Dinwiddie	61	62	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.43	-12	8	-20	16.0	14.8	1.19	13.6	15.4	-1.72
P.J. Washington	62	63	-0.82	0.32	-1.14	-0.41	-14	10	-24	16.1	14.6	1.46	13.6	15.4	-1.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.52,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.77,0.65,0.66,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 95, SAC 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.69,0.65,0.67,0.55,0.46,0.55,0.08,0	91.6%
HOU 103, WAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.65,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.86,0.89,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.58,0.62,0.46,0.32,0.26,0	91.4%
LAL 101, SAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.46,0.56,0.44,0.45,0.58,0.6,0.71,0.62,0.68,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.52,0.63,0.55,0.15,0	90.4%